Accumulator for 4 October: result
Of 4 selections, 3 won. The top-three acca landed in full. The ladder is not changed after the matches: the selections, odds and order are as published in the morning.
Selection ladder
| # | Match | Selection | Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal — Norway 2:1Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Portugal or draw1.23 | 77% | won | |
| Netherlands — Serbia 2:1Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Netherlands to win1.23 | 75% | won | |
| Wales — Denmark 0:1Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Denmark or draw1.27 | 75% | won | |
| Republic of Ireland — Israel 1:1Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Either team to win1.31 | 73% | lost |
Probability the chance the market has priced into this selection’s odds.
Void the score landed exactly on the line and the stake was returned; a void does not break the acca. Awaiting results the match has been played but not settled yet: a blank result is not a loss.
About this accumulator
Portugal host Norway after winning 2-1 in Oslo, and the double chance on Portugal or draw at 1.23 carries a 77% chance, so there is no pressure to repeat that win. Next come Netherlands, who won 2-1 away to Serbia: back at home, there is no need for the Netherlands -1.5 handicap when a home win has a 75% chance at 1.23. Wales have lost their last four games against Denmark, including a 0-2 defeat a week ago, so Denmark or draw at 1.27 looks well covered with a 75% chance. Republic of Ireland won 3-0 away to Israel last week and now host the return game: this acca settles for either team to win at 1.31 with a 73% chance, where only a draw would sink the bet, a result Israel are yet to record. The first three tips combined carry a 43% chance at 1.92, while the full four-fold acca has a 32% chance at odds of 2.52.
Questions about this accumulator
What was the accumulator for 4 October and what won?
3 of 4 selections won; the top three landed (3 of 3). Each selection shows its odds at publication and its settled result; the ladder is not changed after the matches.