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Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis: AI prediction, Stake Ranked Episode 5
Inner Circle Esports and Team Nemesis meet on 27 October — playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final, Stake Ranked Episode 5 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: Team Nemesis to win at 2.00 — 13 of 16 models chose it. Below: the analysis, the odds, team form by series, rosters with player ratings and the map pool.
- Stake Ranked Episode 5 2026
- Playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Team Nemesis to win
2.00The market prices this option at 49%
AI models' pick · 13 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 3 chose others
Match odds
Since the first snapshot Inner Circle Esports have shortened: 1.96 → 1.33, Team Nemesis — 2.00 → 3.85. The money is going on Inner Circle Esports.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — Inner Circle Esports or Team Nemesis wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Team Nemesis win. 2 more went for over 2.5 maps. One more went for under 2.5 maps.
- 13 of 162our betodds 2.00ChatGPTClaude
Gemini
GrokKimiQwenDeepSeek Flash
GLMMistralXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-NoteNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 2 of 16O 2.5odds 2.00DeepSeekMiniMax
- 1 of 16U 2.5odds 1.89
Sonar
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
Inner Circle Esports bans Inferno first in 13 of their 15 series, and that takes away Team Nemesis's strongest map, where the visitors hold a 4-1 record. After that, though, the pool tilts the other way: Dust2 reads 7-4 for Nemesis against 2-4, Nuke 5-3 against 2-3, and Cache 5-2. Nemesis have removed Anubis with their first ban all 12 times, and since Inner Circle are 2-4 there, they are not leaving themselves anything awkward either.
The form line runs in the same direction. Nemesis have won seven of their last ten series, with a 27-22 map record over 90 days and a round difference of +58. Inner Circle come in with five wins and five defeats, 18-19 on maps and 14 days without a match. The only previous meeting between the two in two years also went to Nemesis, 2-0, taking Mirage 19-16 and Nuke 13-11.
Where we could be wrong
So we're backing Team Nemesis at 2.00. The catch is that the veto is not known yet, and the map both sides pick most often is Ancient, where Nemesis sit at 4-7 and Inner Circle at 4-3. The market has drifted towards the hosts over the past day as well, from 1.96 to 1.89.
- The market makes Inner Circle Esports the favourite: 1.89 against 2.00 on this bet.
Form, rosters and maps
Inner Circle Esports
20th in the Valve ranking · 1516 points
roster · player rating over six months
- headtr1ck6.50
- cptkurtka0236.10
- onic5.73
- zeRRoFIX6.06
- Dawy6.56
recent series · 5 wins, 5 losses
- L0-2Sangal#40Stake Pulse Beat III12.10
- L0-2Ninjas in Pyjamas#18Stake Pulse Beat III12.10
- W2-0Sangal#40Stake Pulse Beat III12.10
- L1-23DMAX#21Logitech G Play Connect 202622.09
- L0-1EYEBALLERS#43Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- W1-0INFINITE#56Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- W1-03DMAX#21Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- W1-0Liquid#19Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- W1-0BBL#37Logitech G Play Connect 202618.09
- L0-2B8#13PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Qualifier11.09
maps over 90 days
18–19, round difference +27; 4 of 14 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 56%, on the T side 49%, pistol rounds 52%
14 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 4–3 | +9 | 3 | 6 |
| Mirage | 4–3 | +20 | 2 | 3 |
| Dust2 | 2–4 | −5 | 3 | 1 |
| Anubis | 2–4 | −6 | 2 | 1 |
| Cache | 4–2 | +10 | 2 | |
| Nuke | 2–3 | −1 | 1 | 6 |
| Inferno | — | 15 |
Bans Inferno first in 13 of 15 series
Team Nemesis
29th in the Valve ranking · 1455 points
roster · player rating over six months
- SELLTER5.82
- r3salt6.31
- Sdaim6.22
- tex1y6.20
- mag1k3Y6.20
recent series · 7 wins, 3 losses
- W2-0mellren#125NODWIN Clutch Series 1324.10
- L0-2Betclic#45PGL Bucharest 2027: Closed Qualifier20.10
- W2-1Nuclear TigeRES#46PGL Bucharest 2027: Closed Qualifier19.10
- W2-1EYEBALLERS#43PGL Bucharest 2027: Closed Qualifier18.10
- L0-2Betclic#45PGL Bucharest 2027: Closed Qualifier17.10
- W2-1Nuclear TigeRES#46PGL Bucharest 2027: Closed Qualifier16.10
- L1-2SINNERS#411win Private Club 2: Closed Qualifier08.10
- W2-1fnatic#35Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier27.09
- W2-1Sashi#73Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier26.09
- W2-0Rune Eaters#81Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier24.09
maps over 90 days
27–22, round difference +58; 9 of 20 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 57%, on the T side 49%, pistol rounds 44%
3 days since the last series, 4 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 4–7 | −17 | 6 | |
| Dust2 | 7–4 | +30 | 2 | 2 |
| Nuke | 5–3 | +9 | 3 | |
| Cache | 5–2 | +31 | 4 | |
| Mirage | 2–5 | −19 | 4 | |
| Inferno | 4–1 | +24 | 1 | 2 |
| Anubis | — | 12 |
Bans Anubis first in 12 of 12 series
head-to-head series, last two years
1 series: Inner Circle Esports 0 wins, Team Nemesis 1 win
- L0-2Mirage 16-19, Nuke 11-13CCT Season 3 European Series 1327.01
Valve ranking as of 5 October
