FINISHED
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği 2:0: result and odds
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği finished 2:0; before kick-off the odds were 1.88 on a Konyaspor win (having opened at 1.85), 4.16 on a Gençlerbirliği win and 3.48 on a draw. The AI models' pick was under 2.5 goals at 1.79, and it won.
- Referee: Oguzhan Cakir
- Super Lig, matchday 9 of 34
- +21°, mostly clear
- Medaş Konya Büyükşehir Stadyumu, Konya
published · updated UTC


AI models' pick: Under 2.5 goals
1.79The market prices this option at 53%
AI models' pick · Two directions drew level; the one priced closer to the line was taken
Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results
what these numbers mean
- won / lost
- The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
- closing odds
- The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
- CLV
- How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
likely score
1:0 11%2:1 10%2:0 9% — this score came in
The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 8 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.
What the odds were
Over 6 days a Gençlerbirliği win drifted from 4.07 to 4.16 — fewer bets on the away side.
abbreviations
- 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
- O/U — over/under total goals
- H1/H2 — home/away handicap
- 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Under 2.5: 1.79 → 1.78 since we publishedView
This market has barely moved: Over 2.5 2.01 → 2.03, Under 2.5 1.79 → 1.78.
Price changes
| When | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 · our bet |
|---|---|---|
| 2.03+0.01 | 1.78 | |
| 2.02−0.01 | 1.78 | |
| 2.03+0.01 | 1.78 | |
| 2.02 | 1.78−0.01 | |
| 2.02+0.01 | 1.79 | |
| We published under 2.5 goals at 1.79 | ||
| 2.01opened | 1.79opened | |
How the match went
Chidozie Awaziem scored both goals as Konyaspor won 2-0. The first came on 43 minutes, set up by D. Turuc, and Konyaspor led 1-0 at the break. Awaziem added the second on 56 minutes. Gençlerbirliği had a route back when F. Tongya took a penalty on 75 minutes, but missed. The numbers backed the hosts: 16 shots to six, seven on target to two, nine corners to two. The xG was 1.84 against 1.14. Gençlerbirliği committed 19 fouls and collected three yellow cards. Before kick-off the market had Konyaspor to win on 1.88, and the exact 2-0 result paid 8.34. Our bet on the under, odds of 1.79, landed with two goals in the match.
- 30'
on E. Cavusoglu, off D. Goutas - 35'
O. Diabate YC - 38'
on O. Ulgun, off S. Koita - 43'
C. Awaziem (D. Turuc)1:0 - 45+2'
F. Uzum YC - 46'
on A. Traore, off S. Ucan - 55'
A. Traore YC - 56'
C. Awaziem2:0 - 57'
on V. Orakpo, off P. Mendes - 57'
on T. Gouveia, off F. Uzum - 75'
F. Tongya (F. Tongya) missed penalty - 76'
on R. Toth, off J. Dompe - 76'
on D. Goncalves, off E. Bardhi - 83'
on U. Yazgili, off M. Ibrahimoglu - 84'
on E. Colley, off D. Turuc - 85'
J. Muleka YC - 87'
on Mostafa Mohamed, off J. Muleka
| Konyaspor | stat | Gençlerbirliği |
|---|---|---|
| 1.84 | expected goals (xG) | 1.14 |
| 16 | shots | 6 |
| 7 | on target | 2 |
| 52% | possession | 48% |
| 9 | corners | 2 |
| 11 | fouls | 19 |
| 2 | saves | 4 |
| 81% | pass accuracy | 73% |
| 1 | yellow cards | 3 |
what these numbers mean
- expected goals (xG)
- How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
- feed rating
- The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.
Starting line-ups
- 13Bahadır Han Güngördü7.6
- 26Arthur Masuaku7.3
- 15Chidozie Awaziem — highest feed rating in the match9.3
- 22Rayyan Baniya7.2
- 17Yhoan Andzouana6.9
- 8Marko Jevtović7.3
- 77Melih İbrahimoğlu6.3
- 91Jean-Luc Dompé6.5
- 10Enis Bardhi6.9
- 9Deniz Türüç7.2
- 11Jackson Muleka7.3
- 1Deniz Ertaş
- 5Uğurcan Yazğılıon 83'6.5
- 2Ahmet Oğuz
- 3Arif Boşluk
- 66Rajmund Tóthon 76'6.5
- 7Diogo Gonçalveson 76'6.9
- 45Emir Bars
- 42Mostafa Mohamedon 87'
- 19Ebrima Colleyon 84'
- 94Enis Destan
- 70İrfan Can Eğribayat6.9
- 2Thalisson5.9
- 6Dimitris Goutas6.9
- 90Metehan Baltacı6.2
- 88Fıratcan Üzüm6.3
- 42Ousmane Diabate6.2
- 10Franco Tongya7.2
- 20Sekou Koita6.3
- 83Rafael Luis6.9
- 48Salih Uçan6.7
- 9Pedro Mendes6.5
- 53Ensar Çavuşoğlu7.0
- 35Oğulcan Ülgünon 38'6.3
- 14Adama Malouda Traoréon 46'5.9
- 12Victor Orakpoon 57'6.6
- 7Tiago Gouveiaon 57'7.0
- 23Gökhan Akkan
- 77Abdurrahim Dursun
- 15Arda Cagan Celik
- 19Cheikh Niasse
- 45Prince Martor
AI prediction and analysis
The vote split evenly: 5 each on under 2.5 goals (won) and on a Konyaspor win (won). The other 5 chose other bets: 'both to score — no' and a total-goals bet.
- 5 of 15U 2.5our betodds 1.79
GrokDeepSeek FlashMistralXiaomi MiMoNemotron Ultrawon - 5 of 151odds 1.85
GeminiKimiQwenMiniMax
Sonarwon - 4 of 15BTTS noodds 1.86ChatGPTClaudeDeepSeek
GLMwon - 1 of 15O 2.5odds 2.01
Dots3-Notelost
Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.
Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 20.10 at 19:40 UTC
Konyaspor's home games give nobody much room, themselves included. Across four home matches they score 0.5 and concede 0.8 per game, they kept a clean sheet in half of them, and over 2.5 goals arrived in only a quarter of those fixtures. Gençlerbirliği, meanwhile, have not scored at all on their three away trips. The previous meetings have been just as frugal: Konyaspor won 1-0 in March, and back in 2021 and 2020 two games in a row finished goalless. The market rates under 2.5 goals at around 53%, and the prices have not moved in the last 24 hours.
Where we could be wrong
The counter-argument is that Gençlerbirliği's away matches tend to run away from them — roughly three conceded per game — and a couple of defensive lapses would be enough to send the goal count up. Konyaspor, on five points and 16th in the Super Lig, cannot afford to sit back either; at home they have to push forward. Even so, our pick is under 2.5 goals.
- Two directions drew the same number of AI models: the bet was taken from the one priced closer to the line.
The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate
Recent matches
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | Amedspor | A | 0:1xG 0.2–1.3 | L |
| 11.10 | İstanbul Başakşehir | H | 0:0xG 0.4–1.0 | D |
| 30.09 | Palestinefriendly | H | 2:2 | D |
| 18.09 | Kasımpaşa | A | 0:0xG 1.2–0.6 | D |
| 12.09 | Trabzonspor | H | 1:0xG 1.0–0.8 | W |
| 05.09 | Erzurumspor | A | 0:1xG 1.6–1.2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10 | Galatasaray | H | 0:1xG 1.7–1.9 | L |
| 10.10 | Amedspor | H | 2:2xG 0.5–2.2 | D |
| 03.10 | Keçiörengücüclub friendly | H | 0:1 | L |
| 19.09 | İstanbul Başakşehir | A | 0:4xG 0.5–2.7 | L |
| 13.09 | Kasımpaşa | H | 1:2xG 1.2–1.3 | L |
| 06.09 | Trabzonspor | A | 0:5xG 0.9–3.2 | L |
H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag
Season averages
| for / against | Super Lig | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| goals | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 2 | 1.4 |
| xG | 1 / 1.2 | 1 / 2.1 | 1.4 |
| shots | 10.4 / 13.6 | 12.8 / 18.3 | 14 |
| shots on target | 3.1 / 4.4 | 3.9 / 7.1 | 4.7 |
| corners | 2.5 / 5.9 | 5.3 / 6.8 | 4.8 |
| fouls | 12.4 / 12.6 | 12.4 / 11.8 | 12.9 |
| yellow cards | 2.4 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 2.3 | 2 |
| matches over 2.5 | 25% | 63% | |
| both scored | 25% | 50% | |
| clean sheets | 38% | 13% | |
| failed to score | 63% | 38% | |
| home / away | |||
| goals | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 3 | |
| average total | 1.3 | 3.3 | |
| matches over 2.5 | 25% | 67% | |
| both scored | 25% | 0% | |
- Konyaspor score less than the league average: 0.5 vs 1.4
- Gençlerbirliği score less than the league average: 0.9 vs 1.4
- Gençlerbirliği without a win in the last 5 league games
- "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Konyaspor, away games only for Gençlerbirliği
Head to head
3–3–3Konyaspor wins · draws · Gençlerbirliği wins
| Match | Score | Date | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği | 1:0 | 19.03.26 | |
| Gençlerbirliği vs Konyaspor | 1:2 | 26.10.25 | |
| Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği | 0:3 | 05.09.21 | club friendly |
| Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği | 0:0 | 03.02.21 | |
| Gençlerbirliği vs Konyaspor | 0:0 | 19.09.20 | |
| Gençlerbirliği vs Konyaspor | 2:1 | 14.06.20 | |
| Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği | 1:1 | 02.11.19 | |
| Gençlerbirliği vs Konyaspor | 2:1 | 26.01.18 | |
| Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği | 3:0 | 21.08.17 |
- both scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings
- over 2.5 goals — in 5 of 9
League table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | GF–GA | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gaziantep | 8 | 2-2-4 | 8–12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 15 | Gençlerbirliği | 8 | 2-2-4 | 7–16 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 8 | 1-2-5 | 4–9 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 8 | 1-1-6 | 7–19 | 4 | LLLLL |
excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 20.10
Goals by minute
- 0-1521
- 16-3002
- 31-4502
- 46-6001
- 61-7501
- 76-9013
- 0-1504
- 16-3012
- 31-4511
- 46-6033
- 61-7512
- 76-9023
in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals