2 Nov
Newcastle United vs Everton: AI betting tips and pick
On 2 November, Newcastle United host Everton. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.56.
- Premier League, matchday 9 of 38
- +5°, mostly clear
- St. James' Park, Newcastle
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Both teams to score
1.56The market prices this option at 59%
AI models' pick · 8 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 8 chose others
Under half back the betOur football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
2:1 9%1:2 8%1:0 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.56 → 1.57 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Yes 1.56 → 1.57, No 2.30 → 2.30.
Price changes
| When | Yes · our bet | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57+0.01 | 2.30 | |
| We published both teams score at 1.56 | ||
| 1.56opened | 2.30opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 3 more went for Everton draw no bet. The other 5 chose other bets: double chance, a total-goals bet and a Newcastle United win.
- 8 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.56ClaudeDeepSeek
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek FlashMiniMaxMistral - 3 of 16DNB 2odds 2.26ChatGPT
GLMNemotron Ultra - 2 of 16X2odds 1.66
GeminiXiaomi MiMo
- 1 of 161Xodds 1.37
Sonar - 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.70
Dots3-Note - 1 of 161odds 2.22Nemotron Super
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 16:37 UTC
Goals tend to fly in at both ends in this fixture. Newcastle United have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their four home matches, scoring and conceding at an average of 1.5 per game, and in three of those four both sides found the net. Everton have got on the scoresheet in two of their three away trips, and the meetings of the past year have been open affairs: 2-3 in February 2026 and 1-4 in November 2025, with nobody keeping a clean sheet either time. The market rates both teams scoring at 59%, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.56.
Where we could be wrong
The risk is Everton's modest away threat: 0.8 goals per game on the road and three blanks this season, so they could well go quiet again on someone else's pitch. This pairing has produced tighter games too — 0-0 in October 2024, and in May 2025 Everton won 1-0.
- 8 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Crystal Palace | A | 2:0xG 1.0–1.8 | W |
| 17.10 | Aston Villa | H | 0:1xG 1.1–1.6 | L |
| 12.10 | Coventry City | A | 1:4xG 1.9–1.5 | L |
| 19.09 | Hull City | H | 2:1xG 1.4–1.6 | W |
| 14.09 | Leeds United | A | 1:4 | L |
| 08.09 | MillwallEFL Cup | A | 1:0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10 | Arsenal | A | 0:2xG 0.5–1.9 | L |
| 17.10 | Chelsea | H | 0:2xG 0.5–1.6 | L |
| 11.10 | Hull City | A | 2:2xG 1.7–1.3 | D |
| 19.09 | Ipswich Town | H | 1:0xG 2.2–1.4 | W |
| 16.09 | Wolverhampton WanderersEFL Cup | H | 1:0 | W |
| 12.09 | Tottenham Hotspur | A | 0:0 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | EPL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1 / 1.1 | 1.4 |
| xG | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.4 |
| shots | 12 / 17.4 | 13.6 / 14.5 | 13.6 |
| shots on target | 3.4 / 5.1 | 4.8 / 4.3 | 4.3 |
| corners | 4.5 / 5.5 | 4.9 / 6 | 4.7 |
| fouls | 11.9 / 11.4 | 8.1 / 13 | 11.6 |
| yellow cards | 2.8 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 1.9 | 2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 63% | 25% | |
| both scored | 63% | 38% | |
| clean sheets | 25% | 38% | |
| failed to score | 13% | 38% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.3 | |
| average total | 3 | 2 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 75% | 25% | |
| both scored | 75% | 50% | |
- Newcastle United shoot less often than the league average: 12 shots vs 13.6
- Everton score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.4
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Newcastle United, away games only for Everton
Head to head
3–2–5Newcastle United wins · draws · Everton wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United vs Everton | 1:3 | 12.08.26 | club friendly |
| Newcastle United vs Everton | 2:3 | 28.02.26 | |
| Everton vs Newcastle United | 1:4 | 29.11.25 | |
| Newcastle United vs Everton | 0:1 | 25.05.25 | |
| Everton vs Newcastle United | 0:0 | 05.10.24 | |
| Newcastle United vs Everton | 1:1 | 02.04.24 | |
| Everton vs Newcastle United | 3:0 | 07.12.23 | |
| Everton vs Newcastle United | 1:4 | 27.04.23 | |
| Newcastle United vs Everton | 1:0 | 19.10.22 | |
| Everton vs Newcastle United | 1:0 | 17.03.22 |
- both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds United | 8 | 2-5-1 | 9–6 | 11 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Newcastle United | 8 | 3-2-3 | 12–14 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3-2-3 | 9–12 | 11 | LWDWW |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | 2-4-2 | 9–8 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2-4-2 | 8–9 | 10 | DWDLL |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 8 | 3-1-4 | 12–16 | 10 | WLWLD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1532
- 16-3000
- 31-4533
- 46-6013
- 61-7531
- 76-9023
- 0-1511
- 16-3000
- 31-4511
- 46-6023
- 61-7512
- 76-9032
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals