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data updated 27.10 08:07

30 Oct

Villarreal vs Espanyol: AI betting tips and pick

On 30 October, Villarreal host Espanyol. The AI models' pick is Villarreal −1 handicap at 1.91; Espanyol are winless in 5.

published · updated UTC

Villarreal
Espanyol

AI models' pick: Villarreal −1 handicap

1.91

The market prices this option at 50%

Now 1.70 · 1.91 when published

Asian handicap: the bet wins if Villarreal win by two goals or more; a one-goal win returns the stake.

AI models' pick · 6 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 3 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:111%odds 7.89

2:1 10%2:0 9%1:0 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:17

result11.45−0.11X4.77+0.4126.24+0.90
total 2.5O1.51−0.09U2.53+0.18
both to scoreyes1.65−0.01no2.13
double chance1X1.12−0.05121.17−0.04X22.70+0.29
handicapH1 −11.70 — matches our bet−0.21H2 +12.16+0.26

Over 2 days an Espanyol win drifted from 5.34 to 6.24 — fewer bets on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementEspanyol 5.34 → 6.24 over 2 days · 2 snapshotsView

The biggest move is a Villarreal win: from 1.56 to 1.45 — 4.5 pp of implied chance, more than any other outcome.

Villarreal1.56 → 1.45Draw4.36 → 4.77Espanyol5.34 → 6.24
1.502.003.004.006.0025 Oct27 OctEspanyol 6.24Draw 4.77Villarreal 1.45

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenVillarrealDrawEspanyol
1.45−0.114.77+0.416.24+0.90
1.56opened4.36opened5.34opened
2 snapshots · the prices changed 1 time

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models went for Villarreal −1. 5 more chose close bets in the same direction: a Villarreal win and Villarreal −1.5. 6 more went for both teams to score. One more went for over 2.5 goals.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC

This analysis was written on 25.10: the teams have played since, and the points, games or position in the table below have moved on.

Eight wins in the last ten meetings speak for themselves, and the two most recent are the clearest of all: in February Villarreal took Espanyol apart 4-1, and in November 2025 they won 2-0 on the road. Espanyol sit 16th on 8 points after nine rounds, with one win, a draw and three defeats away from home, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4 per game. The edge shows up in the underlying numbers too: 1.79 xG against 1.05, 5.8 shots on target against 3.4, 57.9% possession. The market rates Villarreal at 61% for the win, and the Villarreal -1 handicap at 1.91 looks a workable option — that is our pick.

Where we could be wrong

At home, though, Villarreal have been far from convincing: one league win, a draw and two defeats there, and in three of those four matches both teams scored. Espanyol have yet to be shut out on their travels, so a single goal conceded leaves the handicap with no margin, and the Champions League running alongside adds questions about the hosts' line-up.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 27.10
Villarreal
Recent matches: Villarreal
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10ValenciaA2:1xG 1.5–1.2W
20.10LiverpoolChampions LeagueA3:4xG 1.6–2.4L
17.10ElcheH0:0xG 2.2–0.3D
13.10NapoliChampions LeagueH3:1xG 1.2–1.7W
10.10Real MadridA0:1xG 0.6–1.4L
20.09LevanteH3:1xG 4.3–0.5W
Espanyol
Recent matches: Espanyol
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24.10Racing SantanderA1:2xG 0.6–2.5L
17.10Atlético MadridH0:1xG 0.6–1.4L
09.10MálagaA1:1xG 1.1–0.7D
18.09ElcheH1:3xG 1.1–1.6L
15.09Rayo VallecanoA1:2xG 1.5–1.5L
12.09OsasunaA2:0W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstVillarrealEspanyolLaLiga
goals1.5 / 1.41.2 / 1.41.5
xG2.1 / 1.21.1 / 1.41.4
shots16.6 / 11.712.5 / 14.113.5
shots on target6 / 3.63.4 / 5.54.7
corners7.3 / 4.62.5 / 5.84.9
fouls10.9 / 12.316.2 / 10.412.3
yellow cards1.8 / 2.53.1 / 2.72.2
matches over 2.570%60%
both scored70%70%
clean sheets10%20%
failed to score30%10%
home / away
goals1.5 / 1.51.2 / 1.4
average total32.6
matches over 2.575%60%
both scored75%80%
  • Villarreal shoot more often than the league average: 16.6 shots vs 13.5
  • Espanyol score less than the league average: 1.2 vs 1.5
  • Espanyol without a win in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Villarreal, away games only for Espanyol

Head to head

last 10

8–1–1Villarreal wins · draws · Espanyol wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Villarreal vs Espanyol4:109.02.26
Espanyol vs Villarreal0:208.11.25
Villarreal vs Espanyol1:027.04.25
Espanyol vs Villarreal1:226.09.24
Villarreal vs Espanyol4:227.04.23
Espanyol vs Villarreal0:109.11.22
Villarreal vs Espanyol5:127.02.22
Espanyol vs Villarreal0:021.08.21
Villarreal vs Espanyol1:219.01.20
Espanyol vs Villarreal0:120.10.19
  • both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10

League table

League standings: LaLiga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
9Celta Vigo102-6-210–712DWDWD
10Villarreal103-3-415–1412WWLDW
11Deportivo La Coruña102-5-313–1311LDLDL
17Getafe102-3-55–159LWLDL
18Espanyol102-2-612–148LLDLL
19Valencia101-3-67–176WLDDL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Villarreal
  • 0-1501
  • 16-3021
  • 31-4557
  • 46-6011
  • 61-7521
  • 76-90+44
Espanyol
  • 0-1533
  • 16-3023
  • 31-4520
  • 46-6010
  • 61-7513
  • 76-9026

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full LaLiga fixtures
13:00Levante–Atlético MadridOur pick:21.605 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 4.82X 4.342 1.6015:15Rayo Vallecano–Celta VigoOur pick:U 2.51.8010 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.35X 3.272 3.0317:30Real Betis–MálagaOur pick:H1 (−1.5)2.108 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 1.39X 5.042 7.10