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data updated 27.10 08:07

FINISHED

Lecce vs Juventus 0:2: result and odds

Lecce vs Juventus finished 0:2; before kick-off the odds were 1.55 on a Juventus win (having opened at 1.44), 6.25 on a Lecce win and 4.16 on a draw. The AI models' pick was Juventus −1 handicap at 1.71, and it won.

published · updated UTC

Lecce
Juventus

AI models' pick: Juventus −1 handicap

1.71

The market prices this option at 55%

Asian handicap: the bet wins if Juventus win by two goals or more; a one-goal win returns the stake.

AI models' pick · 9 of 15 on this bet or a bolder one · 2 more in the same direction

Our football predictions so far: 163 won · 135 lost · 7 void · −5.80 units All results

won+0.71 units
what these numbers mean
won / lost
The result of the bet once the round is settled: profit or loss at a stake of one unit at the odds shown.
Why this betAll odds

likely score

0:212%odds 6.25 — this score came in

1:1 11%0:1 11%1:2 10%

The likely score lists the four most likely results; the odds next to it are the average price of 5 bookmakers on that score. This is not the bet: the AI consensus chooses the bet.

What the odds were

line before kick-off, last update 25.10 16:34

result16.25−1.27X4.16−0.1321.55+0.11
total 2.5O1.79−0.09U2.04+0.10
both to scoreyes1.85−0.17no1.88+0.16
double chance1X2.45−0.28121.23+0.02X21.13+0.03
handicapH1 +11.91−0.20H2 −11.90 — matches our bet+0.19

Over 7 days a Lecce win shortened from 7.52 to 6.25 — money is coming in on the home side.

abbreviations
  • 1/X/2 — home win / draw / away win
  • O/U — over/under total goals
  • H1/H2 — home/away handicap
  • 1X/12/X2 — home or draw / no draw / away or draw
Line movementLecce 7.52 → 6.25 over 7 days · 87 snapshotsView

The biggest move is a Juventus win: from 1.44 to 1.55 — 3.7 pp of implied chance, more than any other outcome.

Lecce7.52 → 6.25Draw4.29 → 4.16Juventus1.44 → 1.55
1.502.003.004.006.008.0030 hno data18 Oct19 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25 OctLecce 6.25Draw 4.16Juventus 1.55

Price changes

Price changes in the 1X2 market
WhenLecceDrawJuventus
6.25+0.014.161.55−0.01
6.24−0.194.161.56+0.01
6.43−0.264.16−0.071.55+0.03
6.69−0.234.23−0.031.52+0.02
6.92−0.204.26−0.061.50+0.02
7.12−0.134.32+0.011.48
7.25−0.094.31−0.031.48+0.01
7.34−0.094.34+0.011.47+0.01
7.43+0.054.331.46
7.38+0.014.33+0.031.46
7.37−0.154.30+0.011.46
7.52−0.034.29−0.051.46+0.01
7.55+0.134.34+0.041.45
7.42−0.104.30−0.011.45+0.01
7.52−0.134.31−0.011.44−0.01
7.65+0.174.32+0.011.45
7.48−0.014.31+0.031.45+0.01
7.49+0.014.28+0.011.44
7.48−0.044.27−0.021.44
18 Oct – 19 Oct · no snapshots for 30 h
7.52opened4.29opened1.44opened
87 snapshots · the prices changed 19 times

How the match went

half-time 0:2

match report · 25.10 19:23

Juventus won 2-0 at Lecce, with both goals before the break. Weston McKennie scored on 29 minutes, set up by Douglas Luiz Soares, and Douglas Luiz Soares got the second on 41, with Federico Gatti providing the pass. It stayed 0-2 from half-time. Lecce finished with ten men after Kialonda Gaspar, booked on 76 minutes, was sent off on 90+4. The shot count went Lecce's way, 16 to 8, with four on target to two, and xG was 1.02 for Lecce against 1.13 for Juventus, who held 58% of the ball. Our Juventus -1 handicap at 1.71 landed. Juventus went off as 1.55 favourites before kick-off, and the under 2.5 side paid 2.04 with only two goals scored.

  1. 29'JuventusWeston McKennie (Douglas Luiz Soares)0:1
  2. 41'JuventusDouglas Luiz Soares (Federico Gatti)0:2
  3. 45'Lecceon Joel Almada Monteiro, off Amar Fatah
  4. 45'Lecceon Jamil Siebert, off Mohamed Kaba
  5. 60'Lecceon Corrie Ndaba, off Tiago Gabriel
  6. 68'Juventuson Juan Cabal, off Andrea Cambiaso
  7. 68'Juventuson Jérémie Boga, off Randal Kolo Muani
  8. 71'Lecceon Paco Esteban, off Willem Geubbels
  9. 76'LecceKialonda Gaspar YC
  10. 83'Juventuson Pape Matar Sarr, off Douglas Luiz Soares
  11. 86'Lecceon Nikola Stulic, off Konan N'Dri
  12. 90'Juventuson Kerim Alajbegovic, off Weston McKennie
  13. 90+4'LecceKialonda Gaspar RC
Match stats: Lecce vs Juventus
LeccestatJuventus
1.02expected goals (xG)1.13
16shots8
4on target2
42%possession58%
5corners3
10fouls12
0saves4
1red cards0
what these numbers mean
expected goals (xG)
How many goals shots of this quality and from these positions produce on average. It shows how well the score reflects the game: 0.6 xG with two goals scored means clinical finishing, not domination.
feed rating
The player's match rating from our statistics provider — not ours. It is based on actions on and off the ball; we do not recalculate it and show it as it is.

Starting line-ups

Lecce

formation 4-3-3 · manager E. Di Francesco

starting XIfeed rating
  • 30W. Falcone5.5
  • 25A. Gallo6.1
  • 44Tiago Gabriel6.7
  • 4Kialonda Gaspar6.6
  • 17Danilo Veiga6.4
  • 14Y. Maleh6.5
  • 79O. Ngom5.8
  • 77M. Kaba6.0
  • 7A. Ahmed Fatah6.2
  • 69W. Geubbels6.4
  • 11K. N’Dri6.3
substitutes
  • 1M. Bleve
  • 5J. Sieberton 45'5.9
  • 9N. Štulićon 86'6.3
  • 31E. Scott
  • 32A. Borbei
  • 2A. Dembélé
  • 22Paco Estebanon 71'6.5
  • 8S. Fofana
  • 16O. Gandelman
  • 28Olaf Gorter
  • 18G. Jean
  • 99Joël Monteiroon 45'6.8
  • 3C. Ndabaon 60'6.1
Juventus

formation 3-1-4-2 · manager L. Spalletti

starting XIfeed rating
  • 25G. Vicario6.9
  • 26J. Lucumí7.6
  • 3Bremer7.4
  • 4F. Gatti7.7
  • 12Douglas Luiz — highest feed rating in the match9.0
  • 20A. Cambiaso6.7
  • 8T. Koopmeiners6.6
  • 22W. McKennie7.9
  • 15P. Kalulu7.0
  • 9R. Kolo Muani6.3
  • 27N. Woltemade6.3
substitutes
  • 29P. Sarron 83'6.9
  • 24D. Rugani
  • 23C. Pinsoglio
  • 33Neto
  • 32J. Cabalon 68'7.2
  • 13J. Bogaon 68'6.7
  • 17Kerim-Sam Alajbegovićon 90'
  • 11E. Zhegrova
  • 6L. Kelly

AI prediction and analysis

The largest group of AI models bet on Juventus −1 — the bet won. 3 more chose close bets in the same direction: Juventus not losing, a Juventus win and Juventus −1.5. 3 more bet on both teams to score — the bet lost. One more bet on over 2.5 goals.

Odds — the bookmaker average at the moment the AI model answered.

Odds quoted in this analysis are as of 19.10 at 08:55 UTC

Lecce have not beaten Juventus in any of the last 10 meetings: three draws and seven defeats. Their home numbers this season tell the same story — one win in three matches, 1.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per game. Juventus, across five matches, have 10 goals scored and three conceded, with 55.2% possession and almost 15 shots a game; the Turin side usually pin opponents back around their penalty area. The market rates the Juventus -1 handicap at around 55%, and that is our pick at 1.71.

Where we could be wrong

But how many of those wins were big ones? In May Juventus took the away game 1-0 and no more, and in January the sides shared the points. On the road this season they both score and concede 1.3 per game. Di Francesco does not sit deep at home, his team have scored in each of their three home matches, and a winning margin of two or more goals may not materialise here.

The bet comes from the largest group of AI models pointing the same way (a home win and a home handicap count as one view), and within that group it is the bet named most often; if two groups are level, the one priced closer to the bookmakers' line is taken — how we calculate

Written automatically by Kickscore AI · published · updated · how we calculate

Stats and form

Recent matches

all competitions · latest first · as of 25.10
Lecce
Recent matches: Lecce
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18.10UdineseA3:0xG 3.5–0.6W
11.10BolognaH1:2xG 1.5–2.0L
20.09MilanA0:3xG 0.2–2.2L
13.09MonzaH3:2xG 1.1–2.8W
07.09CagliariA0:1xG 0.5–1.6L
31.08RomaH0:4xG 0.7–3.4L
Juventus
Recent matches: Juventus
DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22.10RennesEuropa LeagueH2:2D
18.10LazioH0:3xG 0.4–0.3L
15.10Celta VigoEuropa LeagueA2:1xG 1.9–1.1W
11.10CagliariA1:1xG 2.0–0.6D
02.10Cremoneseclub friendlyH0:1L
20.09AtalantaH2:0xG 1.3–0.6W

H — home, A — away · score and xG from the team's side · league matches carry no competition tag

Season averages

2026/27 · average per match
for / againstLecceJuventusSerie A
goals1.3 / 1.71.3 / 1.11.5
xG1.5 / 21.5 / 0.51.5
shots11.1 / 15.117 / 7.414.6
shots on target4.7 / 6.65.9 / 2.74.9
corners4.4 / 3.68.1 / 3.14.7
fouls13 / 9.312.9 / 10.110.9
yellow cards1.9 / 0.91.3 / 2.31.7
matches over 2.571%29%
both scored29%43%
clean sheets29%43%
failed to score43%14%
home / away
goals1.3 / 2.71.3 / 1.3
average total42.7
matches over 2.5100%33%
both scored67%67%
  • Lecce shoot less often than the league average: 11.1 shots vs 14.6
  • Juventus shoot more often than the league average: 17 shots vs 14.6
  • "home / away" is split by the role in this match: home games only for Lecce, away games only for Juventus

Head to head

last 10

0–3–7Lecce wins · draws · Juventus wins

Recent head-to-head meetings
MatchScoreDateCompetition
Lecce vs Juventus0:109.05.26
Juventus vs Lecce1:103.01.26
Juventus vs Lecce2:112.04.25
Lecce vs Juventus1:101.12.24
Lecce vs Juventus0:321.01.24
Juventus vs Lecce1:026.09.23
Juventus vs Lecce2:103.05.23
Lecce vs Juventus0:129.10.22
Juventus vs Lecce4:026.06.20
Lecce vs Juventus1:126.10.19
  • both scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings
  • over 2.5 goals — in 4 of 10

League table

League standings: Serie A
#TeamPW-D-LGF–GAPtsForm
7Cagliari64-1-16–313LWWWD
8Juventus63-2-19–511WDLWD
9Napoli73-1-310–710LWDWL
10Atalanta73-0-410–119LLLWL
11Lecce73-0-49–129LWLLW
12Sassuolo72-2-312–148DWLDL

excerpt: both teams and their neighbours in the table · form — latest on the right · as of 18.10

Goals by minute

league season
Lecce
  • 0-1532
  • 16-3015
  • 31-4510
  • 46-6010
  • 61-7514
  • 76-9021
Juventus
  • 0-1500
  • 16-3021
  • 31-4500
  • 46-6000
  • 61-7512
  • 76-9062

in each row: scored in green, conceded in grey — in 15-minute intervals

Other matches this round

All Serie A results
0:2Udinese–MilanOur pick:21.79prediction won10 of 16 on this bet or a bolder one · 1 more in the same direction1 4.55X 3.652 1.804:4Atalanta–FrosinoneOur pick:O 2.51.43prediction won6 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 1.89X 4.202 3.621:0Genoa–VeneziaOur pick:BTTS1.72prediction lost12 of 16 AI models picked this bet1 2.20X 3.272 3.47