Skip to content

31 Oct

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn: AI betting tips and pick

On 31 October, Borussia Mönchengladbach host Paderborn. The AI models' pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.47.

published · updated UTC

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Paderborn

AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals

1.47

The market prices this option at 64%

AI models' pick · 7 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 9 chose others

Under half back the bet

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

likely score

1:111%odds 7.81

2:1 9%1:2 7%2:2 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:17

result11.90−0.01X3.97−0.0323.50−0.02
total 3.5O2.16U1.71
both to scoreyes1.43no2.64−0.01
double chance1X1.29−0.01121.23−0.01X21.90+0.01
handicapH1 −12.54−0.01H2 +11.52+0.01
abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementdraw 4.00 → 3.97 over 2 days · 7 snapshotsView

This market has barely moved: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.91 → 1.90, Draw 4.00 → 3.97, Paderborn 3.52 → 3.50.

Borussia Mönchengladbach1.91 → 1.90Draw4.00 → 3.97Paderborn3.52 → 3.50
2.002.503.003.504.0018 hno data25 Oct26 Oct27 Oct3.973.501.90

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenBorussia MönchengladbachDrawPaderborn
1.903.97+0.023.50+0.01
25 Oct – 26 Oct · no snapshots for 18 h
1.90−0.013.95−0.053.49−0.03
1.91opened4.00opened3.52opened
7 snapshots · the prices changed 2 times

The largest group of AI models went for over 2.5 goals. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: over 3.5 goals. 5 more went for both teams to score. The other 4 chose other bets: a Borussia Mönchengladbach win, double chance and a Borussia Mönchengladbach handicap.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC

All three of Borussia Mönchengladbach's home games this season have gone past 2.5 goals, and the pattern is easy to explain: the hosts score 2.3 per match and concede 3.3, without a single clean sheet. Across their last five outings they have eight goals scored and 15 against, which is hard to call defending at all. Paderborn contribute to open games on the road too, with two of their three away matches producing more than 2.5 goals. The market rates over 2.5 goals at 64%, which sits about right against a price of 1.47, and that is our pick in this Bundesliga fixture.

Where we could be wrong

The worry is how quiet the newcomers are away from home: 0.7 goals a game, and four matches this season without scoring at all. If Paderborn sit deep and Borussia Mönchengladbach stop at one or two goals, the bet goes down.

  • 7 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 27.10
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Recent matches: Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23.10StuttgartA3:2xG 2.7–1.6W
18.10HoffenheimH1:2xG 0.4–1.8L
11.10KölnA1:2xG 1.2–1.3L
03.10FC St. Pauliclub friendlyA1:1D
24.09Sportfreunde Siegenclub friendlyA3:0W
19.09MainzH3:4xG 3.2–2.8L
Paderborn
Recent matches: Paderborn
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10HamburgH1:0xG 1.2–0.5W
17.10Werder BremenA2:2xG 1.0–2.9D
10.10StuttgartH0:2xG 2.0–2.5L
30.09DC Unitedclub friendlyA1:0W
20.09HoffenheimH3:1xG 0.7–1.5W
12.09Borussia DortmundA0:3xG 0.5–1.8L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstBorussia MönchengladbachPaderbornBundesliga
goals1.6 / 3.10.9 / 1.31.8
xG1.6 / 2.31 / 1.71.8
shots15.3 / 17.614 / 16.915.4
shots on target4.7 / 8.33.4 / 5.65.4
corners5.9 / 5.64.6 / 5.75.3
fouls14.7 / 1010.7 / 11.411.3
yellow cards3.3 / 1.91.3 / 1.31.8
matches over 2.5100%43%
both scored71%29%
clean sheets0%29%
failed to score29%57%
home / away
goals2.3 / 3.30.7 / 1.7
average total5.72.3
matches over 2.5100%67%
both scored100%33%

Head to head

last 7

6–0–1Borussia Mönchengladbach wins · draws · Paderborn wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Paderborn vs Borussia Mönchengladbach3:117.07.21club friendly
Paderborn vs Borussia Mönchengladbach0:222.08.20club friendly
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn2:022.08.20club friendly
Paderborn vs Borussia Mönchengladbach1:320.06.20
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn2:018.12.19
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Paderborn2:001.03.15
Paderborn vs Borussia Mönchengladbach1:227.09.14

League table

League standings: Bundesliga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
12Köln72-2-38–118DLWLD
13Paderborn72-2-36–98LWLDW
14Eintracht Frankfurt72-2-310–178WDLWL
17Union Berlin71-3-36–186LLWDD
18Borussia Mönchengladbach71-0-611–223LLLLW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Borussia Mönchengladbach
  • 0-1522
  • 16-3006
  • 31-4531
  • 46-6042
  • 61-7513
  • 76-9018
Paderborn
  • 0-1501
  • 16-3032
  • 31-4510
  • 46-6002
  • 61-7511
  • 76-9013

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Bundesliga fixtures
14:30Schalke–LeipzigOur pick:21.849 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.77X 3.922 1.8614:30Augsburg–FreiburgOur pick:O 2.51.4810 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.93X 3.802 2.1914:30Werder Bremen–HoffenheimOur pick:BTTS1.378 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.89X 3.892 2.18