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data updated 27.10 08:07

31 Oct

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo: AI betting tips and pick

On 31 October, Rayo Vallecano host Celta Vigo. The AI models' pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.80; Celta Vigo are unbeaten in 5.

published · updated UTC

Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo

AI models' pick: Under 2.5 goals

1.80

The market prices this option at 53%

Now 1.74 · 1.80 when published

AI models' pick · 10 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 6 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:114%odds 5.94

0:0 10%1:0 10%2:1 9%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:17

result12.35+0.06X3.27−0.0823.03−0.09
total 2.5O2.11+0.08U1.74 — matches our bet−0.06
both to scoreyes1.81+0.03no1.92−0.03
double chance1X1.36121.33X21.59−0.04
handicapH1 −13.78+0.19H2 +11.26−0.02

Over 2 days a Celta Vigo win shortened from 3.12 to 3.03 — money is coming in on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Under 2.5: 1.80 → 1.74 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (under 2.5 goals) has shortened from 1.80 to 1.74: the market now rates it as more likely.

Over 2.52.03 → 2.11Under 2.51.80 → 1.74our bet
1.801.902.002.1025 Oct27 OctWe published · 1.80Over 2.5 2.11Under 2.5 1.74

Price changes

Price changes in the Total 2.5 market
WhenOver 2.5Under 2.5 · our bet
2.11+0.081.74−0.06
We published under 2.5 goals at 1.80
2.03opened1.80opened
2 snapshots · the prices changed 1 time

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for under 2.5 goals. 2 more each for both teams to score and for a Rayo Vallecano win. The other 2 chose a bet each: double chance and a Rayo Vallecano handicap.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC

Celta Vigo have been extremely frugal on the road: 0.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game, no wins in four away trips, and not once has one of those matches gone over 2.5 goals. Rayo Vallecano are not creating much either, with 12 goals scored and 20 conceded in ten rounds of LaLiga, and an xG of 1.27 against 1.43. The previous meetings tell the same story: 0-0 in December 2023, 0-0 in March 2024, 1-1 in September 2025. The market rates under 2.5 goals at 53%.

Where we could be wrong

Rayo's home games have followed a different script, though: three matches averaging 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring every time. Celta also have the Europa League in their calendar, and rotation ahead of this trip to Madrid could break the visitors' usual caution in either direction. Our pick is under 2.5 goals at 1.80.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 27.10
Rayo Vallecano
Recent matches: Rayo Vallecano
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10ElcheH0:3xG 1.6–2.6L
19.10GetafeA1:1xG 2.3–0.6D
10.10Athletic BilbaoH0:0xG 0.0–0.1D
19.09OsasunaA1:1xG 1.0–0.5D
15.09EspanyolH2:1xG 1.5–1.5W
12.09Real MadridA1:4L
Celta Vigo
Recent matches: Celta Vigo
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25.10Real BetisH0:0D
22.10CelticEuropa LeagueA2:1xG 1.4–0.6W
18.10Deportivo AlavésH2:1xG 0.9–1.1W
15.10JuventusEuropa LeagueH1:2xG 1.1–1.9L
11.10ElcheA0:0xG 0.5–0.8D
19.09Racing SantanderH5:0xG 2.1–0.8W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstRayo VallecanoCelta VigoLaLiga
goals1.3 / 2.21 / 0.71.5
xG1.4 / 1.70.9 / 1.21.4
shots14.8 / 169.7 / 13.513.5
shots on target4.7 / 5.83.3 / 4.14.7
corners5.3 / 62.8 / 4.64.9
fouls13.1 / 12.811.9 / 14.212.3
yellow cards2.6 / 2.31.7 / 2.12.2
matches over 2.567%30%
both scored89%40%
clean sheets0%50%
failed to score11%50%
home / away
goals1.5 / 1.80.3 / 0.3
average total3.30.5
matches over 2.575%0%
both scored75%25%
  • Rayo Vallecano score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
  • Celta Vigo score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.5
  • Celta Vigo unbeaten in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Rayo Vallecano, away games only for Celta Vigo

Head to head

last 10

2–5–3Rayo Vallecano wins · draws · Celta Vigo wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano3:018.01.26
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo1:121.09.25
Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano1:218.05.25
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo2:110.01.25
Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano0:031.03.24
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo0:011.12.23
Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano3:011.03.23
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo0:010.11.22
Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano2:005.02.22
Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo0:001.11.21
  • both scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10

League table

League standings: LaLiga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
8Athletic Bilbao93-3-312–912DDDLW
9Celta Vigo102-6-210–712DWDWD
10Villarreal103-3-415–1412WWLDW
15Elche102-4-414–1710LWDDW
16Rayo Vallecano92-3-412–209LWDDL
17Getafe102-3-55–159LWLDL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Rayo Vallecano
  • 0-1542
  • 16-3026
  • 31-4512
  • 46-6063
  • 61-7502
  • 76-9004
Celta Vigo
  • 0-1510
  • 16-3003
  • 31-4530
  • 46-6021
  • 61-7521
  • 76-9022

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full LaLiga fixtures
13:00Levante–Atlético MadridOur pick:21.605 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 4.82X 4.342 1.6017:30Real Betis–MálagaOur pick:H1 (−1.5)2.108 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 1.39X 5.042 7.1020:00Barcelona–Deportivo AlavésOur pick:H1 (−2.5)1.9113 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 1.11X 9.152 21.21