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Śląsk Wrocław vs Wieczysta Kraków 2:0: result and odds

Śląsk Wrocław vs Wieczysta Kraków finished 2:0 in an upset; before kick-off the odds were 2.92 on a Śląsk Wrocław win (having opened at 2.84), 2.17 on a Wieczysta Kraków win and 3.68 on a draw. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.45, and it lost.

published · updated UTC

Śląsk Wrocław
Wieczysta Kraków

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.45

The market prices this option at 64%

AI models' pick · 12 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 3 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

lost−1.00 unitsclosing odds1.45CLV0%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.

likely score

1:111%odds 7.26

1:2 8%2:1 8%2:2 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 25.10 11:09

result12.92+0.08X3.68+0.0622.17−0.02
total 3O1.81−0.03U1.91+0.01
both to scoreyes1.45 — matches our betno2.55+0.02
double chance1X1.63+0.01121.26+0.01X21.37−0.02
handicapH1 +11.32+0.01H2 −13.12+0.03

Over 5 days a Śląsk Wrocław win drifted from 2.84 to 2.92 — fewer bets on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.45 → 1.45 since we publishedView

This market has barely moved: Yes 1.45 → 1.45, No 2.53 → 2.55.

Yes1.45 → 1.45our betNo2.53 → 2.55
1.501.752.002.252.5020 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25 OctWe published · 1.45No 2.55Yes 1.45

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.45−0.012.55
1.462.55+0.01
1.46+0.012.54
1.45−0.012.54+0.01
1.46+0.012.53
We published both teams score at 1.45
1.45opened2.53opened
80 snapshots · the prices changed 5 times

How the match went

half-time 2:0

match report · 25.10 13:21

Two goals before the break, both set up by Piotr Samiec-Talar, settled it for Śląsk Wrocław. Malaly Dembele scored on 24 minutes and Przemyslaw Banaszak made it 2-0 on 45+3, and that was the score at half-time and at the end. The numbers leaned the same way: 2.85 xG for the hosts against 1.69, though the visitors had 54% of the ball and four shots on target each. Wieczysta Kraków were the market favourites, rated 2.17 to win, while a Śląsk win paid 2.92. The exact 2-0 was on offer at 16.76, and the goal line of 3 finished under. Our both-teams-to-score bet, backed at odds of 1.45, went down: the visitors never scored.

  1. 18'Wieczysta KrakówKarol Fila YC
  2. 24'Śląsk WrocławMalaly Dembele (Piotr Samiec-Talar)1:0
  3. 45'Wieczysta KrakówPetar Pusic YC
  4. 45'Wieczysta Krakówon Lisandro Semedo, off Matúš Vojtko
  5. 45'Wieczysta Krakówon Ben Lederman, off Petar Pusic
  6. 45+3'Śląsk WrocławPrzemyslaw Banaszak (Piotr Samiec-Talar)2:0
  7. 57'Wieczysta Krakówon Kamil Dankowski, off Karol Fila
  8. 57'Wieczysta Krakówon José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido, off Tobias Christensen
  9. 62'Śląsk Wrocławon Adam Ciućka, off Piotr Samiec-Talar
  10. 70'Śląsk WrocławDominik Szala YC
  11. 73'Śląsk Wrocławon luka marjanac, off Malaly Dembele
  12. 73'Śląsk Wrocławon Leltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes, off Przemyslaw Banaszak
  13. 76'Wieczysta Krakówon Bartosz Bialek, off Efthymios Koulouris
  14. 78'Śląsk WrocławLamine Ba YC
  15. 83'Śląsk Wrocławon Adrian Żulewski, off Alex Timossi Andersson
  16. 84'Śląsk Wrocławon Grzegorz Tomasiewicz, off Karol Linetty
  17. 89'Śląsk Wrocławluka marjanac YC
Match stats: Śląsk Wrocław vs Wieczysta Kraków
Śląsk WrocławstatWieczysta Kraków
2.85expected goals (xG)1.69
15shots16
4on target4
46%possession54%
4corners7
8fouls9
4saves2
3yellow cards2
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Śląsk Wrocław

formation 5-3-2 · manager A. Šimundža

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1K. Niemczycki6.5
  • 27Jan Jurčec6.8
  • 44M. Malec7.5
  • 5L. Ba7.2
  • 2D. Szala7.4
  • 21A. Timossi Andersson7.7
  • 77E. Shabani6.9
  • 17K. Linetty6.6
  • 7P. Samiec-Talar — highest feed rating in the match8.3
  • 10M. Dembélé8.1
  • 19P. Banaszak7.7
substitutes
  • 33E. Matsenko
  • 18K. Borys
  • 25M. Szromnik
  • 31H. Sliczniak
  • 20G. Tomasiewiczon 84'6.8
  • 88A. Ciuckaon 62'7.2
  • 4M. Dijakovic
  • 9Ieltsin Camõeson 73'6.4
  • 26A. Zulewskion 83'7.0
  • 11L. Marjanacon 73'6.3
Wieczysta Kraków

formation 3-4-3 · manager Ž. Kopić

starting XIfeed rating
  • 77M. Kochalski6.9
  • 33K. Pestka6.9
  • 16A. Milić6.4
  • 15A. Đermanović6.1
  • 27M. Vojtko6.0
  • 20M. Maigaard7.1
  • 70P. Pušić6.6
  • 4K. Fila6.7
  • 12Lucas Piazón6.8
  • 9E. Koulouris6.3
  • 10T. Christensen5.9
substitutes
  • 17K. Dankowskion 57'6.3
  • 19José de la Rosaon 57'6.5
  • 55D. Dujmović
  • 11N. Knežević
  • 8B. Ledermanon 45'6.0
  • 88C. Lungoyi
  • 23Miki Villar
  • 1A. Mikułko
  • 7Lisandro Semedoon 45'6.5
  • 13K. Zagrodzki
  • 21B. Białekon 76'6.3

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. 3 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet lost.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 20.10 at 19:40 UTC

Śląsk Wrocław have lost all five of their Ekstraklasa matches, with six goals scored and 13 conceded. Yet at home, goals have come at both ends in 80% of their games, at an average of 3.4 per match. Wieczysta Kraków have not kept a clean sheet in seven away trips, both sides have scored in almost as many of them, and the average there is higher still at 3.7. Both previous meetings in Poland's First League brought goals from both teams: 3-3 in November 2025 and 1-1 in July 2025. The market rates both teams scoring at 64%, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.45.

Where we could be wrong

The home attack is the concern: 8.4 shots a game, 3.8 of them on target, and 1.11 xG against 2.47 for their opponents. Wieczysta have also been kept off the scoresheet in two of those seven away games, and if they simply control the ball in Wrocław against a Śląsk side short of ideas, there may be nobody to find the net.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 25.10
Śląsk Wrocław
Recent matches: Śląsk Wrocław
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17.10Motor LublinA2:3xG 0.8–3.9L
10.10Lech PoznańH1:4xG 0.8–2.0L
03.10Slovan Liberecclub friendlyH0:3L
18.09Wisła KrakówA1:2xG 0.8–2.5L
12.09Korona KielceH1:2xG 1.3–2.5L
06.09Jagiellonia BiałystokA1:2xG 1.9–1.4L
Wieczysta Kraków
Recent matches: Wieczysta Kraków
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16.10Raków CzęstochowaH1:2xG 1.6–2.7L
12.10GKS KatowiceA1:2xG 2.6–0.9L
09.10Wisła PłockH3:0xG 1.8–0.6W
02.10Puszcza Niepołomiceclub friendlyH4:3W
18.09Widzew ŁódźA2:2xG 2.3–1.1D
13.09Pogoń SzczecinA0:2xG 1.2–1.9L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstŚląsk WrocławWieczysta KrakówEkstraklasa
goals1.3 / 21.5 / 1.91.5
matches over 2.582%73%
both scored91%73%
clean sheets9%9%
failed to score9%18%
home / away
goals1.4 / 21.4 / 2.3
average total3.43.7
matches over 2.580%71%
both scored80%71%

Head to head

last 2

0–2–0Śląsk Wrocław wins · draws · Wieczysta Kraków wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Wieczysta Kraków vs Śląsk Wrocław3:330.11.25I Liga
Śląsk Wrocław vs Wieczysta Kraków1:118.07.25I Liga

League table

League standings: Ekstraklasa
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
14Widzew Łódź111-7-314–1510DDDLD
15Wieczysta Kraków112-2-716–218LDWLL
16Radomiak Radom112-2-79–248DLLLL
17Śląsk Wrocław111-3-714–226LLLLL
18Raków Częstochowa112-0-915–266WLLLW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 20.10

Goals by minute

league season
Śląsk Wrocław
  • 0-1521
  • 16-3002
  • 31-4524
  • 46-6004
  • 61-7524
  • 76-90+87
Wieczysta Kraków
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3020
  • 31-4524
  • 46-6023
  • 61-7572
  • 76-90+310

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Ekstraklasa results
1:0Jagiellonia Białystok–Wisła PłockOur pick:BTTS1.57prediction lost6 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.92X 3.632 3.581:2Legia Warsaw–Lech PoznańOur pick:BTTS1.51prediction won9 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.52X 3.442 2.572:1Wisła Kraków–Raków CzęstochowaOur pick:11.70prediction won10 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 1.80X 3.872 3.82