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data updated 27.10 08:07

1 Nov

Elche vs Valencia: AI betting tips and pick

On 1 November, Elche host Valencia. The AI models' pick is Elche +0 handicap at 1.81; Elche are unbeaten in 4.

published · updated UTC

Elche
Valencia

AI models' pick: Elche +0 handicap

1.81

The market prices this option at 53%

Draw no bet: the stake is returned if the match ends level.

AI models' pick · 6 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction

Under half back the bet

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:114%odds 6.31

2:1 8%1:2 8%0:0 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:17

result12.48X3.34−0.0322.77−0.02
total 2.5O1.94+0.02U1.88
both to scoreyes1.70−0.01no2.05+0.01
double chance1X1.43+0.01121.31X21.52−0.01
handicapH1 −14.04+0.01H2 +11.22

Over 2 days a draw shortened from 3.37 to 3.34 — money is coming in on the draw.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementdraw 3.37 → 3.34 over 2 days · 2 snapshotsView

This market has barely moved: Elche 2.48 → 2.48, Draw 3.37 → 3.34, Valencia 2.79 → 2.77.

Elche2.48 → 2.48Draw3.37 → 3.34Valencia2.79 → 2.77
2.402.602.803.003.203.4025 Oct27 OctDraw 3.34Valencia 2.77Elche 2.48

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenElcheDrawValencia
2.483.34−0.032.77−0.02
2.48opened3.37opened2.79opened
2 snapshots · the prices changed 1 time

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for Elche draw no bet. 4 more chose close bets in the same direction: an Elche win and Elche not losing. 4 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 5 chose other bets: a total-goals bet, both teams to score and a Valencia win.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC

This analysis was written on 25.10: the teams have played since, and the points, games or position in the table below have moved on.

Valencia have scored just 7 goals in 10 LaLiga matches and manage only 2.9 shots on target a game. On the road it is one win and three slip-ups, with one goal a match. Elche have gone three games in a row without defeat inside their last five and sit above the visitors, 7 points to 6 after nine rounds. The last two meetings went the hosts' way too: a 1-0 win in April 2026 and a 1-1 draw in January 2026. Our pick is Elche draw no bet at odds of 1.81, and the prices give it a little better than half the chances. The stake back on a draw is no luxury here, because Elche have yet to win at home this season.

Where we could be wrong

Elche's home defence concedes 2.8 goals a game, and one incisive spell from Valencia would be enough for them to take something away. In ten previous meetings the visitors have six wins and two draws, so Elche have historically struggled against this opponent.

  • 6 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction; more than half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 27.10
Elche
Recent matches: Elche
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10Rayo VallecanoA3:0xG 2.6–1.6W
17.10VillarrealA0:0xG 0.3–2.2D
11.10Celta VigoH0:0xG 0.8–0.5D
18.09EspanyolA3:1xG 1.6–1.1W
15.09Real MadridH2:3xG 0.8–3.6L
12.09Athletic BilbaoA1:1D
Valencia
Recent matches: Valencia
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10VillarrealH1:2xG 1.2–1.5L
17.10Athletic BilbaoH0:0xG 1.5–0.7D
11.10Racing SantanderA2:2xG 1.7–1.3D
20.09Real SociedadH2:3xG 1.6–2.6L
15.09Deportivo AlavésA1:0xG 0.7–1.1W
11.09SevillaA0:1L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstElcheValenciaLaLiga
goals1.4 / 1.70.7 / 1.71.5
xG1.2 / 1.81 / 1.51.4
shots11.5 / 15.210.9 / 15.513.5
shots on target4.7 / 4.52.9 / 4.94.7
corners4.4 / 4.54.2 / 4.94.9
fouls13.2 / 13.511.6 / 11.212.3
yellow cards2.5 / 22.5 / 2.12.2
matches over 2.560%50%
both scored60%40%
clean sheets30%30%
failed to score30%50%
home / away
goals1 / 2.81 / 1.5
average total3.82.5
matches over 2.575%50%
both scored50%50%
  • Elche shoot less often than the league average: 11.5 shots vs 13.5
  • Valencia score less than the league average: 0.7 vs 1.5
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Elche, away games only for Valencia

Head to head

last 10

2–2–6Elche wins · draws · Valencia wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Elche vs Valencia1:011.04.26
Valencia vs Elche1:110.01.26
Elche vs Valencia0:223.04.23
Valencia vs Elche2:215.10.22
Elche vs Valencia0:119.03.22
Valencia vs Elche2:111.12.21
Valencia vs Elche1:030.01.21
Elche vs Valencia2:123.10.20
Elche vs Valencia0:420.03.15
Valencia vs Elche3:125.10.14
  • both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10

League table

League standings: LaLiga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
14Levante102-4-416–1910LDDWL
15Elche102-4-414–1710LWDDW
16Rayo Vallecano92-3-412–209LWDDL
18Espanyol102-2-612–148LLDLL
19Valencia101-3-67–176WLDDL
20Málaga100-5-57–195LLDLD

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Elche
  • 0-1503
  • 16-3042
  • 31-4514
  • 46-6010
  • 61-7552
  • 76-9063
Valencia
  • 0-1521
  • 16-3013
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6022
  • 61-7511
  • 76-9018

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full LaLiga fixtures
15:15Racing Santander–Real MadridOur pick:BTTS1.468 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 8.91X 6.682 1.2520:00Athletic Bilbao–Real SociedadOur pick:BTTS1.689 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.07X 3.572 3.3213:00Getafe–SevillaOur pick:U 2.51.4511 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.98X 2.972 2.54