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Real Sociedad vs Levante 2:1: result and odds

Real Sociedad vs Levante finished 2:1; before kick-off the odds were 1.56 on a Real Sociedad win (having opened at 1.71), 5.24 on a Levante win and 4.63 on a draw. The AI models' pick was Real Sociedad to win at 1.71, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Real Sociedad
Levante

AI models' pick: Real Sociedad to win

1.71

The market prices this option at 55%

AI models' pick · 9 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 7 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

won+0.71 unitsclosing odds1.56CLV+10%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.

likely score

1:112%odds 7.42

2:1 10% — this score came in2:0 9%1:0 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 25.10 17:11

result11.56 — matches our bet−0.15X4.63+0.6125.24+0.80
total 2.5O1.43−0.21U2.72+0.45
both to scoreyes1.51−0.10no2.42+0.21
double chance1X1.16−0.05121.19−0.05X22.42+0.28
handicapH1 −11.89−0.33H2 +11.95+0.30

Over 7 days a Real Sociedad win shortened from 1.71 to 1.56 — money is coming in on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Real Sociedad: 1.71 → 1.56 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (a Real Sociedad win) has shortened from 1.71 to 1.56: the market now rates it as more likely.

Real Sociedad1.71 → 1.56our betDraw4.02 → 4.63Levante4.44 → 5.24
1.502.003.004.003 daysno data18 Oct21 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25 OctWe published · 1.71Levante 5.24Draw 4.63Real Sociedad 1.56

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenReal Sociedad · our betDrawLevante
1.56−0.024.63+0.035.24+0.16
1.584.605.08−0.03
1.58−0.014.60+0.055.11−0.05
1.59−0.024.55+0.145.16+0.06
1.614.415.10+0.06
1.614.41+0.015.04+0.02
1.614.40+0.055.02+0.01
1.61−0.014.35+0.045.01+0.06
1.62−0.024.31+0.044.95+0.14
1.64−0.014.27+0.104.81−0.05
1.65−0.014.17+0.084.86+0.08
1.664.09−0.024.78
1.66−0.064.11+0.094.78+0.27
1.724.02+0.024.51+0.04
1.72+0.014.00−0.024.47+0.03
18 Oct – 21 Oct · no snapshots for 3 days
We published a Real Sociedad win at 1.71
1.71opened4.02opened4.44opened
61 snapshots · the prices changed 15 times

How the match went

half-time 2:1

match report · 25.10 20:02

Orri Steinn Óskarsson put Real Sociedad ahead after six minutes, but Nacho Pérez Gómez levelled on 22 from a Thiago Cruz Fernandez assist. Five minutes later Benat Turrientes made it 2-1 from a Gonçalo Guedes pass, and that was both the half-time score and the final one. The numbers backed the winners: 2.54 xG to 0.70 and 17 shots to six. Only three of those shots were on target, against two for Levante, who collected three yellow cards to one. Our bet on Real Sociedad to win at 1.71 landed. That was the price when the market opened, and by kick-off the home side were down to 1.56. Over 2.5 goals paid 1.43 with three scored, and both teams to score came in at 1.51.

  1. 6'Real SociedadOrri Steinn Óskarsson1:0
  2. 22'LevanteNacho Pérez Gómez (Thiago Cruz Fernandez)1:1
  3. 27'Real SociedadBenat Turrientes (Gonçalo Guedes)2:1
  4. 45'Levanteon Víctor García, off Roger Brugué
  5. 62'Real Sociedadon Ander Barrenetxea, off Luka Sučić
  6. 62'Real Sociedadon Jon Aramburu, off Hector Fort
  7. 62'Levanteon Axel Tape-Kobrissa, off Iván Romero
  8. 62'Levanteon Karl Etta Eyong, off Petar Ratkov
  9. 64'Real SociedadJon Martin YC
  10. 71'Real Sociedadon Yangel Herrera, off Benat Turrientes
  11. 75'LevanteManu Sánchez YC
  12. 80'Levanteon Yanis Musuayi, off Daniel Requena Sánchez
  13. 80'Levanteon Paco Cortés, off Thiago Cruz Fernandez
  14. 81'LevanteYanis Musuayi YC
  15. 85'Real Sociedadon Job Ochieng, off Gonçalo Guedes
  16. 85'Real Sociedadon Arsen Zakharyan, off Orri Steinn Óskarsson
  17. 87'LevanteVíctor García YC
Match stats: Real Sociedad vs Levante
Real SociedadstatLevante
2.54expected goals (xG)0.70
17shots6
3on target2
62%possession38%
2corners3
14fouls13
1saves1
1yellow cards3
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Real Sociedad

formation 4-4-2 · manager P. Matarazzo

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Álex Remiro6.3
  • 17Sergio Gómez6.6
  • 19M. Sarr6.7
  • 6Jon Martín6.6
  • 22Héctor Fort7.0
  • 11Gonçalo Guedes7.0
  • 8Beñat Turrientes — highest feed rating in the match8.2
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi7.2
  • 24L. Sučić6.8
  • 9O. Óskarsson7.7
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal6.0
substitutes
  • 7Barrenetxeaon 62'7.2
  • 21Y. Herreraon 71'6.2
  • 14T. Kubo
  • 13Unai Marrero
  • 15Pablo Marín
  • 3Aihen Muñoz
  • 12J. Ochiengon 85'6.4
  • 16Jon Pacheco
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 23A. Zakharyanon 85'6.3
  • 5Zubeldia
  • 2J. Aramburuon 62'6.3
Levante

formation 4-4-2 · manager Luís Castro

starting XIfeed rating
  • 13M. Ryan5.5
  • 23Manu Sánchez6.0
  • 3Ifeanyi Ndukwe6.5
  • 2A. Mandi6.5
  • 29Nacho Pérez6.9
  • 24T. Fernández6.8
  • 6Reque6.7
  • 8Jon Ander Olasagasti6.3
  • 7Brugui6.0
  • 10P. Ratkov6.1
  • 9Iván Romero6.2
substitutes
  • 27Paco Cortéson 80'6.4
  • 14Jorge Cabello
  • 1Pablo Cuñat
  • 21Etta Eyongon 62'6.1
  • 17Víctor Garcíaon 45'6.2
  • 11Yanis Musuayion 80'5.9
  • 32Primo
  • 20Oriol Rey
  • 33M. Santos
  • 5Hugo Sotelo
  • 16A. Tapeon 62'5.7
  • 22J. Toljan

The largest group of AI models bet on a Real Sociedad win — the bet won. 4 more chose close bets in the same direction: Real Sociedad −1. 6 more bet on at least one side failing to score — the bet lost. One more bet on over 2.5 goals.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:54 UTC

Real Sociedad have avoided defeat in the last two meetings with Levante: a 2-0 home win in April 2026 and a 1-1 draw on the road in December 2025. Levante's away record is bleak — no wins from three draws and two defeats, 0.3 goals per trip and three of their four journeys without a goal. Sociedad have two wins, a draw and a defeat at home, and the table spells out the gap: sixth place and 13 points against seventeenth and 7. The market gives the hosts a little better than an even chance, and at odds of 1.71 that price on the favourite looks workable with these numbers behind it. Our pick is a Real Sociedad win.

Where we could be wrong

The worry is the hosts' own attack: just 1.3 goals per game at home and three matches this season without scoring. Sociedad are juggling LaLiga with the Europa League, so some rotation is possible here.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 25.10
Real Sociedad
Recent matches: Real Sociedad
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22.10LillestrømEuropa LeagueA6:0W
18.10MálagaA5:2xG 2.4–1.1W
15.10Union Saint-GilloiseEuropa LeagueA1:1xG 0.8–1.9D
11.10Deportivo La CoruñaH3:2xG 1.4–2.1W
02.10Athletic Bilbaoclub friendlyH0:1L
20.09ValenciaA3:2xG 2.6–1.6W
Levante
Recent matches: Levante
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21.10Athletic BilbaoH3:1W
16.10Deportivo La CoruñaA1:1xG 0.8–1.1D
12.10SevillaH3:3xG 1.9–2.2D
20.09VillarrealA1:3xG 0.5–4.3L
13.09BarcelonaH2:4L
06.09MálagaA0:0xG 0.8–1.5D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstReal SociedadLevanteLaLiga
goals1.9 / 1.91.7 / 1.91.5
xG1.3 / 1.71.4 / 21.5
shots14.1 / 16.611.9 / 15.913.5
shots on target5.4 / 6.24.6 / 5.44.8
corners7 / 4.93.4 / 5.44.9
fouls12.2 / 9.810.2 / 12.712.3
yellow cards2 / 2.61.3 / 2.12.2
matches over 2.578%67%
both scored67%67%
clean sheets11%22%
failed to score33%33%
home / away
goals1.3 / 1.50.4 / 1.4
average total2.81.8
matches over 2.575%40%
both scored50%40%

Head to head

last 10

4–3–3Real Sociedad wins · draws · Levante wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Real Sociedad vs Levante2:004.04.26
Levante vs Real Sociedad1:120.12.25
Levante vs Real Sociedad2:106.05.22
Real Sociedad vs Levante1:028.08.21
Real Sociedad vs Levante1:007.03.21
Levante vs Real Sociedad2:119.12.20
Levante vs Real Sociedad1:106.07.20
Real Sociedad vs Levante1:230.10.19
Real Sociedad vs Levante1:115.03.19
Levante vs Real Sociedad1:309.11.18

League table

League standings: LaLiga
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
4Real Madrid86-0-219–818LWWLW
5Real Sociedad95-1-317–1716WLWWW
6Sevilla84-2-213–1214DWWLD
16Racing Santander92-2-513–258WLLDL
17Levante81-4-312–167DLLDD
18Elche91-4-411–177DLWDD

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 18.10

Goals by minute

league season
Real Sociedad
  • 0-1520
  • 16-3020
  • 31-4532
  • 46-6012
  • 61-7516
  • 76-9044
Levante
  • 0-1503
  • 16-3011
  • 31-4524
  • 46-6023
  • 61-7511
  • 76-90+64

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All LaLiga results
0:0Celta Vigo–Real BetisOur pick:BTTS1.65prediction lost14 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 3.15X 3.432 2.291:2Barcelona–Real MadridOur pick:O 3.51.62prediction lost6 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 2 more in the same direction1 1.59X 5.702 4.104:0Athletic Bilbao–GetafeOur pick:U 2.51.67prediction lost5 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 1.56X 4.032 6.64