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data updated 27.10 08:07

31 Oct

Augsburg vs Freiburg: AI betting tips and pick

On 31 October, Augsburg host Freiburg. The AI models' pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.48; Augsburg are winless in 5.

published · updated UTC

Augsburg
Freiburg

AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals

1.48

The market prices this option at 64%

AI models' pick · 10 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 6 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:110%odds 7.66

1:2 9%2:1 7%2:2 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:17

result12.93−0.04X3.80−0.0322.19+0.01
total 3.5O2.20+0.02U1.69
both to scoreyes1.42no2.72+0.02
double chance1X1.68121.25−0.01X21.39−0.01
handicapH1 +11.35−0.01H2 −13.13+0.05

Over 2 days an Augsburg win shortened from 2.97 to 2.93 — money is coming in on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementAugsburg 2.97 → 2.93 over 2 days · 7 snapshotsView

This market has barely moved: Augsburg 2.97 → 2.93, Draw 3.83 → 3.80, Freiburg 2.18 → 2.19.

Augsburg2.97 → 2.93Draw3.83 → 3.80Freiburg2.18 → 2.19
2.503.003.5018 hno data25 Oct26 Oct27 OctDraw 3.80Augsburg 2.93Freiburg 2.19

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenAugsburgDrawFreiburg
2.93+0.023.80+0.022.19−0.01
2.91−0.033.78−0.022.20+0.03
25 Oct – 26 Oct · no snapshots for 18 h
2.94−0.033.80−0.032.17−0.01
2.97opened3.83opened2.18opened
7 snapshots · the prices changed 3 times

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for over 2.5 goals. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: over 3.5 goals. 4 more went for both teams to score. The other 2 went for a Freiburg win.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC

Every one of Augsburg's three home games this season has gone past three goals: they average 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded, for a match average of 3.7. The hosts simply cannot defend — 13 goals scored and 12 conceded across their last five outings. Freiburg arrive with 30 goals from 11 matches this season, and two of their three away games went over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in two of the three as well. The bookmakers put a 64% chance on over 2.5 goals, and the both-teams-to-score picture does nothing to contradict that. Our pick is over 2.5 goals at 1.48.

Where we could be wrong

On the road, though, Freiburg are a different side: 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, an average of 2.7 goals, and the third-placed team in the table are perfectly capable of killing the game off. Previous meetings in Augsburg have been short of goals too — it finished 0-0 here in March 2025 — and three home matches are too small a sample to treat the hosts' current scoring rate as the rule. Freiburg also have the Conference League on their plate, so the line-up for the Bundesliga may not be the strongest available.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 27.10
Augsburg
Recent matches: Augsburg
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10Union BerlinH1:1xG 1.9–1.2D
17.10ElversbergA3:4xG 3.5–3.7L
10.10Bayern MunichH2:2xG 2.4–5.0D
02.10Hertha BSCclub friendlyH2:2D
19.09Werder BremenA2:3xG 1.1–2.8L
12.09Bayer LeverkusenH2:2xG 1.1–2.6D
Freiburg
Recent matches: Freiburg
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25.10Bayern MunichH1:3L
22.10MonacoConference LeagueA0:3xG 0.8–1.3L
18.10Bayer LeverkusenA1:2xG 1.1–1.7L
15.10JablonecConference LeagueH3:2xG 1.9–1.2W
11.10SchalkeH2:1xG 1.1–0.3W
03.10FC Luzernclub friendlyH4:2W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstAugsburgFreiburgBundesliga
goals2.4 / 1.92.3 / 1.31.8
xG2.2 / 2.71.7 / 1.21.8
shots17.7 / 19.716.1 / 10.315.4
shots on target6.7 / 6.95.1 / 3.45.4
corners5.9 / 65.1 / 3.95.3
fouls9.9 / 9.99.4 / 13.711.3
yellow cards1.6 / 1.61.7 / 1.71.8
matches over 2.586%86%
both scored86%71%
clean sheets14%29%
failed to score0%0%
home / away
goals2 / 1.31.3 / 1.3
average total3.32.7
matches over 2.575%67%
both scored75%67%
  • Augsburg score more than the league average: 2.4 vs 1.8
  • Freiburg score more than the league average: 2.3 vs 1.8
  • Augsburg without a win in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Augsburg, away games only for Freiburg

Head to head

last 10

2–2–6Augsburg wins · draws · Freiburg wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Augsburg vs Freiburg2:218.01.26
Freiburg vs Augsburg1:323.08.25
Augsburg vs Freiburg0:002.03.25
Freiburg vs Augsburg3:119.10.24
Augsburg vs Freiburg2:125.02.24
Freiburg vs Augsburg2:001.10.23
Freiburg vs Augsburg3:128.01.23
Augsburg vs Freiburg0:406.08.22
Augsburg vs Freiburg1:219.02.22
Freiburg vs Augsburg3:026.09.21
  • both scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 8 of 10

League table

League standings: Bundesliga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
2Borussia Dortmund75-2-012–417WWDDW
3Freiburg74-1-216–913WDWLL
4Bayer Leverkusen74-1-216–1213DWWWL
8Elversberg73-1-312–1510LDLWL
9Augsburg72-3-217–139DLDLD
10Hoffenheim73-0-414–149WLLWW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Augsburg
  • 0-1513
  • 16-3022
  • 31-4510
  • 46-6042
  • 61-7532
  • 76-9065
Freiburg
  • 0-1521
  • 16-3042
  • 31-4521
  • 46-6030
  • 61-7500
  • 76-9042

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Bundesliga fixtures
14:30Borussia Mönchengladbach–PaderbornOur pick:O 2.51.477 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.90X 3.972 3.5014:30Schalke–LeipzigOur pick:21.849 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.77X 3.922 1.8614:30Werder Bremen–HoffenheimOur pick:BTTS1.378 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.89X 3.892 2.18