1 Nov
Union Berlin vs Köln: AI betting tips and pick
On 1 November, Union Berlin host Köln. The AI models' pick is Union Berlin +0 handicap at 1.86.
- Bundesliga, matchday 8 of 34
- +11°, overcast
- Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Union Berlin +0 handicap
1.86The market prices this option at 51%
Draw no bet: the stake is returned if the match ends level.
AI models' pick · 7 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 8 chose others
Under half back the betOur football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 8%2:2 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days a draw shortened from 3.62 to 3.59 — money is coming in on the draw.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementdraw 3.62 → 3.59 over 2 days · 7 snapshotsView
This market has barely moved: Union Berlin 2.50 → 2.48, Draw 3.62 → 3.59, Köln 2.62 → 2.62.
Price changes
| When | Union Berlin | Draw | Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.48 | 3.59+0.01 | 2.62+0.01 | |
| 25 Oct – 26 Oct · no snapshots for 18 h | |||
| 2.48−0.02 | 3.58−0.04 | 2.61−0.01 | |
| 2.50opened | 3.62opened | 2.62opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for Union Berlin draw no bet. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: a Union Berlin win. 5 more went for both teams to score. The other 3 chose other bets: a total-goals bet and double chance.
- 5 of 15DNB 1our betodds 1.86Claude
Gemini
GLMMiniMaxXiaomi MiMo - 2 of 151same directionodds 2.50DeepSeek FlashNemotron Super
- 5 of 15BTTSodds 1.52
GrokQwenMistral
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultra - 2 of 15U 2.5odds 2.25ChatGPTKimi
- 1 of 15X2odds 1.53
Sonar
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:02 UTC
This analysis was written on 25.10: the teams have played since, and the points, games or position in the table below have moved on.
Union Berlin have dominated this fixture: six wins, three draws and just one defeat in the last ten meetings, and Köln's only success in that run came back in May 2024. The visitors' away record this season is grim — three matches on the road, three defeats, an average of 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded, and not once have they kept a clean sheet. Union have been steadier at home: four matches, one win, two draws and one defeat, 1.3 goals a game, and in half of those home fixtures they did not concede. Draw no bet gives the stake back if the game ends level, which matters when three of the ten head-to-heads finished that way. Our pick is Union Berlin draw no bet at odds of 1.86.
Where we could be wrong
The wider season picture is the worry. Union sit 17th with five points, having scored 10 and conceded 20 in eight matches, with one win in their last five. Köln are higher up the table and their away games have been open affairs, so the scoreline here could go either way.
- 7 of 15 AI models back this bet; more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Union Berlin| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Augsburg | A | 1:1xG 1.2–1.9 | D |
| 17.10 | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0:0xG 0.9–1.4 | D |
| 10.10 | Elversberg | H | 1:0xG 1.1–0.2 | W |
| 26.09 | HNK Rijekaclub friendly | A | 1:0 | W |
| 18.09 | Bayern Munich | A | 0:7xG 0.3–3.7 | L |
| 11.09 | Schalke | H | 1:3xG 1.9–2.5 | L |
Köln| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Schalke | H | 0:0xG 1.3–0.7 | D |
| 16.10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 0:1xG 0.8–1.8 | L |
| 11.10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 2:1xG 1.3–1.2 | W |
| 03.10 | FC Viktoria Kölnclub friendly | A | 2:2 | D |
| 19.09 | Hamburg | A | 1:2 | L |
| 12.09 | Werder Bremen | H | 1:1 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Bundesliga |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 0.9 / 2.6 | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.8 |
| xG | 1.1 / 2 | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.8 |
| shots | 11.9 / 17 | 15.9 / 14.7 | 15.4 |
| shots on target | 3.9 / 6.7 | 5.3 / 5.6 | 5.4 |
| corners | 3.6 / 5.7 | 6 / 6.1 | 5.3 |
| fouls | 11.3 / 10.7 | 10.7 / 11.4 | 11.3 |
| yellow cards | 2.6 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1.9 | 1.8 |
| matches over 2.5 | 57% | 57% | |
| both scored | 43% | 71% | |
| clean sheets | 29% | 14% | |
| failed to score | 43% | 29% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 2.3 | |
| average total | 2.8 | 3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 67% | |
| both scored | 50% | 67% | |
- Union Berlin score less than the league average: 0.9 vs 1.8
- Köln score less than the league average: 1.1 vs 1.8
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Union Berlin, away games only for Köln
Head to head
6–3–1Union Berlin wins · draws · Köln wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin vs Köln | 2:2 | 02.05.26 | |
| Köln vs Union Berlin | 0:1 | 20.12.25 | |
| Köln vs Union Berlin | 3:2 | 11.05.24 | |
| Union Berlin vs Köln | 2:0 | 20.12.23 | |
| Union Berlin vs Köln | 0:0 | 04.03.23 | |
| Köln vs Union Berlin | 0:1 | 11.09.22 | |
| Union Berlin vs Köln | 1:0 | 01.04.22 | |
| Köln vs Union Berlin | 2:2 | 07.11.21 | |
| Union Berlin vs Köln | 2:1 | 13.03.21 | |
| Köln vs Union Berlin | 1:2 | 22.11.20 |
- both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 3-0-4 | 6–16 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | Köln | 7 | 2-2-3 | 8–11 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | Paderborn | 7 | 2-2-3 | 6–9 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 16 | Schalke | 7 | 1-3-3 | 4–7 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1-3-3 | 6–18 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | 1-0-6 | 11–22 | 3 | LLLLW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1513
- 16-3003
- 31-4502
- 46-6003
- 61-7515
- 76-9042
- 0-1510
- 16-3011
- 31-4503
- 46-6012
- 61-7523
- 76-9023
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
