31 Oct
Erzurumspor vs Çorum: AI betting tips and pick
On 31 October, Erzurumspor host Çorum. The AI models' pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.88; Erzurumspor are unbeaten in 4.
- Super Lig, matchday 10 of 34
- +11°, overcast
- Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu, Erzurum
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Under 2.5 goals
1.88The market prices this option at 51%
Now 1.81 · 1.88 when published
AI models' pick · 4 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction
Under half back the betOur football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
1:2 8%2:1 8%0:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days an Erzurumspor win shortened from 2.79 to 2.60 — money is coming in on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Under 2.5: 1.88 → 1.81 since we published · Erzurumspor became the favourite in 1X2View
Since we published, our bet (under 2.5 goals) has shortened from 1.88 to 1.81: the market now rates it as more likely.
Price changes
| When | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 · our bet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.99+0.05 | 1.81−0.07 | |
| We published under 2.5 goals at 1.88 | ||
| 1.94opened | 1.88opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for under 2.5 goals. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: under 3.5 goals. 3 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 8 chose other bets: a Çorum win, a Çorum handicap, double chance, both teams to score, 'both to score — no' and an Erzurumspor win.
- 4 of 16U 2.5our betodds 1.88Qwen
GLMMiniMaxXiaomi MiMo - 1 of 16U 3.5same directionodds 1.32
Sonar - 3 of 16O 2.5odds 1.94Kimi
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 2 of 162odds 2.42
GrokNemotron Super - 1 of 16H2 (+1)odds 1.15DeepSeek Flash
- 1 of 16X2odds 1.44Claude
- 1 of 161Xodds 1.56
Gemini
- 1 of 16BTTSodds 1.72Mistral
- 1 of 16BTTS noodds 2.02DeepSeek
- 1 of 161odds 2.79ChatGPT
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 14:43 UTC
The last four meetings between these two have not produced three goals: 1-1 in May, 1-0 in December 2025, and 1-1 and 0-1 before that. At home Erzurumspor are even tighter: four matches with a goal scored and a goal conceded per game, three of them with a clean sheet for one side, and not once did both teams score. Over 2.5 goals has landed in only one in four of their home games, and the market puts the chance of under 2.5 goals at 51%, a shade better than an even chance at odds of 1.88. That is our pick.
Where we could be wrong
The case against is Çorum on the road. The visitors are averaging three goals a game away from home, and all four of their trips have gone over 2.5. They hold the ball a lot, and an early goal could stretch the match into a trade of attacks. Four home matches is also a short sample on which to call the hosts' defence impassable.
- 4 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Gaziantep | A | 3:1xG 0.7–1.1 | W |
| 17.10 | Eyüpspor | H | 2:0xG 1.2–0.4 | W |
| 10.10 | Alanyaspor | A | 0:0xG 1.7–1.0 | D |
| 20.09 | Samsunspor | H | 1:0xG 0.7–0.4 | W |
| 11.09 | Beşiktaş | A | 0:3xG 0.5–2.3 | L |
| 05.09 | Konyaspor | H | 1:0xG 1.2–1.6 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Göztepe | A | 0:2 | L |
| 16.10 | Çaykur Rizespor | H | 2:1xG 0.7–0.8 | W |
| 11.10 | Gaziantep | A | 3:0xG 2.7–1.0 | W |
| 19.09 | Alanyaspor | H | 1:2xG 1.1–1.2 | L |
| 12.09 | Samsunspor | A | 5:1xG 1.7–1.2 | W |
| 06.09 | Eyüpspor | H | 3:0xG 2.6–0.7 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Super Lig | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 0.9 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.7 | 1.5 |
| xG | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.4 |
| shots | 9.6 / 14.2 | 12.7 / 15.4 | 14 |
| shots on target | 2.9 / 4.3 | 5.1 / 5.2 | 4.7 |
| corners | 3 / 4.3 | 4.1 / 5.4 | 4.8 |
| fouls | 11.8 / 10.9 | 13.6 / 11.1 | 13 |
| yellow cards | 1.2 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 1.4 | 2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 44% | 78% | |
| both scored | 22% | 56% | |
| clean sheets | 44% | 22% | |
| failed to score | 44% | 22% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1 / 1 | 2.4 / 2.2 | |
| average total | 2 | 4.6 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 25% | 80% | |
| both scored | 0% | 60% | |
- Erzurumspor score less than the league average: 0.9 vs 1.5
- Çorum score more than the league average: 2 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Erzurumspor, away games only for Çorum
Head to head
6–3–1Erzurumspor wins · draws · Çorum wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Çorum vs Erzurumspor | 1:1 | 02.05.26 | TFF First League |
| Erzurumspor vs Çorum | 1:0 | 28.12.25 | TFF First League |
| Erzurumspor vs Çorum | 1:1 | 09.04.25 | TFF First League |
| Çorum vs Erzurumspor | 0:1 | 30.11.24 | TFF First League |
| Erzurumspor vs Çorum | 2:1 | 28.04.24 | TFF First League |
| Çorum vs Erzurumspor | 4:1 | 10.12.23 | TFF First League |
| Erzurumspor vs Çorum | 1:0 | 04.05.14 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Çorum vs Erzurumspor | 1:1 | 15.12.13 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Çorum vs Erzurumspor | 0:3 | 03.02.13 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Erzurumspor vs Çorum | 2:0 | 23.09.12 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
- both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 5-0-4 | 11–9 | 15 | LWLLW |
| 8 | Erzurumspor | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8–12 | 14 | LWDWW |
| 9 | Çorum | 9 | 4-1-4 | 18–15 | 13 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Göztepe | 9 | 3-3-3 | 19–16 | 12 | DDWWW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1501
- 16-3023
- 31-4511
- 46-6031
- 61-7514
- 76-9021
- 0-1543
- 16-3010
- 31-4522
- 46-6032
- 61-7533
- 76-9053
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals