FINISHED
Real Sociedad vs Levante 2:1: result and odds
Real Sociedad vs Levante finished 2:1; before kick-off the odds were 1.56 on a Real Sociedad win (having opened at 1.71), 5.24 on a Levante win and 4.63 on a draw. The AI models' pick was Real Sociedad to win at 1.71, and it won.
- Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
- LaLiga, matchday 10 of 38
- +17°, drizzle
- Reale Arena, San Sebastián
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Real Sociedad to win
1.71The market prices this option at 55%
AI models' pick · 9 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 7 chose others
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
- closing odds
- The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
- CLV
- How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
likely score
2:1 10% — this score came in2:0 9%1:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 7 days a Real Sociedad win shortened from 1.71 to 1.56 — money is coming in on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Real Sociedad: 1.71 → 1.56 since we publishedView
Since we published, our bet (a Real Sociedad win) has shortened from 1.71 to 1.56: the market now rates it as more likely.
Price changes
| When | Real Sociedad · our bet | Draw | Levante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.56−0.02 | 4.63+0.03 | 5.24+0.16 | |
| 1.58 | 4.60 | 5.08−0.03 | |
| 1.58−0.01 | 4.60+0.05 | 5.11−0.05 | |
| 1.59−0.02 | 4.55+0.14 | 5.16+0.06 | |
| 1.61 | 4.41 | 5.10+0.06 | |
| 1.61 | 4.41+0.01 | 5.04+0.02 | |
| 1.61 | 4.40+0.05 | 5.02+0.01 | |
| 1.61−0.01 | 4.35+0.04 | 5.01+0.06 | |
| 1.62−0.02 | 4.31+0.04 | 4.95+0.14 | |
| 1.64−0.01 | 4.27+0.10 | 4.81−0.05 | |
| 1.65−0.01 | 4.17+0.08 | 4.86+0.08 | |
| 1.66 | 4.09−0.02 | 4.78 | |
| 1.66−0.06 | 4.11+0.09 | 4.78+0.27 | |
| 1.72 | 4.02+0.02 | 4.51+0.04 | |
| 1.72+0.01 | 4.00−0.02 | 4.47+0.03 | |
| 18 Oct – 21 Oct · no snapshots for 3 days | |||
| We published a Real Sociedad win at 1.71 | |||
| 1.71opened | 4.02opened | 4.44opened | |
How the match went
Orri Steinn Óskarsson put Real Sociedad ahead after six minutes, but Nacho Pérez Gómez levelled on 22 from a Thiago Cruz Fernandez assist. Five minutes later Benat Turrientes made it 2-1 from a Gonçalo Guedes pass, and that was both the half-time score and the final one. The numbers backed the winners: 2.54 xG to 0.70 and 17 shots to six. Only three of those shots were on target, against two for Levante, who collected three yellow cards to one. Our bet on Real Sociedad to win at 1.71 landed. That was the price when the market opened, and by kick-off the home side were down to 1.56. Over 2.5 goals paid 1.43 with three scored, and both teams to score came in at 1.51.
- 6'
Orri Steinn Óskarsson1:0 - 22'
Nacho Pérez Gómez (Thiago Cruz Fernandez)1:1 - 27'
Benat Turrientes (Gonçalo Guedes)2:1 - 45'
on Víctor García, off Roger Brugué - 62'
on Ander Barrenetxea, off Luka Sučić - 62'
on Jon Aramburu, off Hector Fort - 62'
on Axel Tape-Kobrissa, off Iván Romero - 62'
on Karl Etta Eyong, off Petar Ratkov - 64'
Jon Martin YC - 71'
on Yangel Herrera, off Benat Turrientes - 75'
Manu Sánchez YC - 80'
on Yanis Musuayi, off Daniel Requena Sánchez - 80'
on Paco Cortés, off Thiago Cruz Fernandez - 81'
Yanis Musuayi YC - 85'
on Job Ochieng, off Gonçalo Guedes - 85'
on Arsen Zakharyan, off Orri Steinn Óskarsson - 87'
Víctor García YC
| Real Sociedad | stat | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| 2.54 | expected goals (xG) | 0.70 |
| 17 | shots | 6 |
| 3 | on target | 2 |
| 62% | possession | 38% |
| 2 | corners | 3 |
| 14 | fouls | 13 |
| 1 | saves | 1 |
| 1 | yellow cards | 3 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
- 1Álex Remiro6.3
- 17Sergio Gómez6.6
- 19M. Sarr6.7
- 6Jon Martín6.6
- 22Héctor Fort7.0
- 11Gonçalo Guedes7.0
- 8Beñat Turrientes — highest feed rating in the match8.2
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi7.2
- 24L. Sučić6.8
- 9O. Óskarsson7.7
- 10Mikel Oyarzabal6.0
- 7Barrenetxeaon 62'7.2
- 21Y. Herreraon 71'6.2
- 14T. Kubo
- 13Unai Marrero
- 15Pablo Marín
- 3Aihen Muñoz
- 12J. Ochiengon 85'6.4
- 16Jon Pacheco
- 18Carlos Soler
- 23A. Zakharyanon 85'6.3
- 5Zubeldia
- 2J. Aramburuon 62'6.3
- 13M. Ryan5.5
- 23Manu Sánchez6.0
- 3Ifeanyi Ndukwe6.5
- 2A. Mandi6.5
- 29Nacho Pérez6.9
- 24T. Fernández6.8
- 6Reque6.7
- 8Jon Ander Olasagasti6.3
- 7Brugui6.0
- 10P. Ratkov6.1
- 9Iván Romero6.2
- 27Paco Cortéson 80'6.4
- 14Jorge Cabello
- 1Pablo Cuñat
- 21Etta Eyongon 62'6.1
- 17Víctor Garcíaon 45'6.2
- 11Yanis Musuayion 80'5.9
- 32Primo
- 20Oriol Rey
- 33M. Santos
- 5Hugo Sotelo
- 16A. Tapeon 62'5.7
- 22J. Toljan
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on a Real Sociedad win — the bet won. 4 more chose close bets in the same direction: Real Sociedad −1. 6 more bet on at least one side failing to score — the bet lost. One more bet on over 2.5 goals.
- 5 of 161our betodds 1.71
Gemini
GrokKimi
SonarNemotron Superwon - 4 of 16H1 (−1)same directionodds 2.22ChatGPTDeepSeek FlashMistralNemotron Ultravoid
- 6 of 16BTTS noodds 2.21ClaudeDeepSeekQwen
GLMMiniMaxXiaomi MiMolost - 1 of 16O 2.5odds 1.64
Dots3-Notewon
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:54 UTC
Real Sociedad have avoided defeat in the last two meetings with Levante: a 2-0 home win in April 2026 and a 1-1 draw on the road in December 2025. Levante's away record is bleak — no wins from three draws and two defeats, 0.3 goals per trip and three of their four journeys without a goal. Sociedad have two wins, a draw and a defeat at home, and the table spells out the gap: sixth place and 13 points against seventeenth and 7. The market gives the hosts a little better than an even chance, and at odds of 1.71 that price on the favourite looks workable with these numbers behind it. Our pick is a Real Sociedad win.
Where we could be wrong
The worry is the hosts' own attack: just 1.3 goals per game at home and three matches this season without scoring. Sociedad are juggling LaLiga with the Europa League, so some rotation is possible here.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10 | LillestrømEuropa League | A | 6:0 | W |
| 18.10 | Málaga | A | 5:2xG 2.4–1.1 | W |
| 15.10 | Union Saint-GilloiseEuropa League | A | 1:1xG 0.8–1.9 | D |
| 11.10 | Deportivo La Coruña | H | 3:2xG 1.4–2.1 | W |
| 02.10 | Athletic Bilbaoclub friendly | H | 0:1 | L |
| 20.09 | Valencia | A | 3:2xG 2.6–1.6 | W |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10 | Athletic Bilbao | H | 3:1 | W |
| 16.10 | Deportivo La Coruña | A | 1:1xG 0.8–1.1 | D |
| 12.10 | Sevilla | H | 3:3xG 1.9–2.2 | D |
| 20.09 | Villarreal | A | 1:3xG 0.5–4.3 | L |
| 13.09 | Barcelona | H | 2:4 | L |
| 06.09 | Málaga | A | 0:0xG 0.8–1.5 | D |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | LaLiga | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.9 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 1.9 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 2 | 1.5 |
| shots | 14.1 / 16.6 | 11.9 / 15.9 | 13.5 |
| shots on target | 5.4 / 6.2 | 4.6 / 5.4 | 4.8 |
| corners | 7 / 4.9 | 3.4 / 5.4 | 4.9 |
| fouls | 12.2 / 9.8 | 10.2 / 12.7 | 12.3 |
| yellow cards | 2 / 2.6 | 1.3 / 2.1 | 2.2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 78% | 67% | |
| both scored | 67% | 67% | |
| clean sheets | 11% | 22% | |
| failed to score | 33% | 33% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.4 / 1.4 | |
| average total | 2.8 | 1.8 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 75% | 40% | |
| both scored | 50% | 40% | |
- Real Sociedad score more than the league average: 1.9 vs 1.5
- Levante score more than the league average: 1.7 vs 1.5
- Real Sociedad: 3 league wins in a row
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Real Sociedad, away games only for Levante
Head to head
4–3–3Real Sociedad wins · draws · Levante wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad vs Levante | 2:0 | 04.04.26 | |
| Levante vs Real Sociedad | 1:1 | 20.12.25 | |
| Levante vs Real Sociedad | 2:1 | 06.05.22 | |
| Real Sociedad vs Levante | 1:0 | 28.08.21 | |
| Real Sociedad vs Levante | 1:0 | 07.03.21 | |
| Levante vs Real Sociedad | 2:1 | 19.12.20 | |
| Levante vs Real Sociedad | 1:1 | 06.07.20 | |
| Real Sociedad vs Levante | 1:2 | 30.10.19 | |
| Real Sociedad vs Levante | 1:1 | 15.03.19 | |
| Levante vs Real Sociedad | 1:3 | 09.11.18 |
- both scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6-0-2 | 19–8 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5-1-3 | 17–17 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 8 | 4-2-2 | 13–12 | 14 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 9 | 2-2-5 | 13–25 | 8 | WLLDL |
| 17 | Levante | 8 | 1-4-3 | 12–16 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11–17 | 7 | DLWDD |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 18.10
Goals by minute
- 0-1520
- 16-3020
- 31-4532
- 46-6012
- 61-7516
- 76-9044
- 0-1503
- 16-3011
- 31-4524
- 46-6023
- 61-7511
- 76-90+64
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals