FINISHED

Göztepe vs Çorum 2:0: result and odds

Göztepe vs Çorum finished 2:0; before kick-off the odds were 2.20 on a Göztepe win (having opened at 2.15), 3.13 on a Çorum win and 3.45 on a draw. The AI models' pick was over 2.5 goals at 1.62, and it lost.

Referee: Mehmet Türkmen
Super Lig, matchday 9 of 34
+20°, overcast
Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu, İzmir

published 20.10 at 19:40 · updated 25.10 at 18:12 UTC

AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals

1.62

The market prices this option at 59%

AI models' pick · 9 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 6 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

lost−1.00 unitsclosing odds1.73CLV−6%

what these numbers mean

won / lost: The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds: The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV: How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.

Why this bet All odds

likely score

1:112%odds 6.92

2:1 9%1:2 7%2:0 7% — this score came in

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 25.10 15:20

result12.200.05X3.450.1023.130.11

total 2.5O1.730.11U2.110.14

both to scoreyes1.590.07no2.260.11

double chance1X1.35121.300.03X21.640.02

handicapH1 −13.270.17H2 +11.33

Over 6 days a Çorum win drifted from 3.02 to 3.13 — fewer bets on the away side.

abbreviations

1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
O/U — over/under total goals
H1/H2 — home/away handicap
1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw

Line movementOur bet — Over 2.5: 1.62 → 1.73 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (over 2.5 goals) has drifted from 1.62 to 1.73: the market now rates it as less likely.

Over 2.51.62 → 1.73our betUnder 2.52.25 → 2.11

Price changes

Price changes in the Total 2.5 market
When	Over 2.5 · our bet	Under 2.5
25 Oct · 14:15	1.73−0.01	2.11+0.02
25 Oct · 12:16	1.74−0.07	2.09+0.09
25 Oct · 08:14	1.81+0.18	2.00−0.26
24 Oct · 20:14	1.63	2.26+0.01
24 Oct · 18:18	1.63−0.01	2.25+0.01
24 Oct · 12:22	1.64+0.01	2.24−0.01
24 Oct · 09:20	1.63−0.01	2.25+0.01
23 Oct · 20:14	1.64	2.24+0.01
20 Oct · 19:40	We published over 2.5 goals at 1.62
20 Oct · 08:13	1.64+0.02	2.23−0.02
19 Oct · 19:10	1.62opened	2.25opened

88 snapshots · the prices changed 9 times

How the match went

half-time 2:0

match report · 25.10 18:10

Göztepe won 2-0, and both goals came before the break. A. Antunes scored on 3 minutes, and Juan made it 2-0 on 38, with Antunes providing the pass; Antunes had the highest rating of the match, 8.2. Çorum had 62% of the ball against 38% and passed better, but Göztepe created more: xG of 1.91 to 0.67, and seven shots on target to three. There was one yellow card each, Soyuncu for Çorum and Anjorin for Göztepe. Our over 2.5 goals bet, taken at 1.62, went down, with only two goals in the game. Before kick-off a Göztepe win carried a price of 2.20, the draw 3.45 and a Çorum win 3.13. The exact 2-0 score was on offer at 12.20, and no to both teams to score was 2.26.

3'A. Antunes1:0
23'on F. Anjorin, off Rhaldney
33'C. Soyuncu YC
34'F. Anjorin YC
35'on M. Karlsbakk, off C. Soyuncu
38'Juan (A. Antunes)2:0
46'on M. Thiam, off B. Ozdemir
46'on E. Mahmic, off A. Kyziridis
58'on Janderson, off Juan
63'on Y. Moukoko, off J. Ramirez
83'on E. Bekiroglu, off A. Antunes
83'on B. Boke, off Andre Henrique
83'on A. Matos, off F. Anjorin
89'on G. Gurpuz, off C. Under

Match stats: Göztepe vs Çorum
Göztepe	stat	Çorum
1.91	expected goals (xG)	0.67
15	shots	11
7	on target	3
38%	possession	62%
2	corners	3
20	fouls	9
3	saves	5
64%	pass accuracy	78%
1	yellow cards	1

what these numbers mean

expected goals (xG): How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating: The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Göztepe

formation 3-4-1-2

starting XIfeed rating

1Arda Özçimen7.3

26Malcom Bokele7.2
19Noah Sonko Sundberg6.7
4Taha Altıkardeş6.9

12Richard Akonnor7.3
20Novatus Miroshi7.0
5Rhaldney6.5
2Arda Kurtulan7.5

8Alexis Antunes — highest feed rating in the match8.2

9Juan Santos da Silva7.5
7André Henrique6.9

substitutes

18Tino Anjorinon 23'6.5
39Jandersonon 58'6.2
71Nevzat Üzel
33Mehmet Şamil Öztürk
13Ege Yildirim
6Alex Matoson 83'6.7
22Sinclair Armstrong
17Gökdeniz Bayrakdar
10Efkan Bekiroğluon 83'6.3
14Bekir Turaç Bökeon 83'6.6

Çorum

formation 3-4-3

starting XIfeed rating

1Marcos Felipe6.6

6Hrvoje Smolčić6.9
2Çağlar Söyüncü6.5
5Alexandre Penetra6.9

10Mohammed Diomande6.3
20Ylber Ramadani7.3
3Berat Özdemir6.5
11Gökhan Sazdağı6.7

89Alexandros Kyziridis6.5
19Jesús Ramírez6.7
7Cengiz Ünder6.6

substitutes

8Markus Karlsbakkon 35'6.5
26Ermin Mahmićon 46'6.2
9Mame Thiamon 46'6.3
18Erhan Erentürk
15Arda Şengül
88Cemali Sertel
24Andrei Borza
30Ahmed Ildız
21Göktan Gürpüzon 89'
14Youssoufa Moukokoon 63'6.6

The largest group of AI models bet on over 2.5 goals — the bet lost. One more chose a close bet in the same direction: over 3.5 goals. 6 more bet on both teams to score — the bet lost.

8 of 15O 2.5our betodds 1.62ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeekGeminiKimiDeepSeek FlashGLMXiaomi MiMolost
1 of 15O 3.5same directionodds 2.51Nemotron Ultralost
6 of 15BTTSodds 1.52GrokQwenMiniMaxMistralSonarDots3-Notelost

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 20.10 at 19:40 UTC

Çorum have been box office on the road. All four of their away games this season have gone over 2.5 goals, averaging 5.3 goals a match: the visitors score 3 per game and concede 2.3. Göztepe are no misers at home either — their home matches have averaged 3.7 goals, and in two of three both teams scored. Recent form backs it up: Göztepe have 12 goals scored and nine conceded in their last five games, Çorum 14 and four. The market puts the chance of over 2.5 goals at around 59%, so this is the base scenario for the bookmakers rather than a surprise.

Where we could be wrong

The counter-argument sits in the previous meetings, and both were tight: 1-1 in January 2024 and 2-1 in August 2023. Çorum are also two different sides home and away — on their own ground they score 1.5 and concede 1 per game. And Göztepe draw a blank in every third home match.

Even so, our pick in this Super Lig fixture is over 2.5 goals at 1.62.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published 20 October 2026 · updated 25 October 2026 · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches
Season averages
Head to head
League table
Goals by minute

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 25.10

Göztepe

Recent matches: Göztepe
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
18.10	Kocaelispor	A	2:1xG 0.8–1.6	W
12.10	Eyüpspor	A	4:0xG 3.1–1.3	W
20.09	Çaykur Rizespor	H	2:2xG 2.8–0.8	D
12.09	Alanyaspor	A	2:2xG 1.8–1.7	D
07.09	Gaziantep	H	2:4xG 3.3–1.9	L
29.08	Galatasaray	A	2:3xG 0.6–2.9	L

Çorum

Recent matches: Çorum
Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
16.10	Çaykur Rizespor	H	2:1xG 0.7–0.8	W
11.10	Gaziantep	A	3:0xG 2.7–1.0	W
19.09	Alanyaspor	H	1:2xG 1.1–1.2	L
12.09	Samsunspor	A	5:1xG 1.7–1.2	W
06.09	Eyüpspor	H	3:0xG 2.6–0.7	W
31.08	Beşiktaş	A	2:6xG 0.7–3.0	L

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match

for / against			Super Lig
goals	2.1 / 2	2.3 / 1.6	1.4
xG	2 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.4	1.4
shots	16.3 / 16.1	12.6 / 15.5	14
shots on target	5.6 / 4.8	5.1 / 5	4.7
corners	4.9 / 4.8	4.3 / 5.9	4.8
fouls	15.6 / 9.1	14.1 / 9.9	12.9
yellow cards	2.5 / 1.8	2.3 / 1.5	2
matches over 2.5	88%	88%
both scored	75%	63%
clean sheets	13%	25%
failed to score	13%	13%
home / away
goals	1.3 / 2.3	3 / 2.3
average total	3.7	5.3
matches over 2.5	67%	100%
both scored	67%	75%

Göztepe score more than the league average: 2.1 vs 1.4
Çorum score more than the league average: 2.3 vs 1.4
Çorum: 4 wins in the last 5 league games
"home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Göztepe, away games only for Çorum

Head to head

last 2

0–1–1Göztepe wins · draws · Çorum wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
Match	Score	Date	Competition
Çorum vs Göztepe	1:1	27.01.24	TFF First League
Göztepe vs Çorum	1:2	26.08.23	TFF First League

both scored in 2 of the last 2 meetings
over 2.5 goals — in 1 of 2

League table

League standings: Super Lig
#	Team	P	W-D-L	GF–GA	Pts	Form
5	Beşiktaş	8	5-0-3	16–10	15	WWLWL
6	Çorum	8	4-1-3	18–13	13	WWLWW
7	Kasımpaşa	8	3-4-1	12–9	13	DWDLW
12	Çaykur Rizespor	8	3-1-4	8–11	10	LWDLL
13	Göztepe	8	2-3-3	17–16	9	LDDWW
14	Gaziantep	8	2-2-4	8–12	8	WDLLL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 20.10

Goals by minute

league season

Göztepe

0-1532
16-3022
31-4504
46-6042
61-7544
76-9033

Çorum

0-1543
16-3010
31-4522
46-6032
61-7533
76-9053

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

AI models' pick: Over 2.5 goals

What the odds were

Price changes

How the match went

Starting line-ups

AI prediction and analysis

Stats and form

Recent matches

Season averages

Head to head

League table

Goals by minute

Other matches this round