FINISHED
Śląsk Wrocław vs Wieczysta Kraków 2:0: result and odds
Śląsk Wrocław vs Wieczysta Kraków finished 2:0 in an upset; before kick-off the odds were 2.92 on a Śląsk Wrocław win (having opened at 2.84), 2.17 on a Wieczysta Kraków win and 3.68 on a draw. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.45, and it lost.
- Referee: Mateusz Piszczelok
- Ekstraklasa, matchday 12 of 34
- +10°, light rain, wind 25 km/h
- Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.45The market prices this option at 64%
AI models' pick · 12 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 3 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
- closing odds
- The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
- CLV
- How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
likely score
1:2 8%2:1 8%2:2 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 5 days a Śląsk Wrocław win drifted from 2.84 to 2.92 — fewer bets on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.45 → 1.45 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Yes 1.45 → 1.45, No 2.53 → 2.55.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45−0.01 | 2.55 | |
| 1.46 | 2.55+0.01 | |
| 1.46+0.01 | 2.54 | |
| 1.45−0.01 | 2.54+0.01 | |
| 1.46+0.01 | 2.53 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.45 | ||
| 1.45opened | 2.53opened | |
How the match went
Two goals before the break, both set up by Piotr Samiec-Talar, settled it for Śląsk Wrocław. Malaly Dembele scored on 24 minutes and Przemyslaw Banaszak made it 2-0 on 45+3, and that was the score at half-time and at the end. The numbers leaned the same way: 2.85 xG for the hosts against 1.69, though the visitors had 54% of the ball and four shots on target each. Wieczysta Kraków were the market favourites, rated 2.17 to win, while a Śląsk win paid 2.92. The exact 2-0 was on offer at 16.76, and the goal line of 3 finished under. Our both-teams-to-score bet, backed at odds of 1.45, went down: the visitors never scored.
- 18'
Karol Fila YC - 24'
Malaly Dembele (Piotr Samiec-Talar)1:0 - 45'
Petar Pusic YC - 45'
on Lisandro Semedo, off Matúš Vojtko - 45'
on Ben Lederman, off Petar Pusic - 45+3'
Przemyslaw Banaszak (Piotr Samiec-Talar)2:0 - 57'
on Kamil Dankowski, off Karol Fila - 57'
on José Antonio de la Rosa Garrido, off Tobias Christensen - 62'
on Adam Ciućka, off Piotr Samiec-Talar - 70'
Dominik Szala YC - 73'
on luka marjanac, off Malaly Dembele - 73'
on Leltsin Jeronimo Semedo Camoes, off Przemyslaw Banaszak - 76'
on Bartosz Bialek, off Efthymios Koulouris - 78'
Lamine Ba YC - 83'
on Adrian Żulewski, off Alex Timossi Andersson - 84'
on Grzegorz Tomasiewicz, off Karol Linetty - 89'
luka marjanac YC
| Śląsk Wrocław | stat | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | expected goals (xG) | 1.69 |
| 15 | shots | 16 |
| 4 | on target | 4 |
| 46% | possession | 54% |
| 4 | corners | 7 |
| 8 | fouls | 9 |
| 4 | saves | 2 |
| 3 | yellow cards | 2 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
- 1K. Niemczycki6.5
- 27Jan Jurčec6.8
- 44M. Malec7.5
- 5L. Ba7.2
- 2D. Szala7.4
- 21A. Timossi Andersson7.7
- 77E. Shabani6.9
- 17K. Linetty6.6
- 7P. Samiec-Talar — highest feed rating in the match8.3
- 10M. Dembélé8.1
- 19P. Banaszak7.7
- 33E. Matsenko
- 18K. Borys
- 25M. Szromnik
- 31H. Sliczniak
- 20G. Tomasiewiczon 84'6.8
- 88A. Ciuckaon 62'7.2
- 4M. Dijakovic
- 9Ieltsin Camõeson 73'6.4
- 26A. Zulewskion 83'7.0
- 11L. Marjanacon 73'6.3
- 77M. Kochalski6.9
- 33K. Pestka6.9
- 16A. Milić6.4
- 15A. Đermanović6.1
- 27M. Vojtko6.0
- 20M. Maigaard7.1
- 70P. Pušić6.6
- 4K. Fila6.7
- 12Lucas Piazón6.8
- 9E. Koulouris6.3
- 10T. Christensen5.9
- 17K. Dankowskion 57'6.3
- 19José de la Rosaon 57'6.5
- 55D. Dujmović
- 11N. Knežević
- 8B. Ledermanon 45'6.0
- 88C. Lungoyi
- 23Miki Villar
- 1A. Mikułko
- 7Lisandro Semedoon 45'6.5
- 13K. Zagrodzki
- 21B. Białekon 76'6.3
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. 3 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet lost.
- 12 of 15BTTSour betodds 1.45ClaudeDeepSeekKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistral
SonarXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron Ultralost - 3 of 15O 2.5odds 1.52ChatGPT
Gemini
Groklost
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 20.10 at 19:40 UTC
Śląsk Wrocław have lost all five of their Ekstraklasa matches, with six goals scored and 13 conceded. Yet at home, goals have come at both ends in 80% of their games, at an average of 3.4 per match. Wieczysta Kraków have not kept a clean sheet in seven away trips, both sides have scored in almost as many of them, and the average there is higher still at 3.7. Both previous meetings in Poland's First League brought goals from both teams: 3-3 in November 2025 and 1-1 in July 2025. The market rates both teams scoring at 64%, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.45.
Where we could be wrong
The home attack is the concern: 8.4 shots a game, 3.8 of them on target, and 1.11 xG against 2.47 for their opponents. Wieczysta have also been kept off the scoresheet in two of those seven away games, and if they simply control the ball in Wrocław against a Śląsk side short of ideas, there may be nobody to find the net.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | Motor Lublin | A | 2:3xG 0.8–3.9 | L |
| 10.10 | Lech Poznań | H | 1:4xG 0.8–2.0 | L |
| 03.10 | Slovan Liberecclub friendly | H | 0:3 | L |
| 18.09 | Wisła Kraków | A | 1:2xG 0.8–2.5 | L |
| 12.09 | Korona Kielce | H | 1:2xG 1.3–2.5 | L |
| 06.09 | Jagiellonia Białystok | A | 1:2xG 1.9–1.4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10 | Raków Częstochowa | H | 1:2xG 1.6–2.7 | L |
| 12.10 | GKS Katowice | A | 1:2xG 2.6–0.9 | L |
| 09.10 | Wisła Płock | H | 3:0xG 1.8–0.6 | W |
| 02.10 | Puszcza Niepołomiceclub friendly | H | 4:3 | W |
| 18.09 | Widzew Łódź | A | 2:2xG 2.3–1.1 | D |
| 13.09 | Pogoń Szczecin | A | 0:2xG 1.2–1.9 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Ekstraklasa | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.3 / 2 | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.5 |
| matches over 2.5 | 82% | 73% | |
| both scored | 91% | 73% | |
| clean sheets | 9% | 9% | |
| failed to score | 9% | 18% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.4 / 2 | 1.4 / 2.3 | |
| average total | 3.4 | 3.7 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 80% | 71% | |
| both scored | 80% | 71% | |
- Śląsk Wrocław score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
- Śląsk Wrocław: 5 league defeats in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Śląsk Wrocław, away games only for Wieczysta Kraków
Head to head
0–2–0Śląsk Wrocław wins · draws · Wieczysta Kraków wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wieczysta Kraków vs Śląsk Wrocław | 3:3 | 30.11.25 | I Liga |
| Śląsk Wrocław vs Wieczysta Kraków | 1:1 | 18.07.25 | I Liga |
- both scored in 2 of the last 2 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 1 of 2
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 11 | 1-7-3 | 14–15 | 10 | DDDLD |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2-2-7 | 16–21 | 8 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 2-2-7 | 9–24 | 8 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Śląsk Wrocław | 11 | 1-3-7 | 14–22 | 6 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 2-0-9 | 15–26 | 6 | WLLLW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 20.10
Goals by minute
- 0-1521
- 16-3002
- 31-4524
- 46-6004
- 61-7524
- 76-90+87
- 0-1511
- 16-3020
- 31-4524
- 46-6023
- 61-7572
- 76-90+310
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals