Accumulator for 5 October: result
Of 4 selections, 4 won. The top-three acca landed in full. The ladder is not changed after the matches: the selections, odds and order are as published in the morning.
Selection ladder
| # | Match | Selection | Probability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France — Belgium 4:1Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Either team to win1.21 | 79% | won | |
| Romania — Sweden 0:1Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Either team to win1.25 | 76% | won | |
| Northern Ireland — Georgia 0:0Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Northern Ireland or draw1.40 | 69% | won | |
| Italy — Turkey 3:1Nations League · 18:45 UTC | Italy to win1.43 | 66% | won |
Probability the chance the market has priced into this selection’s odds.
Void the score landed exactly on the line and the stake was returned; a void does not break the acca. Awaiting results the match has been played but not settled yet: a blank result is not a loss.
About this accumulator
France have won six consecutive head-to-heads against Belgium and beat them in Brussels a week ago, so in France vs Belgium, instead of a straight home win (62%), the slip takes either team to win at odds of 1.21, offering a 79% chance where only a draw loses. Romania vs Sweden follows a similar line: Sweden lead the group with seven points and ruling out a draw lifts the chance from 53% to 76% on either team to win at 1.25. Northern Ireland vs Georgia also minimises the risk after the hosts won 1-0 in September, with Northern Ireland or draw carrying a 69% chance at odds of 1.4 compared to 38% for an outright home win. In Italy vs Turkey, the home side won 4-1 in Istanbul and do not need a win by two or more goals here; swapping Italy -1.5 handicap at 45% for Italy to win at 1.43 brings a 66% chance. Turkey have no points and will open up, but a modest scoreline is enough to land the bet. The first three tips combined yield a 41% chance at odds of 2.12, while the full acca offers a 27% chance at 3.03.
Questions about this accumulator
What was the accumulator for 5 October and what won?
4 of 4 selections won; the top three landed (3 of 3). Each selection shows its odds at publication and its settled result; the ladder is not changed after the matches.