Accumulator for 2 October: result
Of 3 selections, 2 won. The top-three acca did not land. The ladder is not changed after the matches: the selections, odds and order are as published in the morning.
Selection ladder
| # | Match | Selection | Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland — Romania 6:0Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Either team to win1.25 | 77% | won | |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina — Sweden 1:1Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Sweden or draw1.36 | 71% | won | |
| France — Italy 1:1Nations League · 18:45 UTC | France to win1.41 | 66% | lost |
Probability the chance the market has priced into this selection’s odds.
Void the score landed exactly on the line and the stake was returned; a void does not break the acca. Awaiting results the match has been played but not settled yet: a blank result is not a loss.
About this accumulator
Poland top the slip at home to Romania, who are bottom of the group without a point: the bookmakers give the hosts a 60% chance of winning, and either team to win at 1.25 lands on any result except a draw, as neither side has reason to settle for a point. Sweden visit Bosnia and Herzegovina top of the group after two wins, and switching from an outright win to Sweden or draw at 1.36 means they do not have to take all three points on the road: avoiding defeat is enough. France host Italy with six points from six already, and the original call of a win by two or more goals (the France -1.5 handicap, recalling their 3-1 win in Italy in November 2024) is softened to a straight France to win at 1.41 with a 66% chance, so a big winning margin is not needed. The main risk sits at the bottom of the acca: that game in France is the weakest link, as Italy are third in the group and perfectly capable of taking a point. Together, all three tips give a 36% chance at odds of 2.4.
Questions about this accumulator
What was the accumulator for 2 October and what won?
2 of 3 selections won; the top three did not land (2 of 3). Each selection shows its odds at publication and its settled result; the ladder is not changed after the matches.