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data updated 27.10 08:07

FINISHED

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon 2:0: result and odds

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon finished 2:0; before kick-off the odds were 1.32 on a Paris Saint-Germain win (having opened at 1.39), 8.46 on a Lyon win and 5.73 on a draw. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.56, and it lost.

published · updated UTC

Paris Saint-Germain
Lyon

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.56

The market prices this option at 60%

AI models' pick · 6 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 10 chose others

Under half back the bet

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

lost−1.00 unitsclosing odds1.60CLV−2%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

2:110%odds 8.43

1:1 9%2:0 9% — this score came in3:1 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 4 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 26.10 19:07

result11.32−0.07X5.73+0.4928.46+1.55
total 3.5O1.93−0.02U1.91+0.01
both to scoreyes1.60 — matches our bet+0.04no2.23−0.10
double chance1X1.08−0.03121.13−0.04X23.34+0.38
handicapH1 −1.51.84−0.17H2 +1.51.99+0.12

Over 8 days a Lyon win drifted from 6.91 to 8.46 — fewer bets on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.56 → 1.60 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.56 to 1.60: the market now rates it as less likely.

Yes1.56 → 1.60our betNo2.33 → 2.23
1.601.802.002.202.4018 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25 Oct26 OctWe published · 1.56No 2.23Yes 1.60

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.60+0.032.23−0.07
1.57+0.012.30−0.01
1.56+0.022.31−0.04
1.542.35−0.01
1.542.36−0.01
1.54+0.022.37−0.04
1.52−0.012.41+0.01
1.532.40+0.01
1.53+0.012.39−0.01
1.522.40−0.01
1.52−0.042.41+0.10
1.56+0.012.31−0.01
We published both teams score at 1.56
1.55−0.012.32−0.01
1.56opened2.33opened
116 snapshots · the prices changed 13 times

How the match went

half-time 0:0

match report · 26.10 21:34

  1. 31'Paris Saint-GermainVitinha YC
  2. 51'Paris Saint-GermainMaghnes Akliouche YC
  3. 57'Paris Saint-Germainon Mika Godts, off João Neves
  4. 65'Paris Saint-Germainon Lucas Hernández, off Warren Zaire-Emery
  5. 65'Paris Saint-Germainon Senny Mayulu, off Ferrán Torres
  6. 72'Paris Saint-GermainSenny Mayulu (Mika Godts)1:0
  7. 74'LyonErnest Nuamah YC
  8. 76'Lyonon Noah Teye Nartey, off Khalis Merah
  9. 76'Lyonon Ruben Kluivert, off Corentin Tolisso
  10. 81'Paris Saint-Germainon Quentin Ndjantou, off Maghnes Akliouche
  11. 81'Paris Saint-Germainon Lucas Beraldo, off Désiré Doue
  12. 81'Lyonon Kail Boudache, off Julien Duranville
  13. 84'Paris Saint-GermainMika Godts (Quentin Ndjantou)2:0
  14. 90+1'Lyonon Remi Himbert, off Tyler Morton
Match stats: Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon
Paris Saint-GermainstatLyon
0.96expected goals (xG)0.69
17shots8
10on target5
68%possession32%
7corners4
8fouls14
5saves7
2yellow cards1
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Paris Saint-Germain

formation 4-3-3 · manager Luis Enrique

starting XIfeed rating
  • 39M. Safonov — highest feed rating in the match7.9
  • 33W. Zaïre-Emery7.0
  • 51W. Pacho7.2
  • 6I. Zabarnyi7.1
  • 2A. Hakimi7.1
  • 8Fabián Ruiz7.3
  • 17Vitinha6.9
  • 87João Neves7.2
  • 14D. Doué6.4
  • 9Ferran Torres6.4
  • 11M. Akliouche6.5
substitutes
  • 4Beraldoon 81'6.5
  • 42D. Boly
  • 30L. Chevalier
  • 12L. Digne
  • 27Pedro Fernández
  • 22M. Godtson 57'7.6
  • 21L. Hernándezon 65'6.8
  • 24Senny Mayuluon 65'7.8
  • 47Quentin Ndjantou Mbitchaon 81'6.6
Lyon

formation 4-3-3 · manager Paulo Fonseca

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1D. Greif7.5
  • 16Abner6.2
  • 19M. Niakhaté6.8
  • 20F. Bacher6.4
  • 13Z. Athekame6.6
  • 8C. Tolisso6.5
  • 23T. Morton5.8
  • 6T. Tessmann5.9
  • 24J. Duranville6.5
  • 18K. Merah6.7
  • 7E. Nuamah6.3
substitutes
  • 99N. Narteyon 76'6.1
  • 21R. Kluiverton 76'6.2
  • 26K. Boudacheon 81'6.3
  • 2M. Bidstrup
  • 40R. Descamps
  • 44A. Hamdani
  • 45R. Himberton 90+1'
  • 85N. Kamara
  • 22Clinton Mata

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. 4 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet lost. The other 6 chose other bets: a Paris Saint-Germain handicap, a Lyon handicap and a total-goals bet.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 23.10 at 20:35 UTC

Paris Saint-Germain have yet to keep a clean sheet at home this season. Both sides have scored in each of their two home games, and every one of them went over 2.5 goals. Lyon come to the capital with 10 goals in their last five matches, level at the top on 14 points, and they left Paris with a 2-1 win in the spring. The last four meetings have all produced goals at both ends, including two that Paris Saint-Germain won 3-2. The market puts a repeat at around 60%, and with Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes missing from the home defence, Lyon should find space on the counter.

Where we could be wrong

On the road, though, Lyon are a different side: one goal scored and 0.7 conceded per game on average, two clean sheets in three and only one away match in which both teams found the net. Openda and Nakamura are out up front and Hamdani is not in the squad, so prising open the Paris Saint-Germain defence with that attack may prove beyond them. Even so, we're backing both teams to score.

  • 6 of 16 AI models back this bet: it is the most common answer, but more than half chose something else.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Injuries and suspensions

snapshot 23.10 20:34
Paris Saint-Germain
  • O. DembeleFW · 25 goals in 2025/26thigh injuryout
  • K. KvaratskheliaFW · 20 goals in 2025/26knee injuryout
  • A. Longoniinjuryout
  • MarquinhosDF · 37 matches in 2025/26thigh injuryout
  • N. MendesDF · 6 goals in 2025/26muscle injuryout
Lyon
  • A. HamdaniFW · 7 matches in 2025/26inactiveout
  • K. NakamuraFW · 14 goals in 2025/26red cardout
  • L. OpendaFW · 33 matches in 2025/26leg injuryout
  • M. OuedraogoMF · 29 matches in 2025/26knee injuryout
  • N. TagliaficoDF · 30 matches in 2025/26muscle injuryout
  • S. KangoDF · 6 matches in 2025/26injurydoubtful
  • P. SulcMF · 14 goals in 2025/26knee injurydoubtful

managers: Luis Enrique · Paulo Fonseca · main formations this season: 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 26.10
Paris Saint-Germain
Recent matches: Paris Saint-Germain
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20.10BarcelonaChampions LeagueH4:2xG 3.7–2.3W
17.10StrasbourgA3:1xG 2.8–1.6W
14.10Manchester CityChampions LeagueA4:2xG 1.9–2.7W
10.10Le MansH3:1xG 4.3–1.4W
20.09MarseilleA2:1xG 4.3–1.8W
13.09BrestA1:0xG 1.2–1.2W
Lyon
Recent matches: Lyon
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22.10HoffenheimEuropa LeagueA0:3xG 0.9–2.1L
18.10NiceH2:1xG 1.4–0.7W
15.10Crystal PalaceEuropa LeagueH3:2xG 2.1–1.6W
09.10LensA1:2xG 1.0–1.3L
19.09RennesH4:0xG 3.1–1.4W
16.09AnderlechtEuropa LeagueA2:1xG 1.3–1.4W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstParis Saint-GermainLyonLigue 1
goals2 / 1.31.9 / 0.71.5
xG2.7 / 1.31.6 / 1.21.6
shots20.9 / 11.112.7 / 11.913.7
shots on target7.3 / 44.9 / 4.14.8
corners5.7 / 1.94.3 / 6.34.7
fouls5.9 / 11.411 / 14.112.1
yellow cards1 / 2.11.4 / 21.7
matches over 2.586%57%
both scored86%57%
clean sheets14%43%
failed to score0%14%
home / away
goals2 / 1.51 / 0.7
average total3.51.7
matches over 2.5100%33%
both scored100%33%
  • Paris Saint-Germain shoot more often than the league average: 20.9 shots vs 13.7
  • Lyon score more than the league average: 1.9 vs 1.5
  • Paris Saint-Germain: 4 league wins in a row
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Paris Saint-Germain, away games only for Lyon

Head to head

last 10

7–1–2Paris Saint-Germain wins · draws · Lyon wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon1:219.04.26
Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain2:309.11.25
Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain2:323.02.25
Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon3:115.12.24
Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain1:225.05.24Coupe de France
Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon4:121.04.24
Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain1:403.09.23
Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon0:102.04.23
Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain0:118.09.22
Lyon vs Paris Saint-Germain1:109.01.22
  • both scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 7 of 10

League table

League standings: Ligue 1
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
1Lyon74-2-113–514WDWLW
2Paris Saint-Germain74-2-114–914LWWWW
3Paris74-2-112–714WDWLW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 23.10

Goals by minute

league season
Paris Saint-Germain
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3012
  • 31-4511
  • 46-6002
  • 61-7552
  • 76-9061
Lyon
  • 0-1510
  • 16-3021
  • 31-4532
  • 46-6020
  • 61-7511
  • 76-9041

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Ligue 1 results
0:0Toulouse–TroyesOur pick:11.65prediction lost16 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.52X 4.472 6.114:3Marseille–Le HavreOur pick:11.56prediction won7 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.48X 4.882 6.083:0Rennes–StrasbourgOur pick:O 2.51.42prediction won11 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.78X 4.252 4.02