FINISHED
Angers vs Lorient 0:0: result and odds
Angers vs Lorient finished 0:0; before kick-off the odds were 3.27 on a draw (having opened at 3.26), 3.04 on an Angers win and 2.43 on a Lorient win. The AI models' pick was under 2.5 goals at 1.78, and it won.
- Referee: Azzedine Souifi
- Ligue 1, matchday 8 of 34
- +15°, cloudy
- Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers
published · updated UTC
AI models' pick: Under 2.5 goals
1.78The market prices this option at 54%
AI models' pick · 8 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 8 chose others
Under half back the betOur football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
- closing odds
- The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
- CLV
- How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
likely score
0:0 9% — this score came in2:1 9%1:0 8%
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 7 days an Angers win drifted from 2.58 to 3.04 — fewer bets on the home side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Under 2.5: 1.78 → 1.81 since we published · Lorient became the favourite in 1X2View
Since we published, our bet (under 2.5 goals) has drifted from 1.78 to 1.81: the market now rates it as less likely.
Price changes
| When | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 · our bet |
|---|---|---|
| 2.02 | 1.81−0.01 | |
| 2.02 | 1.82+0.01 | |
| 2.02+0.01 | 1.81 | |
| 2.01−0.01 | 1.81 | |
| 2.02+0.01 | 1.81 | |
| 2.01−0.01 | 1.81 | |
| 2.02+0.01 | 1.81−0.01 | |
| 2.01−0.01 | 1.82+0.01 | |
| 2.02 | 1.81+0.01 | |
| 2.02 | 1.80−0.01 | |
| We published under 2.5 goals at 1.78 | ||
| 2.02−0.06 | 1.81+0.03 | |
| 2.08opened | 1.78opened | |
How the match went
Angers and Lorient played out a 0-0 draw in which the numbers pointed different ways. Angers put five of their eight shots on target against one from ten for Lorient, yet Lorient had the higher xG, 0.60 to 0.36, and made five saves while Angers made none. Possession was 52% for Lorient and 48% for Angers. The only cards were yellows. Yassine Belkdim was booked on 33 minutes and taken off at half-time, and Nathaniel Adjei was cautioned for Lorient on 85. Before kick-off Lorient were the favourites to win, on offer at 2.43, while a goalless draw was rated at 8.35. Our under 2.5 bet, backed at 1.78, landed.
- 28'on Jim Allevinah, off Amine El Ouazzani
- 33'Yassine Belkdim YC
- 45'on Haris Belkebla, off Yassine Belkdim
- 59'on Mamadou Kone, off Ibrahima Balde
- 59'on Gabin Bernardeau, off Souleymane Faye
- 83'on Usman Simbakoli, off Prosper Peter
- 84'on Harouna Djibirin, off Amine Sbaï
- 85'Nathaniel Adjei YC
- 88'on Srđan Kuzmić, off Dembo Sylla
- 88'on Isak Jensen, off Jean-Victor Makengo
| Angers | stat | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | expected goals (xG) | 0.60 |
| 8 | shots | 10 |
| 5 | on target | 1 |
| 48% | possession | 52% |
| 6 | corners | 7 |
| 13 | fouls | 9 |
| 0 | saves | 5 |
| 1 | yellow cards | 1 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
Angers- 1Anthony Lopes6.6
- 17J. Kalulu7.2
- 21J. Lefort7.1
- 4O. Camara6.9
- 2C. Arcus6.9
- 27L. Rao-Lisoa6.6
- 10A. Sbaï6.7
- 8B. van den Boomen7.0
- 14Y. Belkhdim6.3
- 19A. El Ouazzani6.8
- 9P. Peter6.2
- 93H. Belkeblaon 45'7.1
- 26A. Bermont
- 11Djibirin Harounaon 84'6.5
- 34M. Gernigon
- 20Marius Louër
- 7U. Simbakolion 83'6.5
- 6L. Mouton
- 18J. Allevinahon 28'6.3
- 16M. Zinga
Lorient- 38Y. Mvogo — highest feed rating in the match8.1
- 95S. Touré7.0
- 3M. Talbi6.7
- 32N. Adjei6.4
- 43K. Kouassi7.2
- 8N. Cadiou6.2
- 62A. Avom7.2
- 20D. Sylla6.9
- 19S. Faye6.8
- 17J. Makengo6.3
- 18I. Baldé6.8
- 55N. Obaretin
- 11T. Le Bris
- 30S. Kuzmićon 88'6.5
- 42M. Koneon 59'6.5
- 21B. Kamara
- 2A. Georgen
- 33G. Bernardeauon 59'6.6
- 15A. Tosin
- 10I. Jensenon 88'6.6
AI prediction and analysis
The largest group of AI models bet on under 2.5 goals — the bet won. 2 more each on Lorient not losing (won) and on Lorient draw no bet (void). The other 4 chose a bet each: a Lorient handicap, both teams to score, 'both to score — no' and a Lorient win.
- 8 of 16U 2.5our betodds 1.78ClaudeDeepSeek
GeminiKimiQwen
GLMMiniMaxXiaomi MiMowon - 2 of 16X2odds 1.51
Grok
Sonarwon - 2 of 16DNB 2odds 2.00ChatGPTNemotron Ultravoid
- 1 of 16H2 (+1)odds 1.20Nemotron Superwon
- 1 of 16BTTSodds 1.82Mistrallost
- 1 of 16BTTS noodds 1.93
Dots3-Notewon - 1 of 162odds 2.78DeepSeek Flashlost
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC
Lorient have been extremely frugal on the road: 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game, a match average of 1.3, and clean sheets in two of their three away trips. Angers are no quicker to run up a scoreline at home, with a goal a game across three home matches; over 2.5 goals has landed in only one in three of them, and both teams have scored just as rarely. The previous meetings fit the same mould — 0-0 in February 2023, then 2-0 in October 2025 and 2-0 in February 2026, with the goals coming from one side rather than both. The market rates under 2.5 goals at 54%, which makes a price of 1.78 a workable proposition, and that is our pick.
Where we could be wrong
The risk is that Angers have already shipped 13 goals in six Ligue 1 rounds, with 2.36 xG against their own goal, and one evening like that would be enough for the bet to go down. The hosts sit 14th and need points, so if they push forward, Lorient are well capable of adding a second or third on the counter.
- 8 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but the other half chose something else.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
Angers| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10 | Marseille | H | 2:5xG 2.1–2.8 | L |
| 10.10 | Brest | A | 1:5xG 1.4–3.8 | L |
| 19.09 | Troyes | H | 2:0xG 2.3–1.0 | W |
| 12.09 | Le Havre | A | 0:0 | D |
| 06.09 | Rennes | H | 1:2 | L |
| 29.08 | Auxerre | A | 3:1xG 1.6–1.8 | W |
Lorient| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10 | Monaco | H | 1:0xG 1.7–0.7 | W |
| 10.10 | Paris | H | 1:0xG 0.6–1.0 | W |
| 19.09 | Le Mans | A | 1:2xG 1.0–0.9 | L |
| 12.09 | Toulouse | H | 2:2 | D |
| 05.09 | Lens | A | 1:0xG 1.6–1.2 | W |
| 29.08 | Troyes | H | 1:2xG 1.1–2.1 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | | | Ligue 1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 1.3 / 2.1 | 1 / 0.9 | 1.5 |
| xG | 1.7 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.6 |
| shots | 13.6 / 17.4 | 9.9 / 14 | 13.7 |
| shots on target | 3 / 6.6 | 3.4 / 3.9 | 4.8 |
| corners | 6.4 / 5.7 | 2.6 / 5.6 | 4.7 |
| fouls | 10.9 / 13 | 9.3 / 15.3 | 12.1 |
| yellow cards | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 2.4 | 1.7 |
| matches over 2.5 | 57% | 43% | |
| both scored | 57% | 43% | |
| clean sheets | 29% | 57% | |
| failed to score | 29% | 14% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 1.3 / 2.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 | |
| average total | 3.5 | 1.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 50% | 33% | |
| both scored | 50% | 33% | |
- Angers score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
- Lorient score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.5
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Angers, away games only for Lorient
Head to head
4–2–4Angers wins · draws · Lorient wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers vs Lorient | 2:1 | 08.08.26 | club friendly |
| Lorient vs Angers | 2:0 | 15.02.26 | |
| Angers vs Lorient | 2:0 | 26.10.25 | |
| Angers vs Lorient | 1:0 | 09.08.25 | club friendly |
| Lorient vs Angers | 2:1 | 03.08.24 | club friendly |
| Lorient vs Angers | 0:0 | 05.02.23 | |
| Angers vs Lorient | 1:2 | 01.01.23 | |
| Lorient vs Angers | 0:0 | 16.01.22 | |
| Angers vs Lorient | 1:0 | 21.11.21 | |
| Lorient vs Angers | 1:0 | 31.07.21 | club friendly |
- both scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 3 of 10
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lyon | 6 | 3-2-1 | 11–4 | 11 | DWDWL |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3-2-2 | 7–6 | 11 | WDLWW |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 3-1-3 | 14–11 | 10 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2-1-4 | 12–15 | 7 | WDLLL |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2-1-4 | 9–15 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1-3-3 | 10–15 | 6 | DDWLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 18.10
Goals by minute
- 0-1523
- 16-3012
- 31-4525
- 46-6022
- 61-7520
- 76-9012
- 0-1501
- 16-3001
- 31-4521
- 46-6022
- 61-7511
- 76-9010
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals
