1 Nov
Paris vs Monaco: AI betting tips and pick
On 1 November, Paris host Monaco. The AI models' pick is Paris to win at 2.26.
- Ligue 1, matchday 9 of 34
- +10°, overcast
- Stade Charléty, Paris
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Paris to win
2.26The market prices this option at 42%
AI models' pick · 14 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 7%1:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Paris: 2.26 → 2.25 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Paris 2.26 → 2.25, Draw 3.58 → 3.58, Monaco 2.93 → 2.94.
Price changes
| When | Paris · our bet | Draw | Monaco |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25−0.01 | 3.58 | 2.94+0.01 | |
| We published a Paris win at 2.26 | |||
| 2.26opened | 3.58opened | 2.93opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Paris win. 4 more chose close bets in the same direction: Paris draw no bet and Paris not losing. One more went for over 2.5 goals.
- 11 of 161our betodds 2.26
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMiniMaxMistralXiaomi MiMoNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 3 of 16DNB 1same directionodds 1.70ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
- 1 of 161Xsame directionodds 1.39
Sonar - 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.71
Dots3-Note
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 14:42 UTC
Both meetings so far have gone to Paris: a 1-0 win in Monaco in November 2025 and a 4-1 romp in Paris in April 2026. At home the Parisians have won three of their four games, averaging 2.3 goals scored and one conceded, and across the season they post 1.73 xG going forward against 1.17 for their opponents. Monaco manage just a goal a game on the road, where over 2.5 goals has landed in only one of four matches. The market rates the hosts at 42%, ahead of the draw and an away win taken separately, and at odds of 2.26 our pick is Paris to win.
Where we could be wrong
The caution is Monaco's away defending: 0.8 goals conceded per game and two clean sheets kept, while Paris themselves have been shut out three times this season. One tight evening in front of goal and the hosts run into a draw.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Lens | A | 1:2xG 0.4–1.1 | L |
| 18.10 | Rennes | H | 4:3xG 3.7–3.1 | W |
| 10.10 | Lorient | A | 0:1xG 1.0–0.6 | L |
| 19.09 | Strasbourg | H | 2:1xG 1.1–0.2 | W |
| 12.09 | Lyon | H | 0:0 | D |
| 06.09 | Marseille | A | 3:2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Lille | H | 1:1xG 0.1–0.0 | D |
| 22.10 | FreiburgConference League | H | 3:0xG 1.3–0.8 | W |
| 18.10 | Lorient | A | 0:1xG 0.7–1.7 | L |
| 15.10 | CSKA SofiaConference League | A | 2:1xG 1.3–1.3 | W |
| 10.10 | Toulouse | H | 2:2xG 1.3–1.5 | D |
| 03.10 | Pisaclub friendly | H | 2:0 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Ligue 1 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.8 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.6 |
| shots | 13.3 / 9.6 | 12.9 / 12.1 | 13.4 |
| shots on target | 4.5 / 3.5 | 4.6 / 3.9 | 4.7 |
| corners | 3.5 / 3.9 | 4 / 4.8 | 4.6 |
| fouls | 14 / 11.5 | 12.5 / 11.4 | 12.3 |
| yellow cards | 2.4 / 1.8 | 2.3 / 1.8 | 1.8 |
| matches over 2.5 | 63% | 38% | |
| both scored | 50% | 63% | |
| clean sheets | 38% | 25% | |
| failed to score | 38% | 13% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2.3 / 1 | 1 / 0.8 | |
| average total | 3.3 | 1.8 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 75% | 25% | |
| both scored | 50% | 50% | |
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Paris, away games only for Monaco
Head to head
2–0–0Paris wins · draws · Monaco wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris vs Monaco | 4:1 | 10.04.26 | |
| Monaco vs Paris | 0:1 | 01.11.25 |
- both scored in 1 of the last 2 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 1 of 2
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4-3-1 | 11–6 | 15 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4-3-1 | 11–7 | 15 | DWDLD |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4-2-2 | 13–7 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 6 | Paris | 8 | 4-2-2 | 13–9 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16–12 | 13 | DLWWW |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1521
- 16-3031
- 31-4510
- 46-6031
- 61-7503
- 76-9052
- 0-1520
- 16-3010
- 31-4521
- 46-6033
- 61-7521
- 76-9001
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals