31 Oct
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe: AI betting tips and pick
On 31 October, Fenerbahçe host Göztepe. The AI models' pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.50; Göztepe have won 3 in a row.
- Super Lig, matchday 10 of 34
- +15°, overcast, wind 16 km/h
- Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, Istanbul
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals
1.50The market prices this option at 63%
AI models' pick · 9 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 6 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:0 9%1:1 9%3:1 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 3 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days a Göztepe win drifted from 7.33 to 7.92 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementGöztepe 7.33 → 7.92 over 2 days · 3 snapshotsView
The biggest move is a Fenerbahçe win: from 1.38 to 1.33 — 1.4 pp of implied chance, more than any other outcome.
Price changes
| When | Fenerbahçe | Draw | Göztepe |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.33−0.05 | 5.19+0.10 | 7.92+0.59 | |
| 1.38opened | 5.09opened | 7.33opened |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for over 2.5 goals. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: over 3.5 goals. 3 more went for both teams to score. The other 3 chose other bets: a Fenerbahçe handicap.
- 6 of 15O 2.5our betodds 1.50Claude
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMax - 3 of 15O 3.5same directionodds 2.30ChatGPTDeepSeekNemotron Ultra
- 3 of 15BTTSodds 1.71
Gemini
GLMXiaomi MiMo - 2 of 15H1 (−1.5)odds 2.04MistralNemotron Super
- 1 of 15H1 (−1)odds 1.56
Sonar
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 14:43 UTC
Goals look likely at both ends here. Fenerbahçe are scoring four a game at home while conceding one, and all four of their home matches have gone over 2.5. Göztepe are not frugal on the road either: 2.6 scored and 1.8 conceded on average, five away games out of five with three or more goals, and both teams found the net in four of them. Across their last five matches Fenerbahçe have 15 goals for and two against, and the market rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Where we could be wrong
The previous meetings give pause: 0-0 in August 2025 and 1-1 in January. Against Fenerbahçe, Göztepe sit deeper and dig in, and their own numbers are far more modest than their away record suggests. The hosts have also kept a clean sheet in half of their home games, so a 2-0 with calm control of the ball is a perfectly live scenario. Even so, our pick is over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.50.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10 | Galatasaray | A | 1:2 | L |
| 20.10 | Slavia PragueChampions League | H | 2:2xG 1.1–1.5 | D |
| 17.10 | Alanyaspor | H | 3:0xG 2.8–0.1 | W |
| 14.10 | Aston VillaChampions League | A | 0:6xG 1.8–3.1 | L |
| 10.10 | Çaykur Rizespor | A | 3:0xG 1.0–1.5 | W |
| 03.10 | Turanclub friendly | A | 2:0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Çorum | H | 2:0 | W |
| 18.10 | Kocaelispor | A | 2:1xG 0.8–1.6 | W |
| 12.10 | Eyüpspor | A | 4:0xG 3.1–1.3 | W |
| 20.09 | Çaykur Rizespor | H | 2:2xG 2.8–0.8 | D |
| 12.09 | Alanyaspor | A | 2:2xG 1.8–1.7 | D |
| 07.09 | Gaziantep | H | 2:4xG 3.3–1.9 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Super Lig | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 2.6 / 0.9 | 2.1 / 1.8 | 1.5 |
| xG | 2.1 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.6 | 1.4 |
| shots | 16.8 / 14.4 | 16.1 / 15.8 | 14 |
| shots on target | 6.8 / 4.6 | 5.8 / 4.8 | 4.7 |
| corners | 6 / 4.3 | 4.6 / 4.6 | 4.8 |
| fouls | 13.2 / 10.3 | 16.2 / 9.1 | 13 |
| yellow cards | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1.7 | 2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 78% | 78% | |
| both scored | 44% | 67% | |
| clean sheets | 56% | 22% | |
| failed to score | 11% | 11% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 4 / 1 | 2.6 / 1.8 | |
| average total | 5 | 4.4 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| both scored | 50% | 80% | |
- Fenerbahçe score more than the league average: 2.6 vs 1.5
- Göztepe score more than the league average: 2.1 vs 1.5
- Göztepe: 3 league wins in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Fenerbahçe, away games only for Göztepe
Head to head
4–5–1Fenerbahçe wins · draws · Göztepe wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe | 1:1 | 25.01.26 | |
| Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe | 0:0 | 16.08.25 | |
| Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe | 3:2 | 26.01.25 | |
| Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe | 2:2 | 17.08.24 | |
| Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe | 2:0 | 16.04.22 | |
| Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe | 1:1 | 29.11.21 | |
| Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe | 0:1 | 21.02.21 | |
| Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe | 2:3 | 18.10.20 | |
| Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe | 2:1 | 04.07.20 | |
| Göztepe vs Fenerbahçe | 2:2 | 30.11.19 |
- both scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Beşiktaş | 9 | 6-0-3 | 18–10 | 18 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Fenerbahçe | 9 | 5-1-3 | 23–8 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 6 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | 4-4-1 | 13–9 | 16 | WDLWW |
| 9 | Çorum | 9 | 4-1-4 | 18–15 | 13 | WLWWL |
| 10 | Göztepe | 9 | 3-3-3 | 19–16 | 12 | DDWWW |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 9 | 3-3-3 | 9–11 | 12 | DWDLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1561
- 16-3030
- 31-4542
- 46-6041
- 61-7511
- 76-9041
- 0-1532
- 16-3022
- 31-4504
- 46-6042
- 61-7544
- 76-9033
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals