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21 Oct

Levante vs Athletic Bilbao: AI prediction and betting pick

On 21 October, Levante host Athletic Bilbao. The AI models' pick is both teams to score at 1.69: 7 of 16 models chose it.

published · updated UTC

Levante
Athletic Bilbao

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.69

Now 1.74 · 1.69 when published

AI models' pick · 7 of 16 for this bet, 9 for others

Split panel

Our football predictions so far: 56 won · 34 lost · 3 void · +10.13 units All results

Match odds

last line update 14.10 03:17

result13.35+0.02X3.28−0.1522.19+0.05
total 2.5O1.99+0.10U1.84−0.09
both to scoreyes1.74 — matches our bet+0.05no2.01−0.07
double chance1X1.68121.31+0.01X21.32
handicapH1 +11.32−0.02H2 −13.31+0.19

Over 29 days a draw shortened from 3.43 to 3.28 — money is coming in on the draw.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.69 → 1.74 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.69 to 1.74: the market now rates it as less likely.

Yes1.69 → 1.74our betNo2.08 → 2.01
1.601.802.002.204 daysno data19 daysno data14 Sep16 Sep20 Sep22 Sep23 Sep12 Oct14 OctWe published · 1.69No 2.01Yes 1.74

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.74+0.152.01−0.24
23 Sep – 12 Oct · no snapshots for 19 days
We published both teams score at 1.69
1.59−0.042.25+0.08
16 Sep – 20 Sep · no snapshots for 4 days
1.63−0.022.17+0.04
1.652.13−0.01
1.652.14+0.01
1.65−0.012.13+0.01
1.66−0.022.12+0.03
1.68−0.012.09+0.01
1.69opened2.08opened
90 snapshots · the prices changed 8 times

The largest group of AI models went for both teams to score. 5 more went for an Athletic Bilbao win. The other 4 chose other bets: total-goals bets and double chance.

  • 7 of 16BTTSour betodds 1.69ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGLMMiniMaxDots3-NoteNemotron Ultra
  • 5 of 162odds 2.15GeminiGrokDeepSeek FlashMistralNemotron Super
  • 2 of 16O 2.5odds 1.89KimiXiaomi MiMo
  • 1 of 16X2odds 1.32Sonar
  • 1 of 16U 2.5odds 1.93Qwen

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 09.10 at 13:40 UTC

Levante's home games this season have been open affairs: both the hosts and their opponents have found the net in each, with an average of 3.5 goals of their own against three conceded, and neither match stayed under 2.5 goals. Athletic Bilbao arrive without two first-choice centre-backs — Dani Vivian, who played 41 matches last season, is out with a hamstring problem, and Unai Egiluz with a knee injury. The market leans the same way, rating the chance of both teams scoring at around 55%, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.69.

Where we could be wrong

There is a case against it. Levante are missing Karl Etta Eyong and his six goals from last season, and goalkeeper Primo is injured. The visitors, meanwhile, have scored and conceded just one goal apiece across their two away trips, keeping a clean sheet in one of them. Add a thunderstorm and rain around kick-off: that sort of weather tends to break up attacking play rather than help it.

  • 7 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 14.09 17:37
Levante
  • K. Etta EyongFW · 6 goals in 2025/26injuryout
  • A. PrimoGKshoulder injuryout
Athletic Bilbao
  • U. EgiluzDFknee injuryout
  • D. VivianDF · 41 matches in 2025/26hamstring injuryout
  • P. CanalesMF · 6 goals in 2025/26muscle injurydoubtful
  • G. GuruzetaFW · 17 goals in 2025/26hamstring injurydoubtful

managers: Luís Castro · E. Terzić · main formations this season: 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first
Levante
Recent matches: Levante
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13.09BarcelonaH2:4L
06.09MálagaA0:0xG 0.8–1.5D
29.08Real BetisH5:2xG 2.8–1.9W
24.08OsasunaA0:0xG 1.3–0.7D
16.08EspanyolA0:3xG 0.3–1.6L
08.08Castellónclub friendlyA3:1W
Athletic Bilbao
Recent matches: Athletic Bilbao
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12.09ElcheH1:1D
05.09Atlético MadridH3:0xG 1.4–1.0W
30.08Celta VigoA2:0xG 2.8–0.8W
27.08BarcelonaA0:2xG 0.3–4.2L
22.08SevillaH1:3xG 1.3–0.4L
21.08Zaragozaclub friendlyA1:3L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstLevanteAthletic BilbaoLaLiga
goals1.6 / 2.11.2 / 11.5
xG1.4 / 2.21.6 / 1.11.5
shots12 / 15.615.7 / 9.513.4
shots on target4.3 / 5.74.7 / 3.74.7
corners3.3 / 5.36.2 / 4.84.9
fouls9.6 / 12.111.2 / 11.312.4
yellow cards1.1 / 2.32 / 1.72.1
matches over 2.571%33%
both scored57%33%
clean sheets29%50%
failed to score43%33%
home / away
goals3.3 / 31 / 1
average total6.32
matches over 2.5100%0%
both scored100%0%

Head to head

last 10

0–3–7Levante wins · draws · Athletic Bilbao wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Athletic Bilbao vs Levante4:208.02.26
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao0:229.11.25
Athletic Bilbao vs Levante3:107.03.22
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao0:019.11.21
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao1:204.03.21Copa del Rey
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao1:126.02.21
Athletic Bilbao vs Levante1:111.02.21Copa del Rey
Athletic Bilbao vs Levante2:018.10.20
Levante vs Athletic Bilbao1:212.07.20
Athletic Bilbao vs Levante2:110.11.19

League table

League standings: LaLiga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
8Espanyol52-1-28–57WDLLW
9Athletic Bilbao52-1-27–67DWWLL
10Racing Santander52-1-29–97WLWLD
12Real Sociedad62-1-36–117LWDWL
13Levante51-2-27–95LDWDL
14Getafe51-2-23–65DDLWL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right

Goals by minute

league season
Levante
  • 0-1502
  • 16-3011
  • 31-4513
  • 46-6011
  • 61-7510
  • 76-9032
Athletic Bilbao
  • 0-1501
  • 16-3020
  • 31-4501
  • 46-6023
  • 61-7510
  • 76-9021

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

Full LaLiga fixtures
3:3Levante–SevillaOur pick:BTTSprediction won10 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.73X 3.172 2.692:2Racing Santander–ValenciaOur pick:O 2.5prediction won7 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.24X 3.502 3.155:2Real Betis–OsasunaOur pick:1prediction won5 of 15 on this bet · 5 more in the same direction1 1.50X 4.522 6.32