2 Nov
Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna: AI betting tips and pick
On 2 November, Deportivo La Coruña host Osasuna. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.89; Deportivo La Coruña are winless in 5.
- LaLiga, matchday 11 of 38
- +14°, fog
- Estadio Abanca-Riazor, A Coruña
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.89The market prices this option at 49%
Now 1.91 · 1.89 when published
AI models' pick · 13 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 3 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
1:0 9%0:0 9%2:1 9%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days an Osasuna win drifted from 3.27 to 3.40 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.89 → 1.91 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.89 to 1.91: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91+0.02 | 1.81−0.02 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.89 | ||
| 1.89opened | 1.83opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 2 more went for over 2.5 goals. One more went for a Deportivo La Coruña win.
- 13 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.89ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
GeminiKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 2 of 16O 2.5odds 2.21
Grok
Sonar - 1 of 161odds 2.25MiniMax
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC
Deportivo La Coruña and Osasuna are separated by a single place in the LaLiga table and level on points, and they meet in a game where both defences keep springing leaks. Deportivo have yet to keep a clean sheet at home: in five matches there both teams scored 80% of the time, with the hosts averaging 1.2 goals scored and one conceded per game. Osasuna's away trips follow much the same script — four matches, 1.5 scored and 3.8 conceded on average, both teams on the scoresheet in 75% of them and nobody keeping a clean sheet. The prices do not separate these two by much either, 2.25 on the home win against 3.27 on the away win, and games like that tend to end with goals at both ends. We're backing both teams to score at 1.89.
Where we could be wrong
The worry is how frugal the hosts are going forward. Deportivo's home matches average 2.2 goals, over 2.5 goals has landed only once in five, and twice this season they have failed to score at all. Osasuna have also drawn a blank in a quarter of their away games, so a win to nil for either side is a genuine possibility here.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Atlético Madrid | A | 0:1xG 1.7–1.5 | L |
| 16.10 | Levante | H | 1:1xG 1.1–0.8 | D |
| 11.10 | Real Sociedad | A | 2:3xG 2.1–1.4 | L |
| 02.10 | Portoclub friendly | H | 1:3 | L |
| 25.09 | Penafielclub friendly | A | 2:2 | D |
| 20.09 | Real Betis | H | 1:1xG 2.1–0.8 | D |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10 | Sevilla | A | 0:2 | L |
| 18.10 | Racing Santander | H | 2:0xG 3.4–0.3 | W |
| 11.10 | Real Betis | A | 2:5xG 1.9–2.9 | L |
| 19.09 | Rayo Vallecano | H | 1:1xG 0.5–1.0 | D |
| 16.09 | Atlético Madrid | A | 0:4 | L |
| 12.09 | Espanyol | H | 0:2 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | LaLiga | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1 / 2 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.4 |
| shots | 12 / 13.3 | 10.7 / 13.6 | 13.5 |
| shots on target | 4.4 / 4.3 | 4.1 / 4.2 | 4.7 |
| corners | 5.1 / 5.2 | 3.6 / 5.1 | 4.9 |
| fouls | 12.3 / 11.9 | 14 / 12.2 | 12.3 |
| yellow cards | 1.9 / 2.1 | 2.6 / 1.8 | 2.2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 30% | 40% | |
| both scored | 80% | 40% | |
| clean sheets | 0% | 30% | |
| failed to score | 20% | 40% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.2 / 1 | 1.2 / 3.4 | |
| average total | 2.2 | 4.6 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 20% | 80% | |
| both scored | 80% | 60% | |
- Deportivo La Coruña score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
- Osasuna score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.5
- Deportivo La Coruña without a win in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Deportivo La Coruña, away games only for Osasuna
Head to head
3–3–3Deportivo La Coruña wins · draws · Osasuna wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna | 1:2 | 16.12.21 | Copa del Rey |
| Osasuna vs Deportivo La Coruña | 2:1 | 13.04.19 | Segunda División |
| Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna | 2:0 | 24.11.18 | Segunda División |
| Osasuna vs Deportivo La Coruña | 2:2 | 30.04.17 | |
| Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna | 2:0 | 18.12.16 | |
| Osasuna vs Deportivo La Coruña | 2:1 | 20.01.13 | |
| Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna | 2:0 | 20.08.12 | |
| Osasuna vs Deportivo La Coruña | 0:0 | 02.03.11 | |
| Deportivo La Coruña vs Osasuna | 0:0 | 17.10.10 |
- both scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 9
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15–14 | 12 | WWLDW |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruña | 10 | 2-5-3 | 13–13 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10–20 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15–26 | 11 | LLDLW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1501
- 16-3033
- 31-4513
- 46-6004
- 61-7531
- 76-9052
- 0-1513
- 16-3013
- 31-4512
- 46-6053
- 61-7523
- 76-9013
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals