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MIBR vs Eternal Fire: AI prediction, Stake Ranked Episode 5
MIBR and Eternal Fire meet on 27 October — playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final, Stake Ranked Episode 5 2026, best of three. The AI models' bet: Eternal Fire +1.5 map handicap at 1.61 — 11 of 16 models chose it. Below: the analysis, the odds, team form by series, rosters with player ratings and the map pool.
- Stake Ranked Episode 5 2026
- Playoffs, upper bracket quarter-final
- Best of three
- Stream
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Eternal Fire +1.5 map handicap
1.61The market prices this option at 61%
AI models' pick · 11 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 5 chose others
Match odds
Since the first snapshot, the series-winner line has not moved.
abbreviations
- 1, 2 — MIBR or Eternal Fire wins the series
- H1, H2 — map handicap: −1.5 means winning the series without dropping a map, +1.5 means taking at least one map
- O, U — total maps over or under: over 2.5 means the series goes to a third map
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for Eternal Fire +1.5 on maps. 5 more went for over 2.5 maps.
- 11 of 16H2 (+1.5)our betodds 1.61ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
GrokKimi
GLMMiniMaxMistral
SonarNemotron SuperNemotron Ultra - 5 of 16O 2.5odds 2.17
GeminiQwenDeepSeek FlashXiaomi MiMo
Dots3-Note
Odds — the price at the moment the AI model answered.
Eternal Fire rarely get through a series quickly. In best-of-three they have gone to a third map 18 of 37 times, and that is the backbone of the Eternal Fire +1.5 map handicap at 1.61. Both previous meetings over the past two years went the way of the Turkish side, 2-1 in September and 2-0 in March, and in September MIBR won Inferno 13-8 only to lose the series anyway. The veto sets up neatly as well: MIBR's first ban is always Dust2, all 15 times, Eternal Fire have removed Nuke on all 20 occasions, and what stays in the pool includes Eternal Fire's 13-8 on Cache, 14-6 on Ancient and 8-5 on Anubis. The Turks also arrive with 15 maps in the last week against 10 days of inactivity for MIBR.
Where we could be wrong
The case against is the level of the opposition. Those recent Eternal Fire wins came against SINNERS (41st), BC.Game (50th) and BASEMENT BOYS (102nd), with no test from a top team in that run, while MIBR sit 12th in the Valve ranking and hold a 10-4 record on Inferno. The prices have drifted against the Turks over the past day, from 2.78 to 2.86, and if MIBR get off to a fast start the series is finished in two maps.
Form, rosters and maps
MIBR
12th in the Valve ranking · 1585 points
roster · player rating over six months
- nqz6.17
- LNZ5.72
- venomzera6.01
- insani6.75
- tomaszin6.28
recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses
- L1-2Ninjas in Pyjamas#18Stake Pulse Beat III17.10
- W2-0100 Thieves#28Stake Pulse Beat III17.10
- W2-1Astralis#10Stake Pulse Beat III16.10
- W2-1BC.Game#50Stake Pulse Beat III15.10
- W2-0EnvyStake Pulse Beat III15.10
- L1-2BC.Game#50Stake Pulse Beat III15.10
- L0-2FURIA#7StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202619.09
- W2-0NRG#47StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202619.09
- W2-1magic#23StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202618.09
- L1-2FURIA#7StarLadder StarSeries Fall 202617.09
maps over 90 days
37–24, round difference +70; 10 of 25 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 56%, on the T side 49%, pistol rounds 52%
10 days since the last series, 0 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 10–4 | +38 | 4 | |
| Nuke | 7–6 | +17 | 3 | |
| Mirage | 7–5 | +10 | 5 | 4 |
| Ancient | 5–5 | −7 | 1 | 4 |
| Cache | 7–3 | +8 | 1 | 7 |
| Anubis | 1–1 | +4 | 1 | |
| Dust2 | — | 15 |
Bans Dust2 first in 15 of 15 series
Eternal Fire
33rd in the Valve ranking · 1429 points
roster · player rating over six months
- MisteM5.72
- regali6.21
- soulfly6.31
- Kvem6.52
- jottAAA6.54
recent series · 6 wins, 4 losses
- W2-1SINNERS#41DraculaN Season 723.10
- W2-1JiJieHao#30DraculaN Season 723.10
- L1-2SINNERS#41DraculaN Season 722.10
- W2-1BC.Game#50DraculaN Season 721.10
- W2-1BASEMENT BOYS#102DraculaN Season 721.10
- W2-0INFINITE#56DraculaN Season 720.10
- L0-2Nuclear TigeRES#46PGL Bucharest 2027: Closed Qualifier17.10
- L1-2Betclic#45PGL Bucharest 2027: Closed Qualifier16.10
- L0-2Ninjas in Pyjamas#18Journey Autumn 202603.10
- W2-1JiJieHao#30Journey Autumn 202603.10
maps over 90 days
59–40, round difference +123; 18 of 37 best-of-three series went to a third map
Rounds won on the CT side 55%, on the T side 51%, pistol rounds 53%
3 days since the last series, 15 maps this week
map pool over 90 days
| Map | W–L | Rounds ± | Picks | Bans |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cache | 13–8 | +32 | 8 | |
| Ancient | 14–6 | +48 | 5 | 2 |
| Mirage | 7–10 | −21 | 2 | 3 |
| Dust2 | 11–5 | +33 | 3 | 6 |
| Anubis | 8–5 | +11 | 1 | 4 |
| Inferno | 6–6 | +20 | 6 | |
| Nuke | — | 20 |
Bans Nuke first in 20 of 20 series
head-to-head series, last two years
2 series: MIBR 0 wins, Eternal Fire 2 wins
- L1-2Ancient 16-19, Inferno 13-8, Mirage 11-13Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Global Qualifier02.09
- L0-2Mirage 3-13, Inferno 8-13ESL Pro League Season 2108.03
Valve ranking as of 5 October
