31 Oct
Wieczysta Kraków vs Jagiellonia Białystok: AI betting tips and pick
On 31 October, Wieczysta Kraków host Jagiellonia Białystok. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.48; Wieczysta Kraków have lost 3 in a row.
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 13 of 34
- +9°, overcast
- ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.48The market prices this option at 63%
Now 1.40 · 1.48 when published
AI models' pick · 12 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 4 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 8%2:2 6%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 3 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 1 day a draw drifted from 3.59 to 3.83 — fewer bets on the draw.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.48 → 1.40 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has shortened from 1.48 to 1.40: the market now rates it as more likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40−0.01 | 2.70+0.03 | |
| 1.41−0.07 | 2.67+0.20 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.48 | ||
| 1.48opened | 2.47opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 4 more went for over 2.5 goals.
- 12 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.48ClaudeDeepSeek
GrokQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxMistral
SonarXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 4 of 16O 2.5odds 1.57ChatGPT
GeminiKimi
GLM
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 16:38 UTC
Wieczysta Kraków have played four matches at home and both teams found the net in three of them. The hosts have never finished one of those games without scoring, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Jagiellonia Białystok have not kept a clean sheet in any of their five away trips, scoring and conceding 1.6 per game, and their matches on the road produce 3.2 goals on average.
The underlying numbers back it up: across the season Wieczysta have 1.72 xG of their own against 1.66 allowed, so the play almost always runs in both directions. The market puts the chance of both teams scoring at 63%, and that is the most readable part of this Ekstraklasa fixture. Our pick is both teams to score at 1.48.
Where we could be wrong
The one warning sign is Jagiellonia's attack: three goals in their last five matches, and in two of their five away games they failed to score at all.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Stats and form
Recent matches
Wieczysta Kraków| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Śląsk Wrocław | A | 0:2xG 1.7–2.9 | L |
| 16.10 | Raków Częstochowa | H | 1:2xG 1.6–2.7 | L |
| 12.10 | GKS Katowice | A | 1:2xG 2.6–0.9 | L |
| 09.10 | Wisła Płock | H | 3:0xG 1.8–0.6 | W |
| 02.10 | Puszcza Niepołomiceclub friendly | H | 4:3 | W |
| 18.09 | Widzew Łódź | A | 2:2xG 2.3–1.1 | D |
Jagiellonia Białystok| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Wisła Płock | H | 1:0xG 1.8–1.0 | W |
| 22.10 | AnderlechtEuropa League | H | 0:3xG 0.4–1.0 | L |
| 18.10 | Zagłębie Lubin | A | 0:1xG 1.5–2.0 | L |
| 15.10 | Ararat-ArmeniaEuropa League | H | 3:1xG 2.1–1.0 | W |
| 10.10 | Górnik Zabrze | H | 1:3xG 0.6–2.1 | L |
| 03.10 | Polonia Warszawaclub friendly | H | 1:2 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ekstraklasa |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 55% | |
| both scored | 67% | 55% | |
| clean sheets | 8% | 18% | |
| failed to score | 25% | 27% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.5 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.6 | |
| average total | 2.8 | 3.2 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 75% | 60% | |
| both scored | 75% | 60% | |
- Wieczysta Kraków score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
- Jagiellonia Białystok score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
- Wieczysta Kraków: 3 league defeats in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Wieczysta Kraków, away games only for Jagiellonia Białystok
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5-3-4 | 14–18 | 18 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 11 | 5-0-6 | 14–17 | 15 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Wisła Płock | 11 | 4-2-5 | 10–16 | 14 | WWLWL |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław | 12 | 2-3-7 | 16–22 | 9 | LLLLW |
| 16 | Wieczysta Kraków | 12 | 2-2-8 | 16–23 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2-2-8 | 12–28 | 8 | LLLLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1511
- 16-3021
- 31-4524
- 46-6024
- 61-7572
- 76-90+310
- 0-1502
- 16-3021
- 31-4561
- 46-6005
- 61-7511
- 76-9056
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
