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data updated 27.10 08:07

FINISHED

Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor 3:4: result and odds

Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor finished 3:4; before kick-off the odds were 1.86 on a Trabzonspor win (having opened at 1.99), 3.77 on a Çaykur Rizespor win and 3.84 on a draw. The AI models' pick was Trabzonspor to win at 2.07, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Çaykur Rizespor
Trabzonspor

AI models' pick: Trabzonspor to win

2.07

The market prices this option at 45%

AI models' pick · 12 of 15 back this bet or a bolder one in the same direction, 3 chose others

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

won+1.07 unitsclosing odds1.86CLV+11%
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
closing odds
The odds on our bet at kick-off — the last price the market put up.
CLV
How much higher our published odds were than the closing price. A plus means we took the bet at a better price than the market gave it by kick-off; a minus means the market moved the other way. The number does not depend on the match result.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

1:112%odds 7.16

1:2 9%2:1 8%0:1 7%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 7 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 26.10 15:20

result13.77+0.42X3.84+0.1421.86 — matches our bet−0.13
total 2.5O1.55−0.08U2.43+0.17
both to scoreyes1.50−0.03no2.46+0.10
double chance1X1.90+0.12121.23−0.03X21.26−0.06
handicapH1 +11.50+0.10H2 −12.52−0.21

Over 7 days a Trabzonspor win shortened from 1.99 to 1.86 — money is coming in on the away side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementOur bet — Trabzonspor: 2.07 → 1.86 since we publishedView

Since we published, our bet (a Trabzonspor win) has shortened from 2.07 to 1.86: the market now rates it as more likely.

Çaykur Rizespor3.35 → 3.77Draw3.70 → 3.84Trabzonspor1.99 → 1.86our bet
2.002.503.003.504.0019 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25 Oct26 OctWe published · 2.07Draw 3.84Çaykur Rizespor 3.77Trabzonspor 1.86

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenÇaykur RizesporDrawTrabzonspor · our bet
3.77+0.203.84+0.031.86−0.06
3.57+0.033.81+0.041.92−0.01
3.54+0.033.771.93−0.01
3.51+0.033.77+0.021.94
3.48−0.063.75−0.051.94+0.02
3.543.80+0.011.92−0.01
3.543.79−0.021.93
3.54+0.023.81−0.011.93
3.52+0.013.82−0.011.93
3.51+0.053.83−0.011.93
3.46+0.023.841.93
3.44−0.023.841.93
3.46+0.033.84+0.051.93
3.43−0.033.79−0.031.93+0.01
3.46+0.323.82+0.151.92−0.15
3.14−0.013.67−0.012.07
We published a Trabzonspor win at 2.07
3.15−0.203.68−0.022.07+0.08
3.35opened3.70opened1.99opened
101 snapshots · the prices changed 17 times

How the match went

half-time 2:0

match report · 26.10 17:54

  1. 12'Çaykur RizesporG. Borrelli1:0
  2. 14'Çaykur RizesporZ. Ariss YC
  3. 32'Çaykur RizesporG. Borrelli (A. Mebude)2:0
  4. 38'TrabzonsporFabinho YC
  5. 46'Trabzonsporon T. Jabol-Folcarelli, off Fabinho
  6. 49'TrabzonsporM. Kabasakal (E. Muci)2:1
  7. 51'TrabzonsporA. Simsir (E. Muci)2:2
  8. 55'TrabzonsporM. Kabasakal YC
  9. 57'TrabzonsporFranculino2:3
  10. 59'Çaykur Rizesporon V. Mihaila, off E. Bulut
  11. 60'Çaykur RizesporG. Borrelli YC
  12. 61'Trabzonsporon S. Lopes Cabral, off M. Eskihellac
  13. 61'Trabzonsporon O. Tufan, off M. Kabasakal
  14. 68'Çaykur RizesporQ. Laci (A. Mebude)3:3
  15. 71'Çaykur Rizesporon I. Doicaru, off A. Mebude
  16. 72'Çaykur Rizesporon A. Sowe, off G. Borrelli
  17. 79'Çaykur Rizesporon M. Diakite, off T. Antalyali
  18. 79'Çaykur Rizesporon C. Bozdogan, off Q. Laci
  19. 83'TrabzonsporFranculino (E. Muci)3:4
  20. 86'Trabzonsporon N. Saviolo, off M. Salah
  21. 89'Trabzonsporon C. Ozkacar, off A. Simsir
Match stats: Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
Çaykur RizesporstatTrabzonspor
1.81expected goals (xG)2.63
9shots14
6on target7
46%possession54%
2corners4
12fouls13
3saves4
82%pass accuracy85%
2yellow cards2
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Çaykur Rizespor

formation 4-1-4-1

starting XIfeed rating
  • 75Yahia Fofana6.3
  • 17Zakaria Ariss6.3
  • 93Modibo Sagnan6.3
  • 21Siaka Bakayoko5.9
  • 54Mithat Pala7.0
  • 14Taylan Antalyalı6.3
  • 99Emrecan Bulut6.6
  • 20Qazim Laci7.9
  • 10Ibrahim Olawoyin7.5
  • 11Adedire Mebude7.5
  • 29Gennaro Borrelli7.3
substitutes
  • 7Valentin Mihăilăon 59'6.9
  • 30Zafer Görgen
  • 4Attila Mocsi
  • 37Taha Şahin
  • 5Tayyip Talha Sanuç
  • 8Dal Varešanović
  • 70Can Bozdoğanon 79'6.9
  • 6Moussa Diakitéon 79'6.7
  • 79Iustin Doicaruon 71'6.6
  • 9Ali Soweon 72'6.3
Trabzonspor

formation 4-1-4-1

starting XIfeed rating
  • 24André Onana6.2
  • 19Mustafa Eskihellaç6.3
  • 15Stefan Savić6.7
  • 27Chibuike Nwaiwu6.7
  • 20Wagner Pina6.7
  • 6Fabinho6.9
  • 58Aral Şimşir8.2
  • 7Ernest Muçi — highest feed rating in the match8.9
  • 57Melih Kabasakal7.2
  • 10Mohamed Salah6.7
  • 9Franculino Djú8.5
substitutes
  • 26Tim Jabol-Folcarellion 46'6.9
  • 55Sidny Lopes Cabralon 61'6.2
  • 11Ozan Tufanon 61'6.5
  • 1Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım
  • 4Samet Akaydın
  • 39Cenk Özkaçaron 89'
  • 77Metehan Mimaroğlu
  • 70Noah Savioloon 86'
  • 14Umut Nayir
  • 99Ali Habeşoğlu

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on a Trabzonspor win — the bet won. 2 more chose close bets in the same direction: Trabzonspor draw no bet and Trabzonspor −1.5. 3 more bet on at least one side failing to score — the bet lost.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 20.10 at 19:41 UTC

Trabzonspor arrive in good order: four wins from their last five, 14 goals scored and just one conceded, and fourth place with 16 points after eight rounds. Çaykur Rizespor have yet to score at home at all — three games, no goals of their own, two conceded and 12th spot with 10 points. The last two meetings also went the way of the visiting side, Trabzonspor winning 2-1 in Rize in October 2025 and 1-0 in March 2026. The market makes a straight Trabzonspor win the most likely outcome at 45%, and our pick is the away win at 2.07.

Where we could be wrong

On the road, though, Trabzonspor are a different proposition: one win, one draw and two defeats, 1.3 goals a game and a quarter of those matches without scoring. Çaykur Rizespor have four wins from the last ten head-to-heads, one of them a 3-1 at home in November 2024, so the hosts are capable of staying in the contest even with their current attacking numbers.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 26.10
Çaykur Rizespor
Recent matches: Çaykur Rizespor
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16.10ÇorumA1:2xG 0.8–0.7L
10.10FenerbahçeH0:3xG 1.5–1.0L
03.10Bolusporclub friendlyH3:0W
20.09GöztepeA2:2xG 0.8–2.8D
12.09EyüpsporA2:0xG 2.0–1.4W
07.09AlanyasporH0:1xG 1.3–2.1L
Trabzonspor
Recent matches: Trabzonspor
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22.10HeartsConference LeagueH2:0W
19.10BeşiktaşH2:0xG 2.4–1.2W
15.10KuPSConference LeagueA4:2xG 3.6–2.1W
10.10SamsunsporA3:0xG 2.0–1.7W
01.10Drogheda Unitedclub friendlyH0:1L
19.09GalatasarayH4:0xG 2.2–1.0W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstÇaykur RizesporTrabzonsporSuper Lig
goals1 / 1.42.3 / 0.61.4
xG1.3 / 1.21.8 / 1.51.4
shots15.9 / 1413.9 / 14.814
shots on target4.9 / 4.56.9 / 5.34.7
corners5 / 4.55.4 / 44.8
fouls10.5 / 12.610.6 / 17.312.9
yellow cards1.8 / 1.42.1 / 2.82
matches over 2.550%63%
both scored38%38%
clean sheets25%50%
failed to score38%13%
home / away
goals0 / 21.3 / 1
average total22.3
matches over 2.533%50%
both scored0%50%
  • Çaykur Rizespor score less than the league average: 1 vs 1.4
  • Trabzonspor score more than the league average: 2.3 vs 1.4
  • Trabzonspor: 3 league wins in a row
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Çaykur Rizespor, away games only for Trabzonspor

Head to head

last 10

4–1–5Çaykur Rizespor wins · draws · Trabzonspor wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Trabzonspor vs Çaykur Rizespor1:014.03.26
Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor1:218.10.25
Trabzonspor vs Çaykur Rizespor2:013.04.25
Trabzonspor vs Çaykur Rizespor5:226.02.25Türkiye Kupası
Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor3:109.11.24
Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor1:025.01.24
Trabzonspor vs Çaykur Rizespor2:326.08.23
Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor3:218.03.22
Trabzonspor vs Çaykur Rizespor2:129.10.21
Çaykur Rizespor vs Trabzonspor0:010.04.21
  • both scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 6 of 10

League table

League standings: Super Lig
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
3Fenerbahçe85-1-222–616LDWWW
4Trabzonspor85-1-218–516WLWWW
5Beşiktaş85-0-316–1015WWLWL
11Erzurumspor83-2-35–1111WLWDW
12Çaykur Rizespor83-1-48–1110LWDLL
13Göztepe82-3-317–169LDDWW

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 20.10

Goals by minute

league season
Çaykur Rizespor
  • 0-1512
  • 16-3010
  • 31-4522
  • 46-6000
  • 61-7521
  • 76-9044
Trabzonspor
  • 0-1551
  • 16-3031
  • 31-4551
  • 46-6021
  • 61-7510
  • 76-9021

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Super Lig results
2:0Beşiktaş–İstanbul BaşakşehirOur pick:H1 (−1.5)2.11prediction won13 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 1.36X 5.232 7.382:1Galatasaray–FenerbahçeOur pick:12.24prediction won10 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 1.96X 3.782 3.402:0Göztepe–ÇorumOur pick:O 2.51.62prediction lost9 of 15 AI models picked this bet1 2.20X 3.452 3.13