30 Oct
Cracovia vs Motor Lublin: AI betting tips and pick
On 30 October, Cracovia host Motor Lublin. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.57; Motor Lublin are unbeaten in 4.
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 13 of 34
- +9°, overcast
- Stadion Cracovii im. Józefa Piłsudskiego, Kraków
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.57The market prices this option at 59%
AI models' pick · 11 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 5 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 7%2:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 1 day a Motor Lublin win shortened from 3.29 to 3.26 — money is coming in on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.57 → 1.56 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Yes 1.57 → 1.56, No 2.26 → 2.26.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56−0.01 | 2.26 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.57 | ||
| 1.57opened | 2.26opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 4 more went for over 2.5 goals. One more went for Motor Lublin +1.5.
- 11 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.57ClaudeDeepSeek
GrokQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistral
SonarXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-Note - 4 of 16O 2.5odds 1.67ChatGPT
GeminiKimiNemotron Ultra - 1 of 16H2 (+1.5)odds 1.25Nemotron Super
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 16:38 UTC
Two sides from the bottom end of the Ekstraklasa table meet with very little solidity at the back. Cracovia have not kept a clean sheet in any of their six home matches, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 on average, and in two thirds of those games the goals came at both ends. Motor Lublin are even more open on the road: in five away matches both teams have scored every time, with an average of 3.6 goals, Motor themselves scoring 1.6 and conceding 2. The previous meetings have been anything but cautious — 3-3 in May 2026, and in October 2024 Cracovia won 6-2. The market rates goals at both ends at 59%, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.57.
Where we could be wrong
The warning sign is elsewhere. Cracovia fail to score at all in a third of their home games, and they already have four such matches this season. If the hosts misfire again, the game could easily come down to a single goal, especially as Motor have kept two clean sheets this season and points in a relegation fight encourage caution.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Cracovia| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Piast Gliwice | A | 1:3xG 1.5–1.8 | L |
| 17.10 | Legia Warsaw | H | 1:1xG 0.9–0.7 | D |
| 10.10 | Zagłębie Lubin | H | 3:1xG 2.9–1.1 | W |
| 03.10 | Niecieczaclub friendly | H | 2:3 | L |
| 19.09 | GKS Katowice | A | 2:3 | L |
| 13.09 | Wisła Płock | A | 1:3xG 1.1–1.5 | L |
Motor Lublin| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10 | Zagłębie Lubin | H | 2:2xG 2.1–0.6 | D |
| 17.10 | Śląsk Wrocław | H | 3:2xG 3.9–0.8 | W |
| 12.10 | Radomiak Radom | A | 3:2xG 2.6–0.9 | W |
| 19.09 | Górnik Zabrze | H | 0:0xG 0.5–1.2 | D |
| 11.09 | Raków Częstochowa | A | 1:2xG 1.8–1.0 | L |
| 05.09 | Legia Warsaw | H | 2:3xG 1.5–2.3 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 58% | 67% | |
| both scored | 67% | 75% | |
| clean sheets | 17% | 17% | |
| failed to score | 33% | 17% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 2 | |
| average total | 2.8 | 3.6 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 80% | |
| both scored | 67% | 100% | |
- Cracovia score less than the league average: 1.2 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Cracovia, away games only for Motor Lublin
Head to head
2–1–1Cracovia wins · draws · Motor Lublin wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin vs Cracovia | 3:3 | 16.05.26 | |
| Cracovia vs Motor Lublin | 1:2 | 22.11.25 | |
| Motor Lublin vs Cracovia | 0:1 | 26.04.25 | |
| Cracovia vs Motor Lublin | 6:2 | 26.10.24 |
- both scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 4
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wisła Płock | 11 | 4-2-5 | 10–16 | 14 | WWLWL |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3-4-5 | 17–21 | 13 | LDWWD |
| 13 | Cracovia | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14–19 | 12 | LLWDL |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 12 | 1-8-3 | 15–16 | 11 | DDLDD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1502
- 16-3004
- 31-4521
- 46-6044
- 61-7553
- 76-90+44
- 0-1502
- 16-3015
- 31-4514
- 46-6022
- 61-7551
- 76-90+78
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
