1 Nov
Getafe vs Sevilla: AI betting tips and pick
On 1 November, Getafe host Sevilla. The AI models' pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.45.
- LaLiga, matchday 11 of 38
- +20°, clear
- Estadio Coliseum, Getafe
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Under 2.5 goals
1.45The market prices this option at 65%
AI models' pick · 11 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 5 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
0:0 12%0:1 10%1:0 10%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days a Getafe win drifted from 2.88 to 2.98 — fewer bets on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Under 2.5: 1.45 → 1.45 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Over 2.5 2.66 → 2.68, Under 2.5 1.45 → 1.45.
Price changes
| When | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 · our bet |
|---|---|---|
| 2.68+0.02 | 1.45 | |
| We published under 2.5 goals at 1.45 | ||
| 2.66opened | 1.45opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for under 2.5 goals. 2 more went for both teams to score. The other 3 chose a bet each: a Sevilla handicap, a Sevilla win and a draw.
- 11 of 16U 2.5our betodds 1.45ClaudeDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimiQwen
GLMMiniMax
SonarXiaomi MiMoNemotron Ultra - 2 of 16BTTSodds 2.14DeepSeek FlashMistral
- 1 of 16DNB 2odds 1.82
Dots3-Note - 1 of 162odds 2.64Nemotron Super
- 1 of 16Xodds 2.99ChatGPT
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC
Getafe have made their home ground a hard place to find goals. Not one of their five home matches this season has produced three goals, with an average of 1.6 per game: a goal a game scored, 0.6 conceded. The previous meetings tell the same story — Sevilla won 1-0 at Getafe in February 2026, the game a year earlier on the same pitch finished 0-0, and the September 2024 fixture ended 1-0. The prices say the same thing about a tight contest: 2.88 the home win, 2.99 the draw, 2.64 the away win, with nobody prepared to call a favourite. Around 65% of the market's reckoning sits with under 2.5 goals, and that is our pick.
Where we could be wrong
The case against is Sevilla on the road, where life is very different: their away games have averaged 3.6 goals and both teams have scored in four of the five. An early goal for the visitors would force Getafe forward, and with 12 scored and 20 conceded this season they have already come unstuck more than once when the game opens up.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Getafe| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Athletic Bilbao | A | 0:4 | L |
| 22.10 | LuganoConference League | H | 2:5xG 2.5–1.9 | L |
| 19.10 | Rayo Vallecano | H | 1:1xG 0.6–2.3 | D |
| 15.10 | Universitatea CraiovaConference League | A | 1:1xG 1.4–0.6 | D |
| 10.10 | Barcelona | A | 0:3xG 0.1–1.9 | L |
| 20.09 | Málaga | H | 1:0xG 0.9–0.5 | W |
Sevilla| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10 | Osasuna | H | 2:0 | W |
| 18.10 | Real Madrid | A | 1:4xG 0.2–1.5 | L |
| 12.10 | Levante | A | 3:3xG 2.2–1.9 | D |
| 02.10 | Aston Villaclub friendly | H | 1:3 | L |
| 19.09 | Barcelona | H | 1:3xG 0.4–3.5 | L |
| 16.09 | Deportivo La Coruña | A | 1:0 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | LaLiga |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.5 |
| xG | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.4 | 1.4 |
| shots | 10.5 / 14.8 | 12.3 / 12.4 | 13.5 |
| shots on target | 2.5 / 4.8 | 4.6 / 4.7 | 4.7 |
| corners | 4.2 / 5.6 | 3.4 / 3.5 | 4.9 |
| fouls | 14.1 / 12.6 | 14.3 / 12.5 | 12.3 |
| yellow cards | 3.2 / 2.3 | 2.7 / 1.9 | 2.2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 30% | 60% | |
| both scored | 30% | 70% | |
| clean sheets | 20% | 30% | |
| failed to score | 50% | 0% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1 / 0.6 | 1.8 / 1.8 | |
| average total | 1.6 | 3.6 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 0% | 60% | |
| both scored | 60% | 80% | |
- Getafe score less than the league average: 0.5 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Getafe, away games only for Sevilla
Head to head
3–1–6Getafe wins · draws · Sevilla wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe vs Sevilla | 0:1 | 22.02.26 | |
| Sevilla vs Getafe | 1:2 | 25.08.25 | |
| Getafe vs Sevilla | 0:0 | 01.02.25 | |
| Sevilla vs Getafe | 1:0 | 14.09.24 | |
| Getafe vs Sevilla | 0:1 | 30.03.24 | |
| Getafe vs Sevilla | 1:3 | 16.01.24 | Copa del Rey |
| Sevilla vs Getafe | 0:3 | 16.12.23 | |
| Getafe vs Sevilla | 2:0 | 19.03.23 | |
| Sevilla vs Getafe | 2:1 | 08.01.23 | |
| Sevilla vs Getafe | 1:0 | 09.01.22 |
- both scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6-1-3 | 19–18 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5-2-3 | 16–16 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Deportivo Alavés | 10 | 3-3-4 | 14–11 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2-3-4 | 12–20 | 9 | LWDDL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2-3-5 | 5–15 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12–14 | 8 | LLDLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1502
- 16-3011
- 31-4502
- 46-6011
- 61-7512
- 76-9023
- 0-1522
- 16-3013
- 31-4502
- 46-6052
- 61-7513
- 76-9054
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
