Accumulator for 10 October: result

Atlético Madrid's visit to Deportivo Alavés is priced at 53% for an outright away win: the visitors sit second in the table having won four of their last five matchdays, while the price on Deportivo Alavés has drifted from 3.59 to 4.34 over two weeks. Building an accumulator slip does not require a romp from the favourites, only that they avoid defeat, and an Atlético Madrid +0.5 handicap pushes the probability up to 78%. Manchester United host Tottenham Hotspur with a home win holding 55%, but the Londoners are yet to score on their travels, so backing either team to win simply removes the draw and lifts the chance to 77%. Real Madrid home fixtures against Villarreal average four goals per match, and the visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in any away game this season. That leaves over 2.5 goals well within reach at 75% without needing to chase five goals, compared to 56% for over 3.5 goals.

Arsenal at home to Leeds United hold 69% on Arsenal to win; the Arsenal −1.5 handicap demands a win by two or more goals, whereas the Leeds attack averages one goal per away match. Sunderland against Brighton & Hove Albion and Rayo Vallecano versus Athletic Bilbao share a similar setup, where avoiding defeat is all the favourites need. Brighton & Hove Albion or draw stands at 68% following two goalless head-to-heads, while Athletic Bilbao, having scored six and conceded just one in four LaLiga matchdays, reach 65% via the Athletic Bilbao +0.5 handicap. The risk is clearer in the Ekstraklasa meeting between Jagiellonia Białystok and Górnik Zabrze: the market leans marginally towards the hosts, but Górnik Zabrze top the table and have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their away games, putting Górnik Zabrze or draw at 62%. The top three selections combine for a 45% chance at odds of 1.97, while all seven tips hold 9% at 7.82.