31 Oct
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim: AI betting tips and pick
On 31 October, Werder Bremen host Hoffenheim. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.37; Werder Bremen are unbeaten in 5.
- Bundesliga, matchday 8 of 34
- +13°, overcast
- Weserstadion, Bremen
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.37The market prices this option at 68%
AI models' pick · Two directions drew level; the one priced closer to the line was taken
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
1:2 8%2:1 8%2:2 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days a draw shortened from 3.93 to 3.89 — money is coming in on the draw.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.37 → 1.37 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Yes 1.37 → 1.37, No 2.90 → 2.90.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| We published both teams score at 1.37 | ||
| 1.37opened | 2.90opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 5 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 3 went for over 3.5 goals.
- 8 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.37
GrokKimiMiniMaxMistral
Sonar
Dots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 5 of 16O 2.5odds 1.41DeepSeekQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMXiaomi MiMo - 3 of 16O 3.5odds 2.03ChatGPTClaude
Gemini
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC
Goals at both ends are the norm when these two meet. Hoffenheim won 3-1 in Bremen in February 2025, and in the autumn of 2024 the sides shared seven goals in a 4-3 thriller. At home Werder Bremen average 2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded, and both teams have found the net in all three games at the Weserstadion. Hoffenheim's away record tells much the same story: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded and not a single clean sheet. Neither side has shut an opponent out this season, and neither has been kept quiet either — 18 goals scored and 14 conceded for Werder, 20 and 19 for the visitors. The market puts the chance of both teams scoring at 68%, which fits that picture, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.37.
Where we could be wrong
The main warning sign comes from May, when Hoffenheim left the head-to-head with a 1-0 win, proof that they can smother the Werder attack when they get it right. The visitors are also juggling the Europa League, and rotation could blunt them going forward.
- Two directions drew the same number of AI models: the bet was taken from the one priced closer to the line.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Werder Bremen| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Mainz | A | 3:2xG 2.6–1.7 | W |
| 17.10 | Paderborn | H | 2:2xG 2.9–1.0 | D |
| 09.10 | Borussia Dortmund | A | 2:2xG 1.1–2.4 | D |
| 02.10 | Twenteclub friendly | A | 0:7 | L |
| 19.09 | Augsburg | H | 3:2xG 2.8–1.1 | W |
| 12.09 | Köln | A | 1:1 | D |
Hoffenheim| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Bayer Leverkusen | H | 3:0 | W |
| 22.10 | LyonEuropa League | H | 3:0xG 2.1–0.9 | W |
| 18.10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 2:1xG 1.8–0.4 | W |
| 15.10 | BeşiktaşEuropa League | H | 2:3xG 1.2–3.4 | L |
| 10.10 | Hamburg | H | 2:3xG 0.9–1.3 | L |
| 20.09 | Paderborn | A | 1:3xG 1.5–0.7 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Bundesliga |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 2.1 / 2 | 2 / 2 | 1.8 |
| xG | 1.8 / 1.6 | 2 / 1.3 | 1.8 |
| shots | 14.4 / 15.7 | 18.1 / 13 | 15.4 |
| shots on target | 7 / 5.9 | 5.4 / 4 | 5.4 |
| corners | 4 / 5.9 | 6.4 / 4.4 | 5.3 |
| fouls | 11 / 10.6 | 13.4 / 9.6 | 11.3 |
| yellow cards | 1.1 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 1.3 | 1.8 |
| matches over 2.5 | 86% | 100% | |
| both scored | 100% | 86% | |
| clean sheets | 0% | 14% | |
| failed to score | 0% | 0% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2.7 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 2.3 | |
| average total | 4.3 | 4 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 100% | 100% | |
| both scored | 100% | 100% | |
- Werder Bremen score more than the league average: 2.1 vs 1.8
- Hoffenheim shoot more often than the league average: 18.1 shots vs 15.4
- Werder Bremen unbeaten in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Werder Bremen, away games only for Hoffenheim
Head to head
2–1–7Werder Bremen wins · draws · Hoffenheim wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen | 1:0 | 09.05.26 | |
| Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim | 0:2 | 27.01.26 | |
| Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim | 1:3 | 16.02.25 | |
| Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen | 3:4 | 29.09.24 | |
| Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen | 2:1 | 03.03.24 | |
| Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim | 2:3 | 07.10.23 | |
| Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim | 1:2 | 02.04.23 | |
| Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen | 1:2 | 07.10.22 | |
| Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen | 4:0 | 21.02.21 | |
| Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim | 1:1 | 25.10.20 |
- both scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 7 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leipzig | 7 | 4-0-3 | 20–11 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3-3-1 | 15–14 | 12 | DWDDW |
| 7 | Mainz | 7 | 3-1-3 | 16–13 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2-3-2 | 17–13 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3-0-4 | 14–14 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 3-0-4 | 6–16 | 9 | LWWWL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1521
- 16-3014
- 31-4502
- 46-6013
- 61-7551
- 76-9063
- 0-1521
- 16-3011
- 31-4512
- 46-6043
- 61-7524
- 76-9013
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
