31 Oct
Levante vs Atlético Madrid: AI betting tips and pick
On 31 October, Levante host Atlético Madrid. The AI models' pick is Atlético Madrid to win at 1.60; Atlético Madrid have won 5 in a row.
- LaLiga, matchday 11 of 38
- +20°, overcast
- Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Atlético Madrid to win
1.60The market prices this option at 59%
AI models' pick · 5 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction
Under half back the betOur football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
1:2 10%0:2 8%0:1 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days the line on the result has held: prices have not moved by a single tick.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Atlético Madrid: 1.60 → 1.60 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Levante 4.82 → 4.82, Draw 4.34 → 4.34, Atlético Madrid 1.60 → 1.60.
Price changes
| When | Levante | Draw | Atlético Madrid · our bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| We published an Atlético Madrid win at 1.60 | |||
| 4.82opened | 4.34opened | 1.60opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for an Atlético Madrid win. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Atlético Madrid not losing and Atlético Madrid −1. 5 more went for over 2.5 goals. The other 5 chose other bets: both teams to score and a Levante handicap.
- 4 of 162our betodds 1.60ChatGPT
GeminiMistralNemotron Super
- 1 of 16X2same directionodds 1.18
Sonar - 1 of 16H2 (−1)same directionodds 1.98
Dots3-Note - 5 of 16O 2.5odds 1.53DeepSeek
GrokKimiMiniMaxNemotron Ultra - 4 of 16BTTSodds 1.57QwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMXiaomi MiMo - 1 of 16H1 (+1)odds 1.82Claude
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC
Levante have managed only two wins in the last ten meetings with Atlético Madrid, against four draws and four defeats, and in November 2025 Atlético won this fixture 3-1 at home. Simeone's side have been excellent on the road too: four wins and one defeat, 1.8 goals scored and one conceded per away game, with a clean sheet in 40% of those trips. Add five straight wins with 12 goals scored and two conceded, plus 22 points against the 10 of the hosts in 11th, and the picture is clear. The market rates the away win at 59% with a price of 1.60, and that calculation is hard to argue with. Our pick is Atlético Madrid to win.
Where we could be wrong
At home, though, Levante have not been poor — 3.3 goals per game and not a single match without scoring themselves, so an early reply could disrupt Atlético's plan. These two also played out a goalless draw back in January, and rotation between Champions League fixtures counts here as well.
- 5 of 16 AI models back this bet and 1 more chose a close bet in the same direction; more than half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Real Sociedad | A | 1:2 | L |
| 21.10 | Athletic Bilbao | H | 3:1 | W |
| 16.10 | Deportivo La Coruña | A | 1:1xG 0.8–1.1 | D |
| 12.10 | Sevilla | H | 3:3xG 1.9–2.2 | D |
| 20.09 | Villarreal | A | 1:3xG 0.5–4.3 | L |
| 13.09 | Barcelona | H | 2:4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Deportivo La Coruña | H | 1:0xG 1.5–1.7 | W |
| 20.10 | StuttgartChampions League | A | 1:1xG 0.9–1.6 | D |
| 17.10 | Espanyol | A | 1:0xG 1.4–0.6 | W |
| 13.10 | Manchester UnitedChampions League | H | 2:0xG 1.5–1.0 | W |
| 10.10 | Deportivo Alavés | A | 2:1xG 2.0–1.3 | W |
| 20.09 | Real Madrid | H | 2:1xG 2.4–0.3 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | LaLiga | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.6 / 1.9 | 2 / 0.8 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.3 / 2 | 1.7 / 1.1 | 1.4 |
| shots | 11.3 / 16 | 18 / 10.1 | 13.5 |
| shots on target | 4.3 / 5.2 | 6.2 / 3.3 | 4.7 |
| corners | 3.4 / 5.1 | 6 / 2.9 | 4.9 |
| fouls | 10.5 / 12.8 | 12 / 11 | 12.3 |
| yellow cards | 1.5 / 2 | 2.4 / 1.8 | 2.2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | |
| both scored | 70% | 40% | |
| clean sheets | 20% | 50% | |
| failed to score | 30% | 10% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 3.3 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 1 | |
| average total | 5.8 | 2.8 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 100% | 80% | |
| both scored | 100% | 40% | |
- Levante shoot less often than the league average: 11.3 shots vs 13.5
- Atlético Madrid score more than the league average: 2 vs 1.5
- Atlético Madrid: 5 league wins in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Levante, away games only for Atlético Madrid
Head to head
2–4–4Levante wins · draws · Atlético Madrid wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante vs Atlético Madrid | 0:0 | 31.01.26 | |
| Atlético Madrid vs Levante | 3:1 | 08.11.25 | |
| Levante vs Atlético Madrid | 0:2 | 18.01.23 | Copa del Rey |
| Atlético Madrid vs Levante | 0:1 | 16.02.22 | |
| Levante vs Atlético Madrid | 2:2 | 28.10.21 | |
| Atlético Madrid vs Levante | 0:2 | 20.02.21 | |
| Levante vs Atlético Madrid | 1:1 | 17.02.21 | |
| Levante vs Atlético Madrid | 0:1 | 23.06.20 | |
| Atlético Madrid vs Levante | 2:1 | 04.01.20 | |
| Levante vs Atlético Madrid | 2:2 | 18.05.19 |
- both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9-0-1 | 40–11 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 10 | 8-1-1 | 20–8 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8-0-2 | 25–10 | 24 | WLWWW |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3-2-5 | 15–26 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2-4-4 | 16–19 | 10 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14–17 | 10 | LWDDW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1503
- 16-3031
- 31-4524
- 46-6023
- 61-7512
- 76-90+74
- 0-1510
- 16-3020
- 31-4521
- 46-6052
- 61-7522
- 76-9083
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals