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31 Oct

Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: AI betting tips and pick

On 31 October, Bayer Leverkusen host Stuttgart. The AI models' pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win at 1.77.

published · updated UTC

Bayer Leverkusen
Stuttgart

AI models' pick: Bayer Leverkusen to win

1.77

The market prices this option at 53%

Now 1.80 · 1.77 when published

AI models' pick · 15 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 1 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

likely score

2:19%odds 8.84

1:1 9%2:2 7%3:1 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

Match odds

last line update 27.10 03:17

result11.80 — matches our bet+0.03X4.28−0.0623.70−0.12
total 3.5O1.80−0.01U2.04+0.02
both to scoreyes1.33no3.16+0.04
double chance1X1.26121.21−0.01X22.00−0.05
handicapH1 −12.28+0.05H2 +11.64−0.01

Over 2 days a Bayer Leverkusen win drifted from 1.77 to 1.80 — fewer bets on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Bayer Leverkusen: 1.77 → 1.80 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (a Bayer Leverkusen win) has drifted from 1.77 to 1.80: the market now rates it as less likely.

Bayer Leverkusen1.77 → 1.80our betDraw4.34 → 4.28Stuttgart3.82 → 3.70
1.752.503.004.0018 hno data25 Oct26 Oct27 OctWe published · 1.77Draw 4.28Stuttgart 3.70Bayer Leverkusen 1.80

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenBayer Leverkusen · our betDrawStuttgart
1.80+0.024.28+0.023.70−0.04
1.78+0.014.26−0.023.74−0.04
25 Oct – 26 Oct · no snapshots for 18 h
1.774.28−0.063.78−0.04
We published a Bayer Leverkusen win at 1.77
1.77opened4.34opened3.82opened
7 snapshots · the prices changed 3 times

The largest group of AI models went for a Bayer Leverkusen win. 9 more chose close bets in the same direction: Bayer Leverkusen −1 and Bayer Leverkusen −1.5. One more went for over 2.5 goals.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC

Bayer Leverkusen have won all three of their home games so far, scoring 2.7 goals a game and conceding 0.3, with clean sheets in two of the three. Stuttgart's away record reads one win and three defeats, a goal scored and two conceded per match. In the Bundesliga table the visitors sit on 6 points after seven rounds, against 13 for Bayer after six. Recent form pulls the two even further apart: four wins and 14 goals for the hosts in their last five, four defeats and just five goals for Stuttgart. The market rates the home side at 53%, and at 1.77 a straight home win is the most direct way to back that edge, so we're backing Bayer Leverkusen.

Where we could be wrong

The previous meetings spoil the picture. Stuttgart won 3-1 in May and won 4-1 in Leverkusen in January, and across the last ten head-to-heads Bayer have only three wins to go with five draws. The visitors also arrive carrying the extra load of Champions League football, yet they keep the ball as well as their opponents and will certainly not sit deep at the BayArena.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 27.10
Bayer Leverkusen
Recent matches: Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25.10HoffenheimA0:3L
22.10OFI CreteEuropa LeagueA2:0xG 3.4–0.3W
18.10FreiburgH2:1xG 1.7–1.1W
15.10Lech PoznańEuropa LeagueA4:0xG 5.2–0.6W
10.10MainzA4:3xG 1.7–2.9W
20.09LeipzigH2:0xG 2.3–1.0W
Stuttgart
Recent matches: Stuttgart
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
23.10Borussia MönchengladbachH2:3xG 1.6–2.7L
20.10Atlético MadridChampions LeagueH1:1xG 1.6–0.9D
17.10HamburgA0:1xG 1.7–1.5L
14.10Slovan BratislavaChampions LeagueA3:0xG 2.2–0.8W
10.10PaderbornA2:0xG 2.5–2.0W
01.10SpVgg Greuther Fürthclub friendlyH5:0W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstBayer LeverkusenStuttgartBundesliga
goals2.3 / 1.71.4 / 1.91.8
xG2 / 1.61.9 / 2.41.8
shots18.1 / 12.916.9 / 1815.4
shots on target5.4 / 3.95.7 / 5.65.4
corners6.7 / 3.66.6 / 5.95.3
fouls11.4 / 10.69.7 / 11.611.3
yellow cards1.7 / 2.41.1 / 2.61.8
matches over 2.586%57%
both scored57%57%
clean sheets29%14%
failed to score14%29%
home / away
goals2.7 / 0.31 / 2
average total33
matches over 2.567%50%
both scored33%50%

Head to head

last 10

3–5–2Bayer Leverkusen wins · draws · Stuttgart wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen3:109.05.26
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart1:410.01.26
Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen3:416.03.25
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart0:001.11.24
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart2:217.08.24Super Cup
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart2:227.04.24
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart3:206.02.24DFB Pokal
Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen1:110.12.23
Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen1:114.05.23
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart2:012.11.22

League table

League standings: Bundesliga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
3Freiburg74-1-216–913WDWLL
4Bayer Leverkusen74-1-216–1213DWWWL
5Leipzig74-0-320–1112WLWLW
14Eintracht Frankfurt72-2-310–178WDLWL
15Stuttgart72-0-510–136LLWLL
16Schalke71-3-34–76WDLLD

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Bayer Leverkusen
  • 0-1533
  • 16-3030
  • 31-4512
  • 46-6033
  • 61-7520
  • 76-9041
Stuttgart
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3011
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6042
  • 61-7513
  • 76-9043

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full Bundesliga fixtures
14:30Borussia Mönchengladbach–PaderbornOur pick:O 2.51.477 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.90X 3.972 3.5014:30Schalke–LeipzigOur pick:21.849 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.77X 3.922 1.8614:30Augsburg–FreiburgOur pick:O 2.51.4810 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.93X 3.802 2.19