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data updated 27.10 08:07

FINISHED

Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir 2:0: result and odds

Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir finished 2:0; before kick-off the odds were 1.36 on a Beşiktaş win (having opened at 1.41), 7.38 on a İstanbul Başakşehir win and 5.23 on a draw. The AI models' pick was Beşiktaş −1.5 handicap at 2.11, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Beşiktaş
İstanbul Başakşehir

AI models' pick: Beşiktaş −1.5 handicap

2.11

The market prices this option at 45%

AI models' pick · 13 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 2 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

won+1.11 unitsclosing odds1.96CLV+8%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

2:010%odds 8.41 — this score came in

2:1 10%1:1 9%3:0 8%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 26.10 15:20

result11.36−0.05X5.23+0.4727.38+0.93
total 3.5O2.05−0.07U1.77+0.07
both to scoreyes1.62+0.03no2.19−0.03
double chance1X1.09−0.02121.14−0.02X23.08+0.25
handicapH1 −1.51.96 — matches our bet−0.15H2 +1.51.84+0.13

Over 7 days a İstanbul Başakşehir win drifted from 6.45 to 7.38 — fewer bets on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Beşiktaş −1.5: 2.11 → 1.96 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (Beşiktaş −1.5 handicap) has shortened from 2.11 to 1.96: the market now rates it as more likely.

Beşiktaş −1.52.11 → 1.96our betİstanbul Başakşehir +1.51.71 → 1.84
1.701.801.902.002.1019 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25 Oct26 OctWe published · 2.111.961.84

Price changes

Price changes in the Handicap −1.5 market
WhenBeşiktaş −1.5 · our betİstanbul Başakşehir +1.5
1.96+0.011.84−0.01
1.951.85−0.01
1.95−0.011.86+0.02
1.96+0.011.84
1.95−0.011.84
1.961.84+0.01
1.961.83+0.01
1.96−0.011.82
1.97−0.011.82
1.98+0.021.82−0.01
1.96+0.011.83−0.01
1.95−0.021.84+0.01
1.97+0.011.83
1.96+0.021.83−0.01
We published Beşiktaş −1.5 handicap at 2.11
1.94−0.171.84+0.13
2.11opened1.71opened
101 snapshots · the prices changed 15 times

How the match went

half-time 0:0

match report · 26.10 17:54

  1. 37'İstanbul BaşakşehirO. Ba YC
  2. 46'İstanbul Başakşehiron J. Kaluzinski, off U. Bozok
  3. 46'İstanbul Başakşehiron H. Gureler, off O. Ba
  4. 56'Beşiktaşon E. Poku, off V. Cerny
  5. 59'İstanbul BaşakşehirM. Karbownik YC
  6. 60'İstanbul Başakşehiron I. Brnic, off Y. Sari
  7. 61'BeşiktaşL. Trossard YC
  8. 65'Beşiktaşon Oh Hyeon-Gyu, off W. Ndidi
  9. 75'İstanbul Başakşehiron B. Yildirim, off E. Shomurodov
  10. 76'BeşiktaşOh Hyeon-Gyu1:0
  11. 78'İstanbul Başakşehiron D. Selke, off U. Gunes
  12. 89'BeşiktaşJ. Olaitan2:0
Match stats: Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir
Beşiktaşstatİstanbul Başakşehir
1.73expected goals (xG)0.31
17shots9
6on target4
65%possession35%
5corners2
8fouls17
4saves4
87%pass accuracy71%
1yellow cards2
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Beşiktaş

formation 4-1-4-1

starting XIfeed rating
  • 1Alexander Nübel7.5
  • 33Rıdvan Yılmaz7.5
  • 53Emirhan Topçu7.2
  • 12Emmanuel Agbadou7.5
  • 62Amir Murillo6.9
  • 6Salih Özcan7.3
  • 19Leandro Trossard7.6
  • 15Junior Olaitan7.3
  • 4Wilfred Ndidi7.3
  • 18Václav Černý6.9
  • 28Dušan Vlahović6.9
substitutes
  • 17Ernest Pokuon 56'6.9
  • 80Doğan Alemdar
  • 35Tiago Djaló
  • 22Taylan Bulut
  • 11Kassoum Ouattara
  • 58Yasin Özcan
  • 8Kartal Kayra Yılmaz
  • 29İlhan Fakılı
  • 90Semih Kılıçsoy
  • 9Hyeon-gyu Oh — highest feed rating in the matchon 65'7.9
İstanbul Başakşehir

formation 4-2-3-1

starting XIfeed rating
  • 16Muhammed Şengezer6.7
  • 38Saba Kharebashvili5.9
  • 27Ousseynou Ba6.9
  • 23Emin Bayram6.6
  • 33Michał Karbownik6.3
  • 20Umut Güneş7.2
  • 8Olivier Kemen6.9
  • 70Andreas Skov Olsen6.3
  • 17Umut Bozok6.7
  • 7Yusuf Sarı6.9
  • 14Eldor Shomurodov6.3
substitutes
  • 15Hamza Güreleron 46'6.2
  • 18Jakub Kałuzińskion 46'6.7
  • 77Ivan Brnićon 60'6.3
  • 98Deniz Dilmen
  • 42Ömer Ali Şahiner
  • 6Onur Bulut
  • 11Abbosbek Fayzullaev
  • 10Edin Višća
  • 9Davie Selkeon 78'6.7
  • 91Bertuğ Yıldırımon 75'6.7

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on Beşiktaş −1.5 — the bet won. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Beşiktaş −1. 2 more bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet lost.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 20.10 at 19:40 UTC

Beşiktaş have won all four of their home games, scoring three per match and conceding 0.8, and the market has taken notice: the price on the hosts was cut from 1.41 to 1.35 inside a day, which puts them at around 69% for the win. İstanbul Başakşehir have been nothing like that on the road — no points from three away trips in normal time, one goal scored and 2.3 conceded per game. The gap in volume is just as wide: 19 shots a match and 60.5% possession for the home side against 11.7 shots and 3.8 on target for the visitors. That is why our pick is the Beşiktaş -1.5 handicap at 2.11 rather than the short price on the straight home win.

Where we could be wrong

The head-to-head record is the awkward part. Beşiktaş have four wins, three draws and three defeats from the last ten meetings, and the recent ones finished 2-1, 0-2 and 0-0, with nothing resembling a wide margin. And what if İstanbul Başakşehir, far more organised than their away form suggests, sit deep and keep the game to one goal?

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 26.10
Beşiktaş
Recent matches: Beşiktaş
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22.10Crystal PalaceEuropa LeagueH2:2D
19.10TrabzonsporA0:2xG 1.2–2.4L
15.10HoffenheimEuropa LeagueA3:2xG 3.4–1.2W
11.10KocaelisporH2:1xG 2.2–1.6W
20.09AmedsporA2:3xG 2.0–1.5L
17.09MarseilleEuropa LeagueH4:1W
İstanbul Başakşehir
Recent matches: İstanbul Başakşehir
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18.10GaziantepH2:1xG 1.9–1.4W
11.10KonyasporA0:0xG 1.0–0.4D
19.09GençlerbirliğiH4:0xG 2.7–0.5W
13.09AmedsporA0:5xG 0.4–4.3L
04.09GalatasarayH2:3xG 2.0–2.1L
30.08KasımpaşaH1:1xG 0.8–1.7D

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstBeşiktaşİstanbul BaşakşehirSuper Lig
goals2 / 1.31.5 / 1.51.4
xG1.8 / 11.6 / 1.61.4
shots17.8 / 9.412.4 / 12.814
shots on target6.4 / 3.94 / 4.34.7
corners7.5 / 3.84.4 / 4.14.8
fouls13.8 / 14.614.5 / 1212.9
yellow cards2.5 / 2.52.4 / 1.92
matches over 2.563%63%
both scored50%50%
clean sheets25%38%
failed to score25%25%
home / away
goals3 / 0.80.3 / 2.3
average total3.82.7
matches over 2.575%67%
both scored50%33%
  • Beşiktaş score more than the league average: 2 vs 1.4
  • İstanbul Başakşehir shoot less often than the league average: 12.4 shots vs 14
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Beşiktaş, away games only for İstanbul Başakşehir

Head to head

last 10

4–3–3Beşiktaş wins · draws · İstanbul Başakşehir wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş2:315.02.26
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir2:113.09.25
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir0:212.04.25
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş0:010.11.24
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş1:104.04.24
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir1:012.11.23
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş0:212.03.23
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir0:112.09.22
Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir2:207.03.22
İstanbul Başakşehir vs Beşiktaş3:215.10.21
  • both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10

League table

League standings: Super Lig
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
4Trabzonspor85-1-218–516WLWWW
5Beşiktaş85-0-316–1015WWLWL
6Çorum84-1-318–1313WWLWW
9Alanyaspor83-3-28–912WDWDL
10İstanbul Başakşehir83-2-312–1211LLWDW
11Erzurumspor83-2-35–1111WLWDW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 20.10

Goals by minute

league season
Beşiktaş
  • 0-1511
  • 16-3044
  • 31-4530
  • 46-6022
  • 61-7532
  • 76-9022
İstanbul Başakşehir
  • 0-1531
  • 16-3021
  • 31-4520
  • 46-6013
  • 61-7533
  • 76-9014

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Super Lig results
3:4Çaykur Rizespor–TrabzonsporOur pick:22.07prediction won12 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 3.77X 3.842 1.862:1Galatasaray–FenerbahçeOur pick:12.24prediction won10 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 1.96X 3.782 3.402:0Göztepe–ÇorumOur pick:O 2.51.62prediction lost9 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.20X 3.452 3.13