Accumulator for 23 October
7 selections from the day’s matches, one per match, from most likely to riskiest. There is no ready-made acca here: take as many legs as you see fit, and each row shows what the combination down to it adds up to.
Selection ladder
| # | Match | Selection | Probability | First N together |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town — Nottingham ForestEPL · 19:00 UTC | Over 1.5 goals1.23 | 76% | this row76% · 1.23 | |
| Deportivo Alavés — MálagaLaLiga · 19:00 UTC | Either team to win1.30 | 73% | first 255% · 1.60 | |
| Motor Lublin — Zagłębie LubinEkstraklasa · 16:00 UTC | Motor Lublin or draw1.31 | 71% | first 339% · 2.09 | |
| Torino — MonzaSerie A · 18:45 UTC | Over 1.5 goals1.31 | 71% | first 428% · 2.74 | |
| Brest — NiceLigue 1 · 18:45 UTC | Brest or draw1.35 | 71% | first 520% · 3.70 | |
| Stuttgart — Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga · 18:30 UTC | Stuttgart to win1.39 | 68% | first 614% · 5.15 | |
| Widzew Łódź — Górnik ZabrzeEkstraklasa · 18:30 UTC | Górnik Zabrze or draw1.49 | 62% | first 78% · 7.67 | |
Tick selections in the ladder to see the odds and chance of your acca. Your bet0Odds—Our chance— | ||||
Probability the chance the market has priced into this selection’s odds.
First N together the chance that every selection down to this row wins, and the odds of that acca.
the acca down to this row lands more than half the timeless than halfless than one in five. The colour is about the acca as a whole, not any single selection.
About this accumulator
Nottingham Forest lead the accumulator through their attacking record on the road, having seen both teams score in all three of their away fixtures this season. With Ipswich Town regularly seeing goals at both ends on home soil, over 1.5 goals is preferred over both teams to score, carrying a 76% chance. Alongside them, Deportivo Alavés face Málaga, who create very little on their travels with 0.3 goals per game and three defeats across four away trips. Any decisive outcome does the job here, and either team to win offers a 73% chance since draws are rare in this head-to-head. The third selection is Motor Lublin, who are unbeaten against Zagłębie Lubin in five consecutive meetings and edge the shots on target; with the visitors capable of snatching a point, taking Motor Lublin or draw provides a safer 71% chance.
Further down the slip, the risk rises in games where the initial tips looked further ahead. Both Torino and Monza concede regularly, so even without relying on both teams scoring, over 1.5 goals gathers a 71% chance. Brest defeated Nice 4-1 back in September and sit higher in the table, but taking Brest or draw at 71% is plenty to keep things moving. Stuttgart take on a Borussia Mönchengladbach side struggling on their travels after three defeats and just 0.3 goals per game, with a simple Stuttgart to win taking the place of the -1.5 handicap at 68%. In the final game, Górnik Zabrze have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight head-to-heads against Widzew Łódź, making Górnik Zabrze or draw at 62% sufficient. The opening three events combine for a 39% chance at odds of 2.09, while all seven together offer an 8% chance at 7.67.
Questions about this accumulator
What is the accumulator for 23 October?
7 selections from the day’s matches, from Ipswich Town — Nottingham Forest (Over 1.5 goals at 1.23) to Widzew Łódź — Górnik Zabrze (Górnik Zabrze or draw at 1.49). The top three combined come to odds of 2.09 and, by our estimate, land 39% of the time; all 7 come to 7.67 and 8%.
How many selections should go into an accumulator?
The more selections, the lower the chance and the more the bookmaker’s margin compounds. On this ladder the top three have a 39% chance, the top five 20%, all 7 8%.