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31 Oct

Erzurumspor vs Çorum: AI betting tips and pick

On 31 October, Erzurumspor host Çorum. The AI models' pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.88; Erzurumspor are unbeaten in 4.

published · updated UTC

Erzurumspor
Çorum

AI models' pick: Under 2.5 goals

1.88

The market prices this option at 51%

Now 1.81 · 1.88 when published

AI models' pick · 4 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction

Under half back the bet

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

likely score

1:114%odds 6.40

1:2 8%2:1 8%0:0 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:20

result12.60−0.19X3.26−0.1822.61+0.19
total 2.5O1.99+0.05U1.81 — matches our bet−0.07
both to scoreyes1.75+0.03no1.98−0.04
double chance1X1.47−0.09121.32+0.02X21.46+0.02
handicaptaken 25.10 14:08H1 +1.51.15H2 −1.54.72

Over 2 days an Erzurumspor win shortened from 2.79 to 2.60 — money is coming in on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Under 2.5: 1.88 → 1.81 since we published · Erzurumspor became the favourite in 1X2View

Since we published, our bet (under 2.5 goals) has shortened from 1.88 to 1.81: the market now rates it as more likely.

Over 2.51.94 → 1.99Under 2.51.88 → 1.81our bet
1.801.902.0025 Oct26 Oct27 OctWe published · 1.88Over 2.5 1.99Under 2.5 1.81

Price changes

Price changes in the Total 2.5 market
WhenOver 2.5Under 2.5 · our bet
1.99+0.051.81−0.07
We published under 2.5 goals at 1.88
1.94opened1.88opened
3 snapshots · the prices changed 1 time

The largest group of AI models went for under 2.5 goals. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: under 3.5 goals. 3 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 8 chose other bets: a Çorum win, a Çorum handicap, double chance, both teams to score, 'both to score — no' and an Erzurumspor win.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 14:43 UTC

The last four meetings between these two have not produced three goals: 1-1 in May, 1-0 in December 2025, and 1-1 and 0-1 before that. At home Erzurumspor are even tighter: four matches with a goal scored and a goal conceded per game, three of them with a clean sheet for one side, and not once did both teams score. Over 2.5 goals has landed in only one in four of their home games, and the market puts the chance of under 2.5 goals at 51%, a shade better than an even chance at odds of 1.88. That is our pick.

Where we could be wrong

The case against is Çorum on the road. The visitors are averaging three goals a game away from home, and all four of their trips have gone over 2.5. They hold the ball a lot, and an early goal could stretch the match into a trade of attacks. Four home matches is also a short sample on which to call the hosts' defence impassable.

  • 4 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 26.10
Erzurumspor
Recent matches: Erzurumspor
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10GaziantepA3:1xG 0.7–1.1W
17.10EyüpsporH2:0xG 1.2–0.4W
10.10AlanyasporA0:0xG 1.7–1.0D
20.09SamsunsporH1:0xG 0.7–0.4W
11.09BeşiktaşA0:3xG 0.5–2.3L
05.09KonyasporH1:0xG 1.2–1.6W
Çorum
Recent matches: Çorum
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25.10GöztepeA0:2L
16.10Çaykur RizesporH2:1xG 0.7–0.8W
11.10GaziantepA3:0xG 2.7–1.0W
19.09AlanyasporH1:2xG 1.1–1.2L
12.09SamsunsporA5:1xG 1.7–1.2W
06.09EyüpsporH3:0xG 2.6–0.7W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstErzurumsporÇorumSuper Lig
goals0.9 / 1.32 / 1.71.5
xG0.9 / 1.41.3 / 1.41.4
shots9.6 / 14.212.7 / 15.414
shots on target2.9 / 4.35.1 / 5.24.7
corners3 / 4.34.1 / 5.44.8
fouls11.8 / 10.913.6 / 11.113
yellow cards1.2 / 2.12.1 / 1.42
matches over 2.544%78%
both scored22%56%
clean sheets44%22%
failed to score44%22%
home / away
goals1 / 12.4 / 2.2
average total24.6
matches over 2.525%80%
both scored0%60%

Head to head

last 10

6–3–1Erzurumspor wins · draws · Çorum wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Çorum vs Erzurumspor1:102.05.26TFF First League
Erzurumspor vs Çorum1:028.12.25TFF First League
Erzurumspor vs Çorum1:109.04.25TFF First League
Çorum vs Erzurumspor0:130.11.24TFF First League
Erzurumspor vs Çorum2:128.04.24TFF First League
Çorum vs Erzurumspor4:110.12.23TFF First League
Erzurumspor vs Çorum1:004.05.143. Lig - Group 2
Çorum vs Erzurumspor1:115.12.133. Lig - Group 2
Çorum vs Erzurumspor0:303.02.133. Lig - Group 3
Erzurumspor vs Çorum2:023.09.123. Lig - Group 3

League table

League standings: Super Lig
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
7Kocaelispor95-0-411–915LWLLW
8Erzurumspor94-2-38–1214LWDWW
9Çorum94-1-418–1513WLWWL
10Göztepe93-3-319–1612DDWWW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Erzurumspor
  • 0-1501
  • 16-3023
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6031
  • 61-7514
  • 76-9021
Çorum
  • 0-1543
  • 16-3010
  • 31-4522
  • 46-6032
  • 61-7533
  • 76-9053

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Super Lig fixtures
13:00Kocaelispor–Çaykur RizesporOur pick:BTTS no2.087 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.63X 3.372 2.5116:00Fenerbahçe–GöztepeOur pick:O 2.51.509 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.33X 5.192 7.9217:00Konyaspor–GalatasarayOur pick:H2 (−1)2.0510 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 2 more in the same direction1 4.80X 4.032 1.63