2 Nov
Lorient vs Brest: AI betting tips and pick
On 2 November, Lorient host Brest. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.67.
- Ligue 1, matchday 9 of 34
- +10°, overcast, wind 19 km/h
- Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.67The market prices this option at 56%
Now 1.73 · 1.67 when published
AI models' pick · 14 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 2 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 8%1:2 8%0:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days a Brest win drifted from 2.60 to 2.83 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.67 → 1.73 since we published · Lorient became the favourite in 1X2View
Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.67 to 1.73: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73+0.06 | 2.02−0.07 | |
| 25 Oct – 27 Oct · no snapshots for 2 days | ||
| We published both teams score at 1.67 | ||
| 1.67opened | 2.09opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. The other 2 chose a bet each: a total-goals bet and a Brest handicap.
- 14 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.67ClaudeDeepSeek
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.89
Sonar - 1 of 16DNB 2odds 1.91ChatGPT
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 14:42 UTC
This analysis was written on 25.10: the teams have played since, and the points, games or position in the table below have moved on.
Brest have yet to keep a clean sheet this season, and their away form tells the same story: both teams have scored in all four of their trips, at an average of 1.5 goals a side. Lorient are good for 1.3 goals a game at home while conceding one, and the last meeting between the pair, in October 2025, finished 3-3. The visitors carry a real threat too — 14 goals in eight rounds of Ligue 1, with an xG of more than two per match, so they create danger even on their poorer days. The market rates goals at both ends at 56%, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.67.
Where we could be wrong
The doubt sits with Lorient's work at the back. Half of their home games have seen them keep a clean sheet, and they already have four to their name this season. If Brest, beaten in three of their last five, drop deeper and defend, will the hosts have the cutting edge on 46% possession to break them open?
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Lorient| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Angers | A | 0:0 | D |
| 18.10 | Monaco | H | 1:0xG 1.7–0.7 | W |
| 10.10 | Paris | H | 1:0xG 0.6–1.0 | W |
| 19.09 | Le Mans | A | 1:2xG 1.0–0.9 | L |
| 12.09 | Toulouse | H | 2:2 | D |
| 05.09 | Lens | A | 1:0xG 1.6–1.2 | W |
Brest| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10 | Nice | H | 1:2xG 2.6–0.5 | L |
| 17.10 | Lille | A | 1:1xG 0.8–2.3 | D |
| 10.10 | Angers | H | 5:1xG 3.8–1.4 | W |
| 03.10 | Monzaclub friendly | H | 2:2 | D |
| 20.09 | Auxerre | A | 1:2xG 0.3–1.0 | L |
| 13.09 | Paris Saint-Germain | H | 0:1xG 1.2–1.2 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ligue 1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 1.5 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.1 / 1 | 2.1 / 1.2 | 1.6 |
| shots | 9.8 / 13.3 | 16.9 / 11.6 | 13.4 |
| shots on target | 3.1 / 4 | 5.9 / 4 | 4.7 |
| corners | 3.1 / 5.6 | 4.6 / 4.4 | 4.6 |
| fouls | 9.3 / 15 | 14.3 / 13.9 | 12.3 |
| yellow cards | 1.1 / 2.3 | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.8 |
| matches over 2.5 | 38% | 75% | |
| both scored | 38% | 88% | |
| clean sheets | 63% | 0% | |
| failed to score | 25% | 13% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.3 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.5 | |
| average total | 2.3 | 3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 75% | |
| both scored | 50% | 100% | |
- Lorient score less than the league average: 0.9 vs 1.5
- Brest shoot more often than the league average: 16.9 shots vs 13.4
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Lorient, away games only for Brest
Head to head
2–2–5Lorient wins · draws · Brest wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brest vs Lorient | 2:0 | 07.02.26 | |
| Lorient vs Brest | 3:3 | 19.10.25 | |
| Lorient vs Brest | 1:1 | 20.07.24 | club friendly |
| Lorient vs Brest | 0:1 | 31.03.24 | |
| Brest vs Lorient | 4:0 | 20.12.23 | |
| Lorient vs Brest | 2:1 | 07.05.23 | |
| Brest vs Lorient | 1:2 | 09.10.22 | |
| Brest vs Lorient | 1:0 | 16.07.22 | club friendly |
| Brest vs Lorient | 1:0 | 16.07.22 | club friendly |
- both scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 9
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4-0-4 | 18–13 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7–6 | 12 | DLWWD |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3-2-3 | 8–10 | 11 | LWWLW |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3-1-4 | 12–18 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14–12 | 9 | LLWDL |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2-2-4 | 9–15 | 8 | DWLLD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1501
- 16-3001
- 31-4521
- 46-6022
- 61-7521
- 76-9010
- 0-1542
- 16-3040
- 31-4521
- 46-6023
- 61-7513
- 76-9022
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
