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data updated 27.10 08:07

FINISHED

Manchester United vs Bournemouth 0:3: result and odds

Manchester United vs Bournemouth finished 0:3 in an upset; before kick-off the odds were 2.98 on a Bournemouth win (having opened at 3.91), 2.40 on a Manchester United win and 3.44 on a draw. The AI models' pick was both teams to score at 1.47, and it lost.

published · updated UTC

Manchester United
Bournemouth

AI models' pick: Both teams to score

1.47

The market prices this option at 63%

AI models' pick · 13 of 16 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 3 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

lost−1.00 unitsclosing odds1.59CLV−7%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:112%odds 7.82

2:1 10%2:0 7%1:0 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 6 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 25.10 13:07

result12.40+0.57X3.44−0.5122.98−0.93
total 3.5O2.85+0.58U1.42−0.22
both to scoreyes1.59 — matches our bet+0.12no2.24−0.27
double chance1X1.39+0.13121.30+0.06X21.58−0.40
handicapH1 −13.61+1.20H2 +11.28−0.28

Over 7 days a Bournemouth win shortened from 3.91 to 2.98 — money is coming in on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — both teams score: 1.47 → 1.59 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (both teams score) has drifted from 1.47 to 1.59: the market now rates it as less likely.

Yes1.47 → 1.59our betNo2.51 → 2.24
1.501.752.002.252.5036 hno data18 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25 OctWe published · 1.47No 2.24Yes 1.59

Price changes

Price changes in the Both to score market
WhenYes · our betNo
1.59+0.062.24−0.15
1.53+0.012.39−0.03
1.522.42+0.01
1.522.41−0.01
1.52−0.012.42+0.02
1.53+0.012.40−0.01
1.52−0.012.41+0.01
1.53+0.012.40
1.52−0.012.40
1.532.40+0.03
1.532.37−0.02
1.53+0.022.39−0.06
1.512.45+0.01
1.51+0.042.44−0.07
18 Oct – 20 Oct · no snapshots for 36 h
We published both teams score at 1.47
1.47opened2.51opened
83 snapshots · the prices changed 14 times

How the match went

half-time 0:2

match report · 25.10 16:02

Bournemouth won 3-0 at Manchester United and had it settled by half-time, leading 2-0. Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha scored on 38 minutes from Justin Kluivert's pass, and Marcus Tavernier made it two on 43 after Adrien Truffert's assist. Francisco Evanilson added the third on 71, set up by Lewis Cook. United had 62% of the ball and 17 shots to 10, with five on target to four, yet the xG read 1.04 against 2.21 for the visitors. United also took four yellow cards to one. Tavernier had the highest rating of the match, 8.2. Our both-teams-to-score bet at 1.47 went down, since United never scored. Bournemouth's win was on offer at 2.98 before kick-off, shortened from 3.91 when the odds opened.

  1. 22'Manchester UnitedAndrey Santos YC
  2. 27'BournemouthTyler Adams YC
  3. 37'Manchester UnitedAyden Heaven YC
  4. 38'BournemouthRayan Vitor Simplício Rocha (Justin Kluivert)0:1
  5. 40'Manchester UnitedYouri Tielemans YC
  6. 43'BournemouthMarcus Tavernier (Adrien Truffert)0:2
  7. 45'Manchester Unitedon Matheus Cunha, off Youri Tielemans
  8. 45+3'Manchester UnitedHarry Maguire YC
  9. 63'Bournemouthon Ben Gannon-Doak, off Justin Kluivert
  10. 65'Manchester Unitedon Lisandro Martínez, off Ayden Heaven
  11. 71'BournemouthFrancisco Evanilson (Lewis Cook)0:3
  12. 72'Manchester Unitedon Joshua Zirkzee, off Carlos Baleba
  13. 75'Bournemouthon Ryan Christie, off Lewis Cook
  14. 78'Manchester Unitedon Shea Lacey, off Amad Diallo
  15. 87'Bournemouthon Amine Adli, off Marcus Tavernier
  16. 87'Bournemouthon Eli Kroupi, off Francisco Evanilson
  17. 87'Bournemouthon Bafode Diakite, off Adam Smith
Match stats: Manchester United vs Bournemouth
Manchester UnitedstatBournemouth
1.04expected goals (xG)2.21
17shots10
5on target4
62%possession38%
5corners4
13fouls17
1saves3
4yellow cards1
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Manchester United

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager M. Carrick

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1S. Lammens5.8
  • 2Diogo Dalot5.7
  • 26A. Heaven6.2
  • 5H. Maguire6.1
  • 15L. Yoro6.9
  • 20C. Baleba6.2
  • 17Andrey Santos6.5
  • 7M. Mount6.3
  • 18Y. Tielemans5.3
  • 16A. Diallo6.3
  • 19B. Mbeumo6.5
substitutes
  • 31S. Laceyon 78'6.4
  • 8Bruno Fernandes
  • 3N. Mazraoui
  • 6Lisandro Martínezon 65'6.1
  • 4M. de Ligt
  • 12K. Darlow
  • 10Matheus Cunhaon 45'6.6
  • 11J. Zirkzeeon 72'6.4
  • 39T. Fletcher
Bournemouth

formation 4-2-3-1 · manager M. Rose

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Đ. Petrović6.5
  • 3A. Truffert6.8
  • 14António Silva7.5
  • 5J. Hill7.1
  • 15A. Smith7.0
  • 4L. Cook7.1
  • 12T. Adams6.6
  • 16M. Tavernier — highest feed rating in the match8.2
  • 19J. Kluivert7.7
  • 37Rayan7.5
  • 9Evanilson8.1
substitutes
  • 30Á. Rodríguez
  • 20M. Di Gregorio
  • 6J. Soler
  • 18B. Diakitéon 87'7.0
  • 7D. Brooks
  • 10R. Christieon 75'7.4
  • 11B. Doakon 63'6.5
  • 21A. Adlion 87'6.4
  • 22E. Kroupion 87'6.2

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. 2 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet won. One more bet on a Manchester United win.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:54 UTC

Goals have come at both ends in each of the last five meetings: 2-2 in Bournemouth in March, 4-4 at Old Trafford in December 2025, 1-1 in April 2025. All three of Bournemouth's away games this season have also brought goals from both sides, and that is no surprise — on the road they concede three goals a game while scoring 1.3. Manchester United have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, both teams scored in two of their three home matches, and the market rates a repeat at 63%. We're backing both teams to score at 1.47.

Where we could be wrong

The doubt is the hosts' attack: twice this season they have failed to score at all, with 1.06 xG per game. Heavy rain and a 26 km/h wind are no help to anyone trying to find the net.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 25.10
Manchester United
Recent matches: Manchester United
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21.10ComoChampions LeagueA1:4L
18.10Leeds UnitedA1:1xG 0.9–1.5D
13.10Atlético MadridChampions LeagueA0:2xG 1.0–1.5L
10.10Tottenham HotspurH1:1xG 0.8–1.6D
20.09FulhamA1:1xG 1.6–1.6D
16.09Brighton & Hove AlbionEFL CupH2:3L
Bournemouth
Recent matches: Bournemouth
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22.10MilanEuropa LeagueH3:0W
18.10SunderlandH2:0xG 4.4–0.1W
15.10Sturm GrazEuropa LeagueH3:0xG 2.6–0.4W
10.10ChelseaA1:5xG 1.4–1.1L
20.09LiverpoolH0:1xG 0.8–1.6L
17.09Real SociedadEuropa LeagueA2:1W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstManchester UnitedBournemouthEPL
goals1.4 / 1.41.3 / 1.91.5
xG1.6 / 1.41.8 / 1.21.5
shots19.7 / 1115.1 / 9.613.8
shots on target5 / 4.45.1 / 3.74.4
corners6.1 / 3.64.7 / 3.94.7
fouls9.6 / 11.413 / 1211.5
yellow cards1.7 / 2.63 / 1.42
matches over 2.529%57%
both scored71%71%
clean sheets0%14%
failed to score29%14%
home / away
goals2 / 1.31.3 / 3
average total3.34.3
matches over 2.533%100%
both scored67%100%
  • Manchester United shoot more often than the league average: 19.7 shots vs 13.8
  • Bournemouth score less than the league average: 1.3 vs 1.5
  • Manchester United without a win in the last 5 league games
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Manchester United, away games only for Bournemouth

Head to head

last 10

4–4–2Manchester United wins · draws · Bournemouth wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Bournemouth vs Manchester United2:220.03.26
Manchester United vs Bournemouth4:415.12.25
Manchester United vs Bournemouth4:131.07.25Premier League Summer Series
Bournemouth vs Manchester United1:127.04.25
Manchester United vs Bournemouth0:322.12.24
Bournemouth vs Manchester United2:213.04.24
Manchester United vs Bournemouth0:309.12.23
Bournemouth vs Manchester United0:120.05.23
Manchester United vs Bournemouth3:003.01.23
Manchester United vs Bournemouth5:204.07.20
  • both scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 8 of 10

League table

League standings: Premier League
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
12Aston Villa72-2-37–118DLWDW
13Manchester United71-4-210–107DLDDD
14Crystal Palace72-1-49–177WLDWL
15Bournemouth71-3-39–136DDLLW
16Coventry City62-0-45–116LLLWW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 18.10

Goals by minute

league season
Manchester United
  • 0-1500
  • 16-3002
  • 31-4521
  • 46-6013
  • 61-7540
  • 76-9034
Bournemouth
  • 0-1522
  • 16-3010
  • 31-4523
  • 46-6033
  • 61-7502
  • 76-9004

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Premier League results
2:0Liverpool–Brighton & Hove AlbionOur pick:DNB 22.45prediction lost7 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 5 more in the same direction1 2.13X 3.822 3.180:2Crystal Palace–Newcastle UnitedOur pick:BTTS1.51prediction lost7 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.87X 3.602 2.381:1Hull City–BrentfordOur pick:BTTS1.65prediction won5 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 4.95X 4.112 1.67