31 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart: AI betting tips and pick
On 31 October, Bayer Leverkusen host Stuttgart. The AI models' pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win at 1.77.
- Bundesliga, matchday 8 of 34
- +13°, clear
- BayArena, Leverkusen
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Bayer Leverkusen to win
1.77The market prices this option at 53%
Now 1.80 · 1.77 when published
AI models' pick · 15 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 1 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
likely score
1:1 9%2:2 7%3:1 7%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
Match odds
Over 2 days a Bayer Leverkusen win drifted from 1.77 to 1.80 — fewer bets on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Bayer Leverkusen: 1.77 → 1.80 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (a Bayer Leverkusen win) has drifted from 1.77 to 1.80: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Bayer Leverkusen · our bet | Draw | Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.80+0.02 | 4.28+0.02 | 3.70−0.04 | |
| 1.78+0.01 | 4.26−0.02 | 3.74−0.04 | |
| 25 Oct – 26 Oct · no snapshots for 18 h | |||
| 1.77 | 4.28−0.06 | 3.78−0.04 | |
| We published a Bayer Leverkusen win at 1.77 | |||
| 1.77opened | 4.34opened | 3.82opened | |
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models went for a Bayer Leverkusen win. 9 more chose close bets in the same direction: Bayer Leverkusen −1 and Bayer Leverkusen −1.5. One more went for over 2.5 goals.
- 6 of 161our betodds 1.77ChatGPT
GeminiDeepSeek Flash
SonarXiaomi MiMoNemotron Super - 5 of 16H1 (−1)same directionodds 2.23Claude
GrokQwen
GLMNemotron Ultra - 4 of 16H1 (−1.5)same directionodds 2.78DeepSeekKimiMiniMaxMistral
- 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.31
Dots3-Note
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 25.10 at 13:01 UTC
Bayer Leverkusen have won all three of their home games so far, scoring 2.7 goals a game and conceding 0.3, with clean sheets in two of the three. Stuttgart's away record reads one win and three defeats, a goal scored and two conceded per match. In the Bundesliga table the visitors sit on 6 points after seven rounds, against 13 for Bayer after six. Recent form pulls the two even further apart: four wins and 14 goals for the hosts in their last five, four defeats and just five goals for Stuttgart. The market rates the home side at 53%, and at 1.77 a straight home win is the most direct way to back that edge, so we're backing Bayer Leverkusen.
Where we could be wrong
The previous meetings spoil the picture. Stuttgart won 3-1 in May and won 4-1 in Leverkusen in January, and across the last ten head-to-heads Bayer have only three wins to go with five draws. The visitors also arrive carrying the extra load of Champions League football, yet they keep the ball as well as their opponents and will certainly not sit deep at the BayArena.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10 | Hoffenheim | A | 0:3 | L |
| 22.10 | OFI CreteEuropa League | A | 2:0xG 3.4–0.3 | W |
| 18.10 | Freiburg | H | 2:1xG 1.7–1.1 | W |
| 15.10 | Lech PoznańEuropa League | A | 4:0xG 5.2–0.6 | W |
| 10.10 | Mainz | A | 4:3xG 1.7–2.9 | W |
| 20.09 | Leipzig | H | 2:0xG 2.3–1.0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 2:3xG 1.6–2.7 | L |
| 20.10 | Atlético MadridChampions League | H | 1:1xG 1.6–0.9 | D |
| 17.10 | Hamburg | A | 0:1xG 1.7–1.5 | L |
| 14.10 | Slovan BratislavaChampions League | A | 3:0xG 2.2–0.8 | W |
| 10.10 | Paderborn | A | 2:0xG 2.5–2.0 | W |
| 01.10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürthclub friendly | H | 5:0 | W |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Bundesliga | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 2.3 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.9 | 1.8 |
| xG | 2 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 2.4 | 1.8 |
| shots | 18.1 / 12.9 | 16.9 / 18 | 15.4 |
| shots on target | 5.4 / 3.9 | 5.7 / 5.6 | 5.4 |
| corners | 6.7 / 3.6 | 6.6 / 5.9 | 5.3 |
| fouls | 11.4 / 10.6 | 9.7 / 11.6 | 11.3 |
| yellow cards | 1.7 / 2.4 | 1.1 / 2.6 | 1.8 |
| matches over 2.5 | 86% | 57% | |
| both scored | 57% | 57% | |
| clean sheets | 29% | 14% | |
| failed to score | 14% | 29% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 2.7 / 0.3 | 1 / 2 | |
| average total | 3 | 3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 67% | 50% | |
| both scored | 33% | 50% | |
- Bayer Leverkusen score more than the league average: 2.3 vs 1.8
- Stuttgart score less than the league average: 1.4 vs 1.8
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Bayer Leverkusen, away games only for Stuttgart
Head to head
3–5–2Bayer Leverkusen wins · draws · Stuttgart wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | 3:1 | 09.05.26 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart | 1:4 | 10.01.26 | |
| Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | 3:4 | 16.03.25 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart | 0:0 | 01.11.24 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart | 2:2 | 17.08.24 | Super Cup |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart | 2:2 | 27.04.24 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart | 3:2 | 06.02.24 | DFB Pokal |
| Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1:1 | 10.12.23 | |
| Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1:1 | 14.05.23 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart | 2:0 | 12.11.22 |
- both scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Freiburg | 7 | 4-1-2 | 16–9 | 13 | WDWLL |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4-1-2 | 16–12 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 5 | Leipzig | 7 | 4-0-3 | 20–11 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2-2-3 | 10–17 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 7 | 2-0-5 | 10–13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Schalke | 7 | 1-3-3 | 4–7 | 6 | WDLLD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right
Goals by minute
- 0-1533
- 16-3030
- 31-4512
- 46-6033
- 61-7520
- 76-9041
- 0-1511
- 16-3011
- 31-4511
- 46-6042
- 61-7513
- 76-9043
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals