Accumulator for 1 November
5 selections from the day’s matches, one per match, from most likely to riskiest. There is no ready-made acca here: take as many legs as you see fit, and each row shows what the combination down to it adds up to. Odds are as of publication (25.10 17:16 UTC); match pages show the current line.
Selection ladder
| # | Match | Selection | Probability | First N together |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao — Real SociedadLaLiga · 20:00 UTC | Over 1.5 goals1.26 | 74% | this row74% · 1.26 | |
| Liverpool — ArsenalEPL · 16:30 UTC | Arsenal or draw1.36 | 70% | first 252% · 1.71 | |
| Paris — MonacoLigue 1 · 16:15 UTC | Paris or draw1.39 | 68% | first 335% · 2.38 | |
| Elche — ValenciaLaLiga · 17:30 UTC | Elche or draw1.42 | 66% | first 423% · 3.38 | |
| Union Berlin — KölnBundesliga · 14:30 UTC | Union Berlin or draw1.49 | 64% | first 515% · 5.04 | |
Tick selections in the ladder to see the odds and chance of your acca. Your bet0Odds—Our chance— | ||||
Probability the chance the market has priced into this selection’s odds.
First N together the chance that every selection down to this row wins, and the odds of that acca.
the acca down to this row lands more than half the timeless than halfless than one in five. The colour is about the acca as a whole, not any single selection.
About this accumulator
Real Sociedad are scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.2 across their five away games, while Athletic Bilbao at home score 1.3 and concede one, and the goals angle rests on over 1.5 goals rather than both teams to score: there is no need to ask both sides to find the net, two goals between them will do, and only a match with fewer than two goals lets the accumulator down. At Anfield the prices put the visitors above the hosts, 43% against 30% — Arteta's side are second with 21 points and concede 0.8 per away trip, while Liverpool have not won at home yet, so instead of a straight Arsenal win the pick is Arsenal or draw: a draw is fine, and only a Liverpool victory scuppers the bet. Paris beat Monaco in both previous meetings, 1-0 and 4-1, the Parisians have three wins from four at home, and the event only needs them to avoid defeat.
Lower down come Elche and Valencia: the visitors have scored seven goals in 10 rounds and manage one a game on the road, the last two head-to-heads went to the hosts, yet Elche are still without a home win, so a draw here is not a refund but a winner, and the event goes down only if Valencia take the game. Union Berlin and Köln round off the tips: in ten previous meetings the Berliners have six wins and three draws, Köln have lost all three of their away games while conceding 2.3, though Union have won just one of four at home, and an away win would wipe out Union Berlin or draw at 1.49. The first three together are rated at 35% with odds of 2.38, and all five take the acca to 15% at 5.04.
Questions about this accumulator
What is the accumulator for 1 November?
5 selections from the day’s matches, from Athletic Bilbao — Real Sociedad (Over 1.5 goals at 1.26) to Union Berlin — Köln (Union Berlin or draw at 1.49). The top three combined come to odds of 2.38 and, by our estimate, land 35% of the time; all 5 come to 5.04 and 15%.
How many selections should go into an accumulator?
The more selections, the lower the chance and the more the bookmaker’s margin compounds. On this ladder the top three have a 35% chance, the top five 15%.