31 Oct
Wisła Płock vs Piast Gliwice: AI betting tips and pick
On 31 October, Wisła Płock host Piast Gliwice. The AI models' pick is under 2.5 goals at 2.03.
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 13 of 34
- +11°, drizzle
- Orlen Stadion, Płock
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Under 2.5 goals
2.03The market prices this option at 46%
Now 2.11 · 2.03 when published
AI models' pick · 12 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 4 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:0 9%0:0 9%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 1 day a Piast Gliwice win drifted from 3.03 to 3.29 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Under 2.5: 2.03 → 2.11 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (under 2.5 goals) has drifted from 2.03 to 2.11: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 · our bet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68−0.06 | 2.11+0.08 | |
| We published under 2.5 goals at 2.03 | ||
| 1.74opened | 2.03opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for under 2.5 goals. 2 more each for Piast Gliwice not losing and for a Piast Gliwice win.
- 12 of 16U 2.5our betodds 2.03ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxXiaomi MiMoNemotron Ultra - 2 of 16X2odds 1.65Mistral
Sonar - 2 of 162odds 3.03
Dots3-NoteNemotron Super
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 16:38 UTC
The last five meetings between Wisła Płock and Piast Gliwice all stayed within one or two goals: 1-0 in February 2026, 2-0 in August 2025, and 1-0 and 0-2 before that. At home Wisła score one goal a game on average and concede 0.8; over 2.5 goals has landed in only a quarter of their home matches, and in half of them the hosts failed to score at all. Piast are just as quiet on the road, with one goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game and over 2.5 goals in one away match out of five. The market rates under 2.5 goals at 46%, so at a price of 2.03 this is close to an even contest with the bookmakers, and that is our pick.
Where we could be wrong
The risk is obvious: Piast have racked up 25 goals in 12 matches this season, and an attack like that can break the pattern inside a single spell. Concede first and Wisła will have to open up, and the visitors rarely leave the free space unpunished.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Wisła Płock| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | A | 0:1xG 1.0–1.8 | L |
| 19.10 | Radomiak Radom | H | 1:0xG 0.5–1.2 | W |
| 09.10 | Wieczysta Kraków | A | 0:3xG 0.6–1.8 | L |
| 02.10 | Unia Skierniewiceclub friendly | H | 3:1 | W |
| 20.09 | Zagłębie Lubin | A | 2:0xG 1.2–1.1 | W |
| 13.09 | Cracovia | H | 3:1xG 1.5–1.1 | W |
Piast Gliwice| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Cracovia | H | 3:1xG 1.8–1.5 | W |
| 18.10 | Górnik Zabrze | A | 1:1xG 0.9–3.1 | D |
| 11.10 | Widzew Łódź | H | 2:1xG 1.6–1.8 | W |
| 02.10 | Wisła Krakówclub friendly | H | 3:4 | L |
| 20.09 | Pogoń Szczecin | H | 1:2xG 0.9–1.4 | L |
| 14.09 | Radomiak Radom | A | 2:0 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 45% | 58% | |
| both scored | 36% | 58% | |
| clean sheets | 27% | 25% | |
| failed to score | 45% | 17% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.2 | |
| average total | 1.8 | 2.2 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 25% | 20% | |
| both scored | 25% | 20% | |
- Wisła Płock score less than the league average: 0.9 vs 1.5
- Piast Gliwice score more than the league average: 1.8 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Wisła Płock, away games only for Piast Gliwice
Head to head
3–1–6Wisła Płock wins · draws · Piast Gliwice wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Płock | 1:0 | 09.02.26 | |
| Wisła Płock vs Piast Gliwice | 2:0 | 01.08.25 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Płock | 1:0 | 16.04.23 | |
| Wisła Płock vs Piast Gliwice | 1:0 | 30.09.22 | |
| Wisła Płock vs Piast Gliwice | 0:2 | 13.02.22 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Płock | 4:3 | 14.08.21 | |
| Wisła Płock vs Piast Gliwice | 0:1 | 03.04.21 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Płock | 2:2 | 23.10.20 | |
| Wisła Płock vs Piast Gliwice | 2:1 | 21.12.19 | |
| Piast Gliwice vs Wisła Płock | 1:0 | 18.08.19 |
- both scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wisła Kraków | 12 | 6-3-3 | 19–15 | 21 | WWLDW |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 12 | 6-2-4 | 22–18 | 20 | WLWDW |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 12 | 5-4-3 | 15–15 | 19 | WLLWD |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 11 | 5-0-6 | 14–17 | 15 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Wisła Płock | 11 | 4-2-5 | 10–16 | 14 | WWLWL |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3-4-5 | 17–21 | 13 | LDWWD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1521
- 16-3012
- 31-4523
- 46-6022
- 61-7515
- 76-9013
- 0-1533
- 16-3021
- 31-4541
- 46-6002
- 61-7529
- 76-90+103
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
