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Racing Santander vs Espanyol 2:1: result and odds

Racing Santander vs Espanyol finished 2:1; before kick-off the odds were 2.30 on a Racing Santander win (having opened at 2.48), 2.98 on an Espanyol win and 3.63 on a draw. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.57, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Racing Santander
Espanyol

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.57

The market prices this option at 59%

AI models' pick · 11 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 5 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

won+0.57 unitsclosing odds1.51CLV+4%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.

likely score

1:113%odds 6.66

2:1 9% — this score came in1:2 8%1:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 24.10 13:07

result12.30−0.18X3.63+0.0522.98+0.30
total 2.5O1.64−0.08U2.29+0.16
both to scoreyes1.51 — matches our bet−0.06no2.44+0.17
double chance1X1.39−0.06121.28−0.02X21.61+0.07
handicapH1 −13.40−0.49H2 +11.31+0.08

Over 6 days an Espanyol win drifted from 2.68 to 2.98 — fewer bets on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.57 → 1.51 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has shortened from 1.57 to 1.51: the market now rates it as more likely.

Yes1.57 → 1.51our betNo2.27 → 2.44
1.601.802.002.202.403 daysno data18 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 OctWe published · 1.57No 2.44Yes 1.51

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.512.44+0.02
1.51−0.012.42+0.02
1.522.40−0.01
1.522.41+0.01
1.52−0.012.40+0.02
1.532.38+0.03
1.53−0.012.35−0.01
1.54−0.032.36+0.09
18 Oct – 21 Oct · no snapshots for 3 days
We published both teams score at 1.57
1.57opened2.27opened
41 snapshots · the prices changed 8 times

How the match went

half-time 0:0

match report · 24.10 16:39

Espanyol went ahead on 62 minutes through Eduardo Expósito Jaén. Racing Santander levelled on 69 with Jeanuël Belocian scoring from a Sergio Canales assist, and Yassir Zabiri made it 2-1 on 84, set up by Alvaro Mantilla. It had been 0-0 at half-time, with a penalty overturned after a VAR check on 39 minutes. Racing Santander won 2-1 with 23 shots to 11 and nine on target to one. The xG was 2.50 to 0.62, and Espanyol's keeper made seven saves. Espanyol collected four yellow cards, Racing three. The both-teams-to-score bet, taken at odds of 1.57, landed. Before kick-off Racing Santander were 2.30 to win, and over 2.5 goals was on offer at 1.64; three were scored.

  1. 8'Racing SantanderIñigo Vicente YC
  2. 17'EspanyolPol Lozano YC
  3. 39'Espanyolpenalty overturned (VAR) · Álex Calatrava Torrado
  4. 43'EspanyolJosé Manuel González Álvarez YC
  5. 62'EspanyolEduardo Expósito Jaén (Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa)0:1
  6. 67'Racing SantanderPablo Ramon Parra YC
  7. 67'Racing Santanderon Iker Luque, off Matteo Prati
  8. 67'Racing Santanderon Pablo García, off Andrés Martín
  9. 69'Racing SantanderJeanuël Belocian (Sergio Canales)1:1
  10. 70'EspanyolUrko Gonzalez YC
  11. 76'Espanyolon Tyrhys Dolan, off Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
  12. 76'Espanyolon Javi Puado, off Bryan Zaragoza
  13. 82'Racing Santanderon André Almeida, off Sergio Canales
  14. 82'Racing Santanderon Pedro Felipe, off Pablo Ramon Parra
  15. 84'Racing SantanderYassir Zabiri (Alvaro Mantilla)2:1
  16. 85'Espanyolon Urko Gonzalez, off Pol Lozano
  17. 85'Espanyolon Marcos Fernández, off Álex Calatrava Torrado
  18. 88'Racing Santanderon Maguette Gueye, off Iñigo Vicente
  19. 89'EspanyolJavi Puado YC
  20. 90'EspanyolEduardo Expósito Jaén YC
  21. 90+5'Espanyolon Unai Núñez, off Vanja Drkusic
  22. 90+7'Racing SantanderJorge Salinas Viadero YC
Match stats: Racing Santander vs Espanyol
Racing SantanderstatEspanyol
2.50expected goals (xG)0.62
23shots11
9on target1
55%possession45%
9corners4
10fouls17
0saves7
3yellow cards4
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Racing Santander

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager José Alberto López

starting XIfeed rating
  • 13Julen Agirrezabala6.3
  • 17Jorge Salinas6.9
  • 24J. Belocian7.8
  • 5Pablo Ramón7.0
  • 2Álvaro Mantilla6.6
  • 23Iván Martín6.6
  • 18M. Prati6.4
  • 10Iñigo Vicente6.8
  • 20Sergio Canales7.5
  • 11Andrés Martín7.0
  • 21M. Zabiri8.1
substitutes
  • 22Pedro Felipeon 82'6.2
  • 12Asier Villalibre
  • 6Íñigo Sainz-Maza
  • 8André Almeidaon 82'6.5
  • 3Aarón Martín
  • 19Iker Luqueon 67'6.5
  • 9Juan Carlos Arana
  • 15Pablo Garcíaon 67'6.7
  • 16Facundo González
  • 14M. Gueyeon 88'6.4
  • 7G. Guliashvili
  • 31Laro Gómez
Espanyol

formation 4-4-2 · manager Manolo González

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Ángel Fortuño7.2
  • 3Q. Hartman6.5
  • 6L. Cabrera6.3
  • 16V. Drkušić6.6
  • 23O. El Hilali6.9
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza5.6
  • 10Pol Lozano6.4
  • 8Edu Expósito — highest feed rating in the match8.2
  • 28Javier Hernandez6.4
  • 22Álex Calatrava5.9
  • 9Roberto Fernández6.3
substitutes
  • 26Rafel Bauzà
  • 13M. Dmitrović
  • 24T. Dolanon 76'6.0
  • 18Marcos Fernándezon 85'6.2
  • 4Urko Gonzálezon 85'5.9
  • 2Gorosabel
  • 21Roger Hinojo
  • 11Pere Milla
  • 14Unai Núñezon 90+5'
  • 7Javi Puadoon 76'6.1
  • 5C. Riedel
  • 20Gabriel Moscardo

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet won. 5 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet won.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:54 UTC

Racing Santander's home games have been anything but quiet. In all four matches at El Sardinero both teams found the net, over 2.5 goals landed every time, and the hosts average 2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded there. Across six league matches Racing have shipped 20 goals and have not kept a clean sheet at home once. Espanyol are balanced at both ends on the road — 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded, both teams scored in three of their four away games, and the Catalans have never been shut out on their travels. The market rates goals at both ends at 59%, and our pick is both teams to score at 1.57.

Where we could be wrong

There is one doubt: what if Espanyol turn up to defend their goal? They already have two clean sheets this season, and Racing have a real problem creating — 0.71 xG per game against 2.22 for their opponents, with the hosts failing to score at all on two occasions this season.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 24.10
Racing Santander
Recent matches: Racing Santander
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18.10OsasunaA0:2xG 0.3–3.4L
11.10ValenciaH2:2xG 1.3–1.7D
19.09Celta VigoA0:5xG 0.8–2.1L
16.09BarcelonaA2:7L
12.09Deportivo AlavésH2:1W
05.09Rayo VallecanoA2:3xG 0.5–1.6L
Espanyol
Recent matches: Espanyol
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17.10Atlético MadridH0:1xG 0.6–1.4L
09.10MálagaA1:1xG 1.1–0.7D
18.09ElcheH1:3xG 1.1–1.6L
15.09Rayo VallecanoA1:2xG 1.5–1.5L
12.09OsasunaA2:0W
06.09SevillaH1:1xG 1.2–0.5D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstRacing SantanderEspanyolLaLiga
goals1.4 / 2.81.2 / 1.31.5
xG1.3 / 2.31.1 / 1.31.5
shots11.2 / 16.312.7 / 13.113.5
shots on target4.4 / 6.73.7 / 5.14.8
corners4.7 / 8.22.3 / 5.44.9
fouls13.8 / 14.816.1 / 10.412.3
yellow cards2.7 / 2.43 / 2.72.2
matches over 2.578%56%
both scored67%67%
clean sheets0%22%
failed to score33%11%
home / away
goals2.3 / 1.81.3 / 1.3
average total42.5
matches over 2.5100%50%
both scored100%75%

Head to head

last 6

2–1–3Racing Santander wins · draws · Espanyol wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Racing Santander vs Espanyol2:010.02.24Segunda División
Espanyol vs Racing Santander2:019.08.23Segunda División
Espanyol vs Racing Santander3:119.03.12
Racing Santander vs Espanyol0:122.10.11
Espanyol vs Racing Santander1:203.04.11
Racing Santander vs Espanyol0:014.11.10

League table

League standings: LaLiga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
12Villarreal92-3-413–139LWWLD
13Espanyol92-2-511–128WLLDL
14Rayo Vallecano72-2-311–168WLWD
15Getafe82-2-44–108DDLWL
16Racing Santander92-2-513–258WLLDL
17Levante81-4-312–167DLLDD

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 18.10

Goals by minute

league season
Racing Santander
  • 0-1522
  • 16-3043
  • 31-4556
  • 46-6021
  • 61-7513
  • 76-9007
Espanyol
  • 0-1533
  • 16-3023
  • 31-4520
  • 46-6010
  • 61-7502
  • 76-9025

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All LaLiga results
0:3Rayo Vallecano–ElcheOur pick:BTTS1.73prediction lost14 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.77X 3.852 4.591:2Valencia–VillarrealOur pick:22.11prediction won11 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 3.46X 3.592 2.091:0Atlético Madrid–Deportivo La CoruñaOur pick:H1 (−1.5)1.69prediction lost16 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.29X 5.882 10.48